Is Precognition Real? - Chico Skeptics 3-7-11

Evolutionary psychologist, Harold Baize and cognitive psychologist, Eddie Vela, examine the provocative results of the recent study by respected researcher,Daryl Bem which suggests the existence of precognition.

Category:

Science & Technology

Tags:

• Chico Skeptics
• Harold Baize
• Eddie Vela
• Daryl Bem

[IceAges14Aces]

@dennispicknett Ugh, never mind with that how did he got z=2.30, p=.01. I found out (thanks to Linda) that I calaculated it using the wrong trials/hits. The actual one is N=1,560 pornographic images, 53.1% hit rate (828 hits) which confrims his analysis

[IceAges14Aces]

@dennispicknett These skeptics, a.k.a. Chico Skeptics T_O? have a point: Darryl's meta-studies are biased due to the incorrect statistical procedures implied in his precog. meta-analysis. The flaw he commited is the use of One-tailed T-Test, where in proper statistics, is Two-tailed. Also his statistical analyses are questionable: how did he got z=2.30 p=0.11 with N=100, 53.1% hit rate using One-tailed T-Test? I got z=0.5 p=0.30. (One-tailed)

Sorry, but Darryl's evidence is so far elusive....

[LendMeYourHand]

WOW! I am a precog so this is exciting for me. The beginning part where they got higher hit rates on the words they studied after the test, really makes complete sense. Finally science is ready to do REAL research. This is where they have gone wrong= its right hemisphere, which outlines shapes & colors. But many tests have been done with left hemi, whch outlines numbers & letters. We also can see that time reverse always ends in an emotion, but leads us to believe the beginning is the focus.

[dennispicknett]

I think it is scraping the barrel to start proposing that Bem is dishonest, or that the computer itself is psychic, or that the file drawer effect is to blame, or that the T test was chosen specifically to produce significance. This all seems like desperate scrabbling in the face of unpalatable results. Harold and Eddie don't for a moment entertain the idea that there might, just might, be something of interest here.

[halramin]

Many of the "flaws" don't weaken Bem's results. And you still haven't explained why extroverts are better at predicting the future. and no, computers having psi is so absurd an idea that it shows how desperate you are in trying to counter these results. Not once did you stop to mention that Bem may actually an honest scientist as he has always been and determined to produce replicable results and these results may actually be significant and what the implications of that would be. talk abt bias

[tbam1001]

Thanks, Harold and Eddie, for your contribution in exposing Bem's many errors.