63. Trading the News - Economic Numbers - GDP Part 2

Loading...

Sign in or sign up now!
Alert icon
Upgrade to the latest Flash Player for improved playback performance. Upgrade now or more info.
9,195
Loading...
Alert icon
Sign in or sign up now!
Alert icon

Uploaded by on Feb 27, 2008

http://www.informedtrades.com/
The second lesson in a series on trading and how the components which make up the Gross Domestic Product number affect the stock, futures, and forex markets.

Link to this lesson on InformedTrades.com: http://www.informedtrades.com/14918-trading-news-gross-domestic-product-part-...

In addition to looking at the growth or lack thereof in the overall GDP number, traders will also look at the growth or lack there of in the different components that make up the number. As GDP represents the value of everything in an Economy you can imagine the amount of data that goes into compiling the number, much of which is published for market participants to view. By looking at the different pieces which make up GDP we can get a good picture of what is happening not only with the overall economy but with all the different components of the economy which are reported on to come up with the final number. .

Now we could spend many lessons going over all the data that is in this report. The goal here however is to build a framework for understanding the major components so we as traders can understand what is going on when the market reacts to certain pieces of the report and will recognize when to dig deeper for more information on what is happening in a certain sector. The broad categories that it is important to have an understanding of are:

1. Personal Consumption Expenditures -- as over 65% of the US economy is made up of this category, what the individual consumer is doing ie the growth or lack thereof in their consumption, as well as on what goods and services they are spending their money on is heavily focused on.

2. Private Investment - This includes purchases of things such as computers, equipment and inventories (known as fixed assets) by businesses, purchases of homes by individuals, and of businesses investing in inventories of goods to sell. These are all obviously important things, as how much businesses are investing is a good indication of how they feel about future growth prospects, and how much growth the housing market is experiencing is also an important component of the economy.

3. Government Spending -- this includes pretty much everything the government spends money on besides social programs.

4. Exports -- Imports -- an important number which shows how wide the gap is between how much the country exports and how much it imports.

What the GDP number is going to give you a feel for is how much each of the above grew for the quarter and what their overall contribution to the economy was. The above numbers will then be broken down into more detailed numbers which go into compiling the final number for the above 4 categories.

  • likes, 3 dislikes

Link to this comment:

Share to:
see all

All Comments (7)

Sign In or Sign Up now to post a comment!
  • My brother used this forex method called: Effectus Forex Strategy and earned about 300 pips in a month or two without doing anything!Anyone else tried this?

  • Interesting video - friend and subscribe for day trading, day trader, day trade videos, technical analysis...

  • The government doesn't even give the correct numbers on the GDP. So you have stock markets all around the world rallying on false information. What a joke! The whole market is totally manipulated.

  • i think the templates make the series succesful.

  • got to make sure people are awake!

Loading...

Alert icon
0 / 00Unsaved Playlist Return to active list
    1. Your queue is empty. Add videos to your queue using this button:
      or sign in to load a different list.
    Loading...Loading...Saving...
    • Clear all videos from this list
    • Learn more