The PRC Forum - Julian Simon (4of6)

Julian Simon foresaw the falling natural resource prices, increased world oil supply, and decline in farmland prices. His view of population economics is unique and persuasive. Discussion covers resources, environment, population growth and his analytical methods.

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[Huttate1]

He does have children! I was wrong. I wonder what they think of him now, knowing just how wrong he was in almost every aspect of his thinking.

[Huttate1]

@hitssquad You are such an idiot! They are the same thing. Do you not understand what happens when the earth warms a few degrees above the current level. Have a look at the ice core data (freely available on line) and you will see that we plunge into an ice age. Look at the graphs. the pattern has been repeated every c120Kyears.

Think for yourself or you risk others thinking for you.

[hitssquad]

"John P. Holdren and Paul R. Ehrlich, eds., 1971.

.

Bryson went so far as to tell the New York Times that, compared to the then-recent "decade or two" of cooling, "There appears to be nothing like it in the past 1,000 years", implying that cooling was inevitable.

Indeed many of the same persons who were then warning about global cooling are the same climatologists who are now warning of global warming - especially Stephen Schneider, one of the most prominent of the global-warming doomsters."

[hitssquad]

"""At this point, the world's climatologists are agreed...Once the freeze starts, it will be too late." --Douglas Colligan, "Brace Yourself for Another Ice Age," Science Digest, February 1973.

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"I believe that increasing global air pollution, through its effect on the reflectivity of the earth, is currently dominant and is responsible for the temperature decline of the past decade or two" --Reid Bryson, "Environmental Roulette, Global Ecology: Readings Toward a Rational Strategy for Man,

[hitssquad]

"--Lowell Ponte, The Cooling, 1976.

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"The facts have emerged, in recent years and months, from research into past ice ages. They imply that the threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for mankind." --Nigel Calder, former editor of New Scientist and producer of scientific television documentaries, "In the Grip of a New Ice Age," International Wildlife, July 1975.

[hitssquad]

""on page one. ...Whenever there is a heat wave...they turn to his opposite number, [who predicts] a kind of heat death of the earth."

"The cooling has already killed hundreds of thousands of people in poor nations. It has already made food and fuel more precious, thus increasing the price of everything we buy. If it continues, and no strong measures are taken to deal with it, the cooling will cause world famine, world chaos, and probably world war, and this could all come by the year 2000."

[hitssquad]

"climatological issue of major public concern was still global cooling. These quotations illustrate the prevailing thinking about climate in the early 1970s, only a decade before the hooha about warming began in earnest.

...climatologist J. Murray Mitchell, then of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, noted in 1976: "The media are having a lot of fun with this situation. Whenever there is a cold wave, they seek out a proponent of the ice-age-is-coming school and put his theories

[hitssquad]

"I am not an atmospheric scientist, and I cannot address the technical issues. I can, however, try to put these issues in reasonable perspective.

Given the history of such environmental scares - over all of human history - my guess is that global warming is likely to be simply another transient concern, barely worthy of consideration ten years from now should I then be writing again of these issues. After all, when I first addressed environmental matters in the late 1960s and 1970s, the

[hitssquad]

@acavideo "Had he lived long enough, Simon would have probably been a global-warming denier"

Have you read this? (dated June 12, 1994):

juliansimon. com/writings/Ultimate_Resource­/TCHAR18. txt

"Mid- and late-1970s: Global cooling. By 1980s, replaced by the scare of global

warming. (See below.)"

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"Global Warming

Along with acid rain and the ozone hole (addressed below), the supposed greenhouse effect and global warming must be mentioned in this book because it is so salient in public thinking.

[njneopatriot]

@acavideo It can be argued that as long as there is life the resources exist to sustain life on a global scale. Certainly, gluttony can & usually will rapidly deplete the resource being consumed. The danger of this can alter & even possibly end life as we understand it. From my experience the desire for instant gratification has always led to rapid depletion of the resource. Thanks for sharing your view