Uploaded by asldeaffriend on Apr 28, 2009
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/30442914/
As soon as they have one or more cases, that threshold is crossed, said Ira Longini, a national flu expert and professor of biostatistics and epidemiology at the University of Washington and the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle.
You have to cut contact with people by 50 percent.
By that measure, closing certain schools in New York and Texas after students came down with the virus last week was a smart move. And so was limiting exposure of additional victims confirmed in three other states. So far, the U.S. total stands at 68.
But far more wide-ranging steps affecting entire communities could become necessary if isolated clusters of infection in the U.S. expand to resemble the widespread outbreak that has likely infected nearly 2,000 people in Mexico and is suspected in 149 deaths.
We're going to have a problem
If it causes person-to-person transmission in the community in a virulent form, were going to have a problem, said Dr. Brian Currie, an infectious disease expert at Montefiore Medical Center in the Bronx.
In that scenario, public health officials would be called upon to enact voluntary plans that could keep people away from work, out of school and in their homes for as long as it takes to quell the threat of infection.
Businesses would be advised to let workers telecommute, Longini said. Sports teams would be encouraged to cancel practices and games and parents would be urged to keep small children at home, avoiding even playgroups and parks
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