New York Jets NFL Football Season Win Projection

From http://gamblerstelevision.com
Tony T here from Gamblers Television covering the NFL "Vegas Style" all season long.

2007 was a very disappointing season for the NY Jets. They finished the year 4-12 and near the bottom in passing, scoring and red zone efficiency. The quarterback position was unstable with Chad Pennington and Kellen Clemens not playing well. The team invested a great deal of money on free agent acquisitions to improve their offensive line and defense. Oddsmakers have set the NY Jets season win total at 7 ½ wins.

When you handicap season win totals you must, I mean must look at the schedule.

Schedule:

The Jets play in the AFC East with two games home and away against New England, Buffalo and Miami. The Jets went 2-4 against the division last year sweeping Miami. It might be a little tougher pulling the sweep against Miami this season but they could win at home against Buffalo. They play all the teams from the NFC West this season but got a little unlucky having to face the worst team from that division the 49'ers on the road. They have a Monday Night game at San Diego and must travel back to host Arizona in 5 days because it will be Tuesday morning once the Jets land back in New York. They drew the AFC West with tough games against the Chargers and Broncos but the Raiders in Oakland. They will beat KC at home.

Offense:

There is no clear favorite as training camp approaches at the quarterback position. Neither Chad Pennington nor Kellen Clemens did enough during mini camps to win the job outright. The problem with the Jets offense is they don't throw deep and their receivers lack size. You need a big play threat in your passing game and with Pennington and his lack of arm strength it really limits them. There is no doubt the Jets will block better for him with their upgraded line. But you still have to make the throw.
Running back Thomas Jones will need to find the form he had with the Bears. The team was 26th in the NFL in total rushing yards per game posting up a 94.8 average. There is no doubt this team will run better with better blocking this season and the Jets will have more manageable down and distance on 2nd and 3rd down plays. This offense will be ball control and will limit possessions for the other team. They can move the ball down field but once they get in the red zone and the field gets shorter what happens? Again your quarterback is going to have to make a throw around defenders and the Jets will most likely settle for field goals because they lack size in their receiving corp.

Defense:

The Jets had trouble getting a pass rush last season and after witnessing what pressure on Tom Brady can do to the Patriots during the Super Bowl the Jets made strides in improving that category. The linebacker positioned improved with the free agent acquisition of Calvin Pace and 1st round pick Vernon Gholston is being converted to linebacker in the Jets 3-4 defense. Pace and Gholston can put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. But when you run a 3-4 your defensive lineman better be good pass rushers. Pass rushing will be another shortcoming for this unit but it will do a better job against the run. The Jets acquired Kris Jenkins from Carolina but he has to adjust to an entire new scheme with the Jets at nose tackle. Without an improvement from the D line getting to the quarterback it will leave a young secondary vulnerable against big plays against them.

And now to my Selection:

The Jets will be an improved team over their 4-12 season. But their offensive shortcomings means that the lesser teams on their schedule will be within striking distance in the 4th quarter. Look for them to pull off some upsets this season and win outright has huge dogs. They could turn a nice profit for bettors betting them on the money line as underdogs getting back huge odds. But I can't find 8 wins on their schedule this season. Even though it's a favorable schedule the schedule has been adjusted in the betting line. Betting the Jets to break even or better in 2008 is a bad one.

Play NY Jets Under 7 ½ wins for the 2008 season.

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[colorfire]

"If you cant get pressure with your 3 DL the OLB's are easy pickups in pass protection."

I'm struggling to find the logic in this post. Someone help me out.

[gamblerstelevision]

Watch the offensive lines block instead of following the ball. You will see in 3-4's if the 3 down linemen cannot get pressure and force double teams the OLB's are easy picksups in pass protection.

[letsgomets07]

ur a moron!

[gamblerstelevision]

For reporting the truth. Sorry Jets fan. The 2009 draft may bring you a QB.

[HelicalColossus]

u said 3-4 d-linemen have to be good passrushers...no they dont. thats what OLB's are for in the 3-4

also if they thought they needed a new qb, they woulda traded for matt ryan

[gamblerstelevision]

If you cant get pressure with your 3 DL the OLB's are easy pickups in pass protection.

[yourSONGtoSING]

yeah that ain't our jets now ! now we've got the beat record in the NFL and we went into our bye week strong ! 5-1 baby!

[darksecret101]

look if you hate the jets i dont care so what if they havent won a superbowl since 1968 i love that team thats where i was born not in new jersey new york rotchester,ny

[Hendrixtheory]

test

[yanksfan65]

You sir, are an idiot

[rawisericho]

Wow, a name called Dead New Yorkers. The hilarious thing is we don't give a damn enough to make screen names about you guys. New Yorkers don't worry about second rate towns.

[Belle4Bella]

I went to high school (Northside High School, Ga) with Stuckey. He actually was the QB. We went to State undefeated and lost. He was awesome Clemson, hope he does well in the Pro's.

[rawisericho]

Wow a Pats fan. It's so tough to be a Patriots fan as opposed to a Jets fan. We've bled green and will continue to since 1968 and that's given us more character than you're pathetic organization will ever have. Bottom line, we're still New York and you're not. Let's see how well you do this year without key defensive players, a huge Super Bowl loss, and people looking for your cheating ways.