Les's Winter Weather Outlook FINAL 101711.wmv

Well it is that time of year again, so here we go folks. Click on the link to watch my You Tube Video.

NOTE: I am not a graphics artist so my maps aren't the best in the world. Second, with You Tube, you can only post 15 min videos for free, so I ran over when I made it by 16 seconds, so I had to do some trimming. I am not a video engineer either so you'll notice as you proceed to watch the video that it gets out of sync some as you hear me talk and watch me draw on the maps. Also, that is the reason why I am cut off at the very end. You should still, however, get the picture anyway if you have followed me long enough, and if you have watched my Winter Prelim. video. So, please do not bash me when you comment or respond to the video. I am open for questions if anything is unclear due to the above reasons. I am also open to Meteorological discussion in terms of agreement or disagreement with my ideas. I apologize in advance since this video is clearly not my best work whatsoever. Thank you.

Category:

Science & Technology

Tags:

• Winter Outlook
• Ohio Valley
• Weather. Snow
• Cold

[Skankpronger]

when will you have an official update to this winters long range winter weather forecast update?

[LesLovesSnow]

@Skankpronger

This is it. I never update my winter outlooks. However, to follow the most current trends, I am an Admin on the Absolute Vorticity weather forum and you can sign up there for free and join in the wx discussions.

[thuhcameron]

Going to be a better winter for the great lakes as it looks like storms will favor the lakes more than last year. With a neg NAO you cant count out the east coast though even in a la nina. It looks like we could be in for a lot of la ninas the rest of the decade.

[LesLovesSnow]

@thuhcameron

I think that the blocking will not be as strong as the past 2 winters so that is why I favor folks West of the Apps moreso then the East Coast. The EC will most likely see a couple of big storms though, but I think the primary storm track will favor the Midwest / Lakes / OV. I storngly agree with you in terms of seeing more nina's then nino's. We can thank the -PDO and weak sun for that.

[Fox250R]

I live in portland oregon and i always welcome a good snow storm. Something we really dont see much of...But this year looks a little scary or maybe just the unknown of whats really going on in our oceans...Great info!!

[LesLovesSnow]

@Fox250R

Thank you! The oceans are cooling and so is the globe. It has been for the last several years. More extreme weather and cold winters yet to come in the next 20 years or so.

[piloneman]

@Skankpronger No. I still haven't given up hope. Now, can you kindly, quit rubbing it in my face? Please.

[Skankpronger]

its amazing how this forecast has virtually almost been the complete opposite of what we have experienced so far . i know its early winter yet but you have to admit you were way off cue on this one.

[hdayejr]

Our team likes the video

[weathercast100]

@LesLovesSnow great forcast!! although i do think that the blocking will be as strong if not stronger this year. I cant give you a reason but I have a gut feeling on the matter, its one of those things. I live in texas and despite the drought everything is trying to flower heavily and get some form of seed out. Im not one to believe much folk lore but I think that sometimes if you look to the trees and what not, it will tell you things. I think they know something we dont. Its ominous.