Statistical Fallacies II: Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy

My second video in the Statistical Fallacies series. Here I talk about the Texas Sharpshooter's Fallacy:
http://wiki.cotch.net/index.php/Texas_Sharpshooter_Fallacy

I also mention the John Snow cholera map:
http://www.ph.ucla.edu/epi/snow.html

I'm sorry but during the compressing and editing, a couple words got snipped off, but I think you can get the gist of what I'm saying.

Category:

People & Blogs

Tags:

• statistics
• statistical
• fallacy
• fallacies
• texas
• sharpshooter
• cluster
• clusterfallacy
• texassharpshooterfallacy

[vorhese]

With all the Tebow hoopla, this may be getting a few more views.

[powerstone2]

Hey Javier, I saw this vid a while ago, and I just uploaded my own version of the texas sharpshooter fallacy critisizing creationism/ID. Check it out, please/thx! =D

One of my examples was a million people raffle. The raffle is drawn (randomly),and Judy wins. But Dan says"the chances of Judy winning is million to 1. there's no way she could've won randomly. She cheated!" Of course this is irrational. The chances of anyone winning is a million to 1 and Dan can accuse anyone of cheating.

[Pensionisten]

thanks for explaining this to me in a way i could understand =))

[ogbash]

This reminded me of some things I learned from beginner statistics course - probability of mistake in statistical results. I comprehended (it took some time although) and absolutely adored the way it was laid out. I've just discovered it is called Bayesian probability.

[munkiiboi]

love your vids, 5 stars

[lirpa69]

My husband is a math geek. He loves this stuff. I gotta get him to start making vids. =)

[rnistuk]

Thank you, Javier. I look forward to the next one.

[AtheistAaron]

Great vid, Javier.

[goobergel]

Thank you soooooo much for this. This is exactly the education that is so very much needed BEFORE they get to my class.

[dfarmer1584]

That was so funny. And informative! Thank you.