Betfair Tennis trading - Scalping the serve on a Tennis match

OK so it's slightly longer than what could normally be considered a scalp, but here we are using Tennis trader to anticipate the movement in odds through somebody winning a service game.

You can only do this confidently using Tennis Trader as it will tell you the upside and downside, which varies dramatically during the match, at any one particular point in time. All matches are different, so it's incredibly useful to have this information in front of you.

Tennis trader will also calculate the chance that each player has of winning a service game. Not just at the start of the that game but throughout the game as points are scored. This allows you to trade out at a suitable moment at the end or during the game.

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[ilDomski]

if querrey would have lost this game the odds would have gone from 3.02 to 4.34. with 500 pounds in play this would have been a terrible loss (compared to the possible winnings). plus i really don't see how querrey has an 83.3% chance to win this game. where does this value even come from?

[betangeltv]

@ilDomski - It would be great if trading were one way traffic but every good trading strategy has to accept there is a balance to be had between profits and losses, so money management is always key. Most people consider direction to the be the most critical factor when trading but it often isn't. Even if the trade would have failed you had several options as to what to do next. But that's down to each individual. The chance of winning a game is calculated from the underlying market.

[tausentosh]

OPS.. Comment removed.. but I think your answer is exhaustive!

[betangeltv]

@tausentosh - With great difficulty. We use a very complicated algorithm to do it and iterate it to home in on the values. It's similar to the method used by odds compilers.