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UK Met Office - Projection of Temperature Rise to 2100

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Uploaded by on Feb 14, 2009

Latest results from the Met Office's climate change research. The data are based on a mid-range IPCC emissions scenario A1B.

Source: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatechange/science/projections/

It is important to be aware that projections from climate models are always subject to uncertainty because of limitations on our knowledge of how the climate system works and on the computing resources available. Different climate models can give different projections. More on using computer models (external page)

The projections are also based on emissions scenarios, such as the level of CO2 emissions increasing or decreasing. Many different scenarios are used, based on estimates of economic and social growth, and this is one of the major sources of uncertainty in climate prediction. But even if greenhouse gas emissions are substantially reduced, the long lifespan of CO2 in the atmosphere means that we cannot avoid further climate change due to CO2 already in the atmosphere.

Despite the uncertainties, all models show that the Earth will warm in the next century, with a consistent geographical pattern.

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All Comments (32)

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  • @Warhead3000 The data is free to the public.

  • When did the Met office get into Science Fiction?

  • Global warming exists however, on earth there has been many periods which the earth has got hotter then colder (ice ages) we are currently coming out of the most recent ice age therefore there is no EXACT evidence, therefore proving all of this wrong. Global warming DOES exist, however, we have no proof that it is starting to cause all of these problems. But for a fact the earth is getting warmer, however at the same time we are unsure if we may enter another ice age WITHIN the next 25 years....

  • It's so scary but I think people from all of the Earth are now become more smarter and all this technologies what was and will be made to avoid that scary continuement of the Earth

  • I am very sorry but I strongly disagree, did you notice that the earth rapidly started getting warmer only when it got to 2010, but not anywhere up til when this video was made.... This is a faulty prediction... May this build of the application be demolished at once please

  • @starrdreams What proof has been provided ?? Oh that's right they won't release the proof or the model data or the evidence

  • @starrdreams And just like agreement should be backed up by evidence and proof?? Please do provide us with the accurate poll of scientists (not a tiny sample) whom believe AGW of but you can't because it doesn't exist and neither does scientific concensus. All I ask is provide evidence

  • @starrdreams And agreement should be backed up iby data and evidence. Where is your refernce for concensus that all agree on AGW?? I want proff not hearsay give me the poll data of the majority of concensus. You can't because it doesn't exist.

  • we need to stop putting this co2 in our earth make people use bikes and trains like the mag train make solar power cars cheaper it will be a long steep but its worth the try we need our earth don't u want your grand kids to see the polar bears

  • So this model shows the earth just continuing to get warmer & warmer through 2100. Other scientists say as we warm the glaciers will melt & through freshening will destroy the ocean's ability to flow & carry warm water north disrupting the cycle sending us into another ice age. I ask who is correct? Does this look like concensus which needs no further debate?

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