FX Algo Trader Statistical Arbitrage Software Overview (www.fxalgotrader.com)
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I posted a 1 hr webinar on using statistics in options trading specific example in use of weekly butterfly. back tested results of 35% per year.
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If you buy eur/usd and sell gbp/usd, then your position is simply long eur/gbp. Volatility in eur/gbp can sometimes exceed that of gbp/usd ... how is taking an outright position in eur/gbp somehow less risky than taking an outright position in gbp/usd?
JCB7890 11 months ago
@JCB7890 It's less risky because you're effective leverage is reduced. If your 1 lot long EURUSD and 1 lot short GBPUSD your effective aggregated position is roughly 0.5 lots long EURGBP.
FXAlgoTrader 5 months ago
Hi, the current arbitrage engine exits under the following conditions:-
1) If overall arb position is profitable and spread mean reversion is complete ie spread has recoupled with it's 20 day MA.
2) Position has reached maximum allowable loss described as a % of equity
You could extend your profits by letting the spread move further over the spread MA - it's called 'resonance' - typically the spread will oscillate around the mean once it returns thereby allowing you to push more profit
FXAlgoTrader 2 years ago
Hi there, I'm trying stat arb with a manual calculation on excell currently and wanted to know when you typically exit your trades - if you get in at -2 e.g. would you exit at the mean or continue until SD hits +1 or +2?
clearsunnysky 2 years ago
@clearsunnysky Depends on the strength of the trend in the synthetic pair (created by the arb) if the spread is moving up strongly and you entered at -2 why not ride it out to +2. If the spread is stationary it's probably better to exit at the mean. There is a scenario called stochastic resonance where the spread will oscillate around the mean in a tight band when reversion takes place. So on that basis exit at mean reversion makes sense on a general basis.
FXAlgoTrader 5 months ago