TPiR 4/8/10: Spelling Bee Failure...Or Not?

OK, so maybe it wasn't that big of a failure as it looks. The odds of picking what he did in 4 cards, in any order, is 5.3%. Doing it right in order as he did, the "worst" permutation here, was just a 0.22% chance, really emphasizing, seemingly, a gigantic goof. (The picks were 7, 11, 24 and 8 in that order).

But when you think about it, what IS the odds of winning this game with 4 picks? I don't think it's better than 50%, but also I think it's better than 35%. As someone on my beloved Golden-Road.net pointed out in today's recap, it looks horrible because he basically did the best he possibly could with his 4 picks. I was still really surprised though to see him just back out of it - I mean, 4 picks is a LOT different from 3, too. I guess I'm sort of split on the issue, which is why the question mark's in the title. :)

For the record, I checked out http://tpirsummaries.8m.com ("Scorpz"'s great Price database) and found some stats:
-the last time there was a bailout of 4 cards was May 21st, 2008 (Season 36). AAAR was drawn, so it was in fact the correct decision that time.
-there were two bailouts last season with just 3 cards, for $3000. Both did not spell CAR.

Category:

Entertainment

Tags:

• The
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• Season
• 38
• Drew
• Carey
• big
• win
• winner
• lose
• loser
• Spelling
• Bee
• Chrysler
• PT
• Cruiser
• classic
• bailout
• cash
• money
• failure
• car
• mistake
• goof
• questionable

[sshuffield70]

Hehehe. WayoshiM, you should upload another version of this with buzzers and the losing horns.

[WayoshiM]

@sshuffield70 I don't edit like that

[exilenazripoly]

What was the car that he would have won if he had not walked away with the $4000?

[WayoshiM]

@exilenazripoly Chrysler PT Cruiser Classic; $19390

[quadrupleplay]

Also add in the fact that it's a PT Cruiser. I'd almost rather have the $4,000...seriously, there's so many better cars out there now.

[WayoshiM]

@quadrupleplay Very few people are picky about cars ;)

[KoraggRules]

well with spelling bee you are taking a big risk but they give a easy way its a 25% that people want to take the money

[mastergamer9999991]

i'm probably the only person who would say screw the car, give me the money

[mrLMhimself]

he is an idiot for settling for 4k. you dont go on the price is right and settle.

[newman20072008]

dammmmmmmmmmmmm SO close,  he HAD it.

[SchwarzeWitwe2]

@WayoshiM I sat in one at a car show once. Instant claustrophobia - and I'm a small person.

[mrhorgan]

He should have taken a chance on going for the car...

[quadrupleplay]

@2010MrSas: You haven't seen many dumb TPiR contestants if you think this was the worst. Cassandra, 1/14/10; Joy (Ten Chances); Joseph (5/20/08), Charita (1/30/09)...

[JBTHREAT]

Another Grecco Masterpiece!!!! DAMN!!

[engrish2006]

Spelling Bee Fail.

[2010MrSas]

This guy is the biggest dumbass in TPIR history. Why in the f!@k would he be a pussy like that? I have been a fan of TPIR for 8 years and I am sick and tired of these goddamn contestants being so stupid! Today's show was a motherf$!@ing el skunko. This bulls%t better stop soon! GODDAMN YOU KATHY GRECO! FUCK YOU!