Where Is the Chinese Economy Headed, and What Does It Mean for the US?

Complete video at: http://fora.tv/2008/07/09/Chinas_Economic_Rise_Fact_and_Fiction

China political analyst Harry Harding discusses future scenarios for China's rapid economic growth, and its implications for U.S. foreign policy.

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China's economic size will match that of the U.S. by 2035 and double it in total GDP by midcentury, concludes Albert Keidel in presenting his new policy brief, China's Economic Rise—Fact and Fiction.

Keidel and a panel of leading experts on China's economy and military discuss the success and substantiality of China's economic rise and addressed the U.S. and global implications of China's long-term economic growth.

Keidel is joined by Stephen Voth with the U.S. government, Gregory Foster of National Defense University, and Harry Harding of George Washington University. Carnegie's Michael Swaine moderates the discussion - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Director of Research and Analysis, Eurasia Group Harry Harding is a leading China specialist in the United States. He has advised several US Presidents on developments in the PRC; before the Tiananmen Square demonstrations he was brought to Camp David for informal discussions with the first Bush administration. He has written roughly 10 books, including the seminal "China's Second Revolution," regularly cited by Chinese officials as influencing their present 5-year plan.

Dr. Harding served on the political science faculties of Swarthmore College (1970-1971) and Stanford University (1971-1983) and was a National Fellow at the Hoover Institution. He then became Senior Fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies Program at the Brookings Institution (1983-1994), and, later, Dean of the Elliott School of International Affairs at George Washington University, a post he held for more than 10 years in total ( January 1995 - June 30, 2005).

On August 1, 2005, Harding joined Eurasia Group, a global political risk consultancy, as the firm's Director of Research and Analysis.

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[huayunbaidu]

China will suffer really bad but trust me, China will never feel the pain Amerikkka is feeling right now. 25 million unemployeement? is that a joke, do you actually know what is the total number of China's working force???25 mill is a small factor of the work force.

[JohnR22926]

seppu: OK. My comment was ott and I retract it. I actually admire China's economic accomplishments and generally like the Chinese people.

What I can't abide though, are those (mostly white americans) who think China has developed a system that represents the future. A repressive totalitarian political system combined with a market economy.

I still maintain China's dramatic economic growth is finite and will hit a ceiling...unless they can democratize.

[DiggingNorway]

cyclical growth is great!! It gives investment oppurtunity...

[CytherLynx]

Ahem

Since 2000 the depletion of China's main aquifers has led to an overall decrease in grain production, turning China into a net importer. The trend of Chinese dependence on imported food is expected to accelerate as the water shortage worsens.

[shinytooth23]

@huayunbaidu Why the KKK in your spelling of America?

[bxccapricorn]

go china they r nobodies bittcchhhh unlike every other country is 

[omega4chimp]

@lovingcaptain23 You think USA is not stronger the china?

[omega4chimp]

Theirs like major inflation in china or somthing i heard is that true?

[silverpizza100]

dude what is on your forehead? Who would hire you with thore growths on your face? You are blind as a bat. Look at thoes coke bottle glasses. This guy got his ass kicked a lot in school I bet...Fuck this nred. Lets beat his ass! Crook!

[uluvmyballs]

@cabraden1 Exactly. People are so ignorant when they underestimate the US. Also if there was a war all debt to china would be void.

[uluvmyballs]

@lovingcaptain23 are you daft? the chinese economy is NOWWHERE near the size of the US. Also the US has a far superior military.