Tyler Cowen: "The Great Stagnation", Michael Vassar & Cowen Debate at Singularity Summit 2011
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I disagree that there is any stagnation. Technological progress continued just as fast as it was before 1973, it just continued in a way people did not anticipate. Most income stagnation is restricted to rich countries where income increases mean little, compare India, China or Latin America from 1973 to today, you'll see huge increases in standard of living. The error in this talk is being restricted to data in the USA.
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You don't see Soylent Green or people hoarded by trashtrucks either. Just because we did not evolve like people prediced, it didn't mean we didn't evolve. For instance, the internet is far more fantastic than any "flying car" nonsense gizmo.
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Full of something. I stopped watching when he started babbling about innovation comes when people are nasty to each other...and that USA is too egalitarian...I fast forwarded to 1:07:00 there is another speaker...
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It's only me or this guy is full of BS?
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I can't believe he thinks the usa is TOO egalitarian!
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Since Tyler brought up rent seeking, consider the rent-seeking parasites in transhumanst circles who hustle illusions like "nanotechnology" and "friendly AI."
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The other day, while making my weekly shopping trip, I chuckled at how banal life looks in our mysterious, far-future year 2012. I don't see flying cars, robotic servants, armies of clones, nuclear powered flashlights for sale or any of the other things that the last century's "futurists" and science fiction writers thought we might have by now. Oh, my iPad might have looked science-fictional to me in my childhood in Tulsa back in the 1960's and 1970's; but I drive a 1989 model car.
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A few years ago, Popular Science asked "Is Science Fiction About to Go Blind?" Perhaps in a manner of speaking it has, because instead of a singularity we got stagnation.
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Speech starts at 1:22
sachamm 5 months ago 7
great talk!
bdille 7 months ago 2