Neil Howe and William Strauss on The Fourth Turning in 1997 CSpan

Neil Howe and William Strauss appear on C-SPAN to discuss the release of their 1997 book, The Fourth Turning. In this clip, they discuss the historical significance of turnings, as well as offer prescient predictions as to where America may be heading.

Category:

News & Politics

Tags:

• Media Clips
• Neil Howe
• William Strauss
• Turnings

[carbonunit003]

This needs to be viewed more

[veg1024]

If events play out on schedule over the next 15 years, these authors will hopefully finally receive the public attention they have so strongly deserved.

[tcorourke2007]

Be careful digging through the past for prophets. The countless "erroneous" predictions that dwarfed the "accurate" ones are not uploaded to YouTube 12 years later. Being right about the present in the past does not mean you are right about the future in the present. That said, the theories here seem plausible and damn... these guys nailed the time-frame.

[Lemonjelllo]

Beginning of the end of the fourth turning is here!

[jonwhyte92]

this is almost scary

[Hypnotron2006]

This is all a giant bunch of cr4p.

[leesagrrl]

@veg1024

@veg1024

"Next 15 years?" How about the last couple of weeks.

"An impasse over the federal budget reaches a stalemate. The president and Congress both refuse to back down, triggering a near-total government shutdown. The president declares emergency powers. Congress rescinds his authority. Dollar and bond prices plummet. The president threatens to stop Social Security checks. Congress refuses to raise the debt ceiling. Default looms. Wall Street panics."

pg 273, Ch. 10

[GraceAboundedMore]

This is a good book. Read it a couple years ago. 

[92kid1]

This is extremely informative. Many of their predictions have come to pass and nearly right on the time they predicted. I don't understand why their theory hasn't gained more attention.

People then may not have believed it, but 14 years later, you'll see that Strauss and Howe were actually right.

[PastorWayneH]

Wow, these guys totally called it on the 2008 economic crisis!

[leeroynaggins]

Deliver us from the insane warrior priests...

[danger0usknowledge]

@danger0usknowledge The War On Terror was

the 3rd war that was funded by off budget supplementals.

[danger0usknowledge]

@TenderTrap86, Wasn't my point at all. Both parties are corrupt on the national level but not equally. The reason the Abramoff scandal was so limited was b/c republicans were handling it. Both sides do spin but the GOP PR propaganda juggernaut is beyond amazing. The GOP starts 3 wars, Iraq, Afghan, War On Terror, ALL OFF BUDGET All 3 are now in Obama's budget who then is attacked for "record" deficits. I wonder how it got to record levels? 7 trillion in deficit before taking office.

[TenderTrap86]

@danger0usknowledge I believe more and more people are waking up to the Republican/Democrat paradigm, sham. It's like choosing between John Gotti and Al Capone.

[danger0usknowledge]

Now we know what was behind the thinking of Cheney/ Bush. Despite being elected as small Govn't, fiscal "conservatives" they expanded Govn't & spent every dime & earmark possible behind 3 off budget wars. Now republicans are saying that "Bush" betrayed conservative values. Except Bush wasn't running the country, Cheney was. So that means Cheney or the RNC were't conservative enough. Now that they are out of power they are suddenly fiscally "reborn" with Obama as "socialist". A PR miracle.

[danger0usknowledge]

Climate Change, Peak oil, The Internet, 911,

2 Wars(off budget), Economic Crisis,

1st Black President (2 wars now in budget)

Coming up? Double Dip crisis, Election in 2012 &

everyone's favorite mommy, Sarah Palin, Mayan,

Evangelical, Jewish, Muslim's all competing

to see whose eschatology will score 1st)))

[leeroynaggins]

"We don't know what the next Gettysburg or D-Day will be"

I think we found out.

[ThePheBanks]

great prediction

[kiltyoposse]

i bought the book the week it came out, its still a good read, rather prophetic

[TenderTrap86]

This is very fascinating. They were spot on too. They said teh nyears from 1997. I don't know if that was a rough estaimate, but the economic crisis did start in early 2007. It looks like we're headed into Great Depression II.

[plasmamessiah]

Daniel then tells him what it means. Nebuchadnezzar himself, king of Babylonia, is the gold head of the statue. After Babylonia will come another empire that is of inferior quality to his, presumably represented by the chest and arms of silver. After that empire will come a third one of brass, followed in turn by the fourth empire of crushing iron, that crushes all others. This fourth empire will later be divided, however, and end up as the feet and toes that are partly clay and partly iron

[kmarinas86]

Ni Hao!

[andreegal]

terrance mackena, ray kurzweil , Carl Seagan, Moor's law and others have worked out models that follow a clear pattern...and those patterns are always accelerating until they find another paradigm shift. Hence, the pyramidal form of the Mayan long count calendar... for example 2012 is the date the Mayans worked out for the next paradigm shift with a 20 year transitional period, which is in accordance to the models by the authors I mentioned. Its pretty incredible and fascinating stuff!!

[andreegal]

I agree with the nature of cycles, but I don't believe its only true on western societies. For example, the ancient Mayans derived their believes and calendars based on patterns in history, by knowledge passed down from generation to generation. It just happens to be more difficult to notice because events played out in a much longer scale that its happening now....

[MeritisDE]

Fascinating and accurate!