Fallacentricity - The Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy
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Uploaded by CollegeBinary on Oct 18, 2010
An experimental new series in which I explore logical fallacies. The Texas Sharpshooter fallacy leads us to falsely attribute patterns to random data.
- 427 likes, 11 dislikes
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THIS VIDEO IS AWESOME!
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Contrived fallacies are my favorite. Nothing says Denial like a Rube Goldbergian effort to explain why the obvious is wrong.
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moar!
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I like it. Keep it.
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is this the same as the induction falacy in your david hume video?
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@salvagebar Your pretext here is that it would be rational to work there yet you can not rationally prove that assertion. A statistical model on coin flip probabilities assumes a perfectly balanced coin but no coin is perfect and furthermore some actual are rigged. On the contrary we may find good model coins by flipping them over long periods and choosing the ones that closer match a 50/50 model. Not working at a radio station with high cancer rates is more rational than you give credit for.
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@mrgerbeck Even if I wouldn't work there (I would, after answering some questions), it just proves that I am not a perfectly rational agent, not that something there causes cancer.
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@Donizen It likely would have if these women had contracted lung cancer, but they didn't. They contracted breast cancer. If it is caused by the consumption of any tobacco related product, it will almost always manifest itself either orally, or in the lungs.
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Probability pounds on fallacy once again. If the gameshow host offers you the swap, you should always take it.
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I do lots of these on my site
blogDOTpragmaticpsychologyDOTc
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@chrisofnottingham Oh don't get me wrong. Certainly it's important to investigate cases like this. Where people go wrong in situations like cancer clusters is that they WON'T ACCEPT it if the investigation concludes it is coincidence.
CollegeBinary 1 year ago 43
Causation Vs. Correlation Fallacy.
Amkid69 1 year ago 6