Property Crash Cycle - Introduction to Fred Harrison's 18 Years

Is there a property crash every 18 years? Fred Harrison thinks so. In his book: Boom Bust, House Prices, Banking and the Depression of 2010, Harrison describes a cycle of 18 years. If he is right, we are headed towards a Depression by 2010, and it will be many years before those who bought at the peak will be back to even. This is the introduction to the cycle. Other videos look into historical prices in more detail.

You can join the discussion on GlobalEdgeInvestors dotcom or on: Talk-View dotcom. Please visit, and tell us what you think of the video.

Category:

Education

Tags:

• UK
• Property
• Crash
• 2008
• Boom
• Bust
• Depression
• Harrison
• London
• Cycle
• 18
• year
• house
• price
• Recession
• 2010
• Bubb

[Macrocompassion]

Here the cycle is 18 years long. Why does the same period repeat? Could it be due to the relative positions of the earth, moom and sun, which take 18 years and 11 days? The other reference in these videos claims 14 years, presunably it is an error.

[BubbFromGEI]

no error. you misuderstood.

the normal cycle is 14 years up, and 4 years down

[BubbFromGEI]

The Crash is Here / The Crash is Clear:

LONDON (Reuters) - House prices fell 1.9 percent this month alone, leaving it 10.5 percent cheaper than at the same time last year -- the biggest decline since comparable records began in 1991.

The property market is now plummeting, after 10 years in which prices trebled, as banks hit by the credit crunch have tightened their lending criteria with many now requiring a 25 percent deposit for mortgages.

[BubbFromGEI]

Harrison has just produced three videos of his own for his new "Renegade Economist" channel. He believes that mainstream economics is failing, and there is a better way to forecast economic changes, and to make policy. His track record shows that his voice is one worth listening to.

[BubbFromGEI]

The next part (A closer look at the UK property cycle that started in 1994), is now up and available on YouTube. The third part will be coming shortly. I have switched to a blue background, so it will be easier to distinguish those parts from the introduction.

I am still hoping to film a visit to an Estate Agent, but am running out of time in London. Ideas for other projects, and links to the Videos of others are being accepted on GEI, and eventually on Talk-View dotcom, after its launch.

[BubbFromGEI]

Thnx for the comment, Laura. I did check that, actually, and the information I obtained was that the first edition came out in 2005, Perhaps there was a small title change.

For good orders sake, I think the correct name of the earlier book is Power in the Land, rather than Power of the Land, as I incorrectly said on the Video.. Parts 2 and 3 should be ready within a few days (I hope).

[NearAbbeyRoad]

@BubbFromGEI

So it is best to buy in 2012 then? We are still dropping to the lowest point in 2012?

[luvdupraver]

18 years is the average length of a contract in developed economies.

[brunopowroznikagain]

Bruno Powroznik is back as brunopowroznikagain

[enrieby]

This is really good, I must read some of Fred Harrison's work, thanks for making this introduction to the topic.

[HollandParker]

I like the blue background on the new Video better! This one remains a good introduction for those unfamiliar with Fred Harrison's cycle work.