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How It All Ends: Risk Management (pt 6 of 7)

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Uploaded by on Oct 11, 2007

Part of the "Expansion Pack" of videos accompanying the video "How It All Ends." See "How It All Ends: Index" for a roadmap to guide you through the expansion pack.

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Uploader Comments (wonderingmind42)

  • Would NASA count as a professional organization, as appears on your credibility chart?

  • @Iker888 Naw. At this point (I've greatly refined the process in my book "What's the Worst That Could Happen? A Rational Response to the Climate Change Debate") I'd classify it as a government agency, which is just below professional organization, for reasons explained in the book (cheap on Amazon! ;-)

  • The economic harm cost should be explained as two-fold: 1) before AGCC occurs and, 2) after it wreaks havoc on the world. This way, the expected value of the "take action column" has the same economic harm cost (before AGCC occurs) in both rows, and the expected value of the "don't take action" column also has the same economic harm cost in both rows, but a much different "wreak havoc" value. That's why including the economic harm from the upper left column to the lower right column is an error.

  • I think I follow you. But it seems to me that we can safely assume that the "wreak havoc" cost in the lower right would be necessarily larger than the "before AGCC cost" in the upper left, since whatever damage that we grant would arise from action taken with the time for debate (in upper left) would necessarily be greater if taken in a panic, compounded by the economic stress of natural disasters, so the bottom line EV analysis would hold. Thoughts?

  • Nice hat.

  • Thanks. It's dead yak.

Top Comments

  • Why is this not a formal documentary or DVD that I can buy?

    I'm not used to watching videos on Youtube, and I keep picking up my TV remote to pause it and wondering why my remote doesn't work.

    That is, until I feel like a nitwit because I need to use my mouse and not my remote. ;)

    Jokes aside, if this content were a DVD, I would buy it.

  • can someone download all these videos, in chronological order and make a dvd...

    this stuff should be taught in schools

see all

All Comments (51)

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  • You are assuming global government, which has risks in and of itself. Otherwise, we're stuck with at best a prisoner's dilemma. If the USA acts, and harms its economy (see previous comments on the credibility of the economists you talked to...) but China, Russia, and India do not act, then the risk of AGW is still not prevented, but the USA took the economic hit anyway.

  • so in a nutshell, if we don't do anything regardless, we might as well re classify our species as a virus, for which the earth will find a way to brush us off her shoulder and carry on.

  • I just hate how you compare worst case scenario, clearly the global destruction isn't how things should be distributed. House insurance doesn't assume if something bad happens to your house it must blows up.

  • you are a genious.

    I have seen most of your videos and am now getting as involved as i can in the climate debate. THank you, i show ure videos to loaaaads of people!!!

    keep it up dude, ure one of the first guys ive lisnted to thats really made crystal clear logical conclusions.

  • i am actually downloading all the videos in viewing order and will show them to my friends and family

  • I highly agree, a dvd would be very helpful

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