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Dr. Steven Novella on Bayes' Theorem & Pseudoscience

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Uploaded by on Jan 22, 2011

Dr Steven Novella gives an enlightening explanation of how Bayes' Theorem can be used to come to more accurate results in science and combat pseudoscience. This clip was taken from The Skeptics' Guide To The Universe.

The Skeptics' Guide To The Universe
http://www.theskepticsguide.org/

Audio Source
http://www.theskepticsguide.org/archive/podcastinfo.aspx?mid=1&pid=288
Episode 228
January 19, 2011

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  • If Bayesian probability were the norm instead of P values, and scientific results were routinely entered into a public central database, we could easily keep track of the state of Science's knowledge of any given subject.

    The first guy to study something new comes up with a prior probability, and everyone after uses the current probability as their prior. Then anybody could see at a glance what the consensus opinion is and at what confidence!

    It would be the death of pseudoscience.

  • Awesome! Steve is the bomb!

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