今早港股恒指裂口低開527點後再滑落見18019點,暫還於18000點心理關口上,信報研究部主管莊志雄(Lewis)在「信號導航」評論大市時表示,從大市股份升跌比例圖可見以往反彈都可以去到7成股份升,前日及昨天反彈只有2至3成多股份升,今早更只得不足1成股份升,而近月內此圖皆見20個交易日內有三至四次大比例跌市,超過8成股份跌,如要大市見底,起碼此種大比例跌市頻密出現情況不再。
Lewis再以恒生指數多年月線圖分析,指出過去十幾二十年,港股算是有增長市場,形成一個相當長的上升通道,最近十多年兩次牛市皆可升上通道頂部,甚至可升穿頂部,跌市就會回落至通道底部,今次較為特別是升市未能升上頂部,在上落市後跌穿中軸線,等同過去兩次跌市回落跌穿中軸線,同時恒指月線RSI亦跌穿50強弱界線,現在是否會跌至底部呢?最好當然是升既升不上頂部,跌亦不要跌至底部,但如歐洲市場再傳壞消息,絕對有機會跌落底部位置,約是恒生指數13000點左右。
大市長線市寬指標股價高於250天線股份比例現時只得12%,今日收市後會見10、11%或再低些,上次出現此數值時是08年金融海嘯時,接著恒指跟跌,希望今次不是如此。
信報強勢股弱勢股指數指標中弱勢股指數在跌市時,高位稍回落再抽升,並不為奇,因在跌市時稍有消息,就算是中性消息,亦可令市場有反應緊張,沽壓又再回來,此指標正是反映市場這種情況。
@TheJCORLEON Probally something like American economy is inferior to ours hahah
MoreThenSurvival 5 months ago
what are they saying?
TheJCORLEON 5 months ago
上唔到通道頂就穿中軸,咪即係通道底都穿囉
InvestmentQuickMoney 5 months ago
1 In the name of Allah, the Beneficent, the Merciful.
2 Praise be to Allah, Lord of the Worlds,
3 The Beneficent, the Merciful.
4 Master of the Day of Judgment,
5 Thee (alone) we worship; Thee (alone) we ask for help.
6 Show us the straight path,
7 The path of those whom Thou hast favoured; Not the (path) of those who earn Thine anger nor of those who go astray.
Al-Fatiha
SafeDonations 5 months ago
港股升跌比例達97%!!!
analystz.hk/stock/up-down-stock-ratio.php
AnalystzHK 5 months ago