Karl Denninger - Slope of Hope Interview - Part 4
Loading...
5,503
Top Comments
see all
All Comments (3)
-
Karl's a smart guy but his inflation/deflation strategy is flawed.
A hyper-inflationary event is currency destruction, civil and institutional destruction. Karl will lose on his cash AND lose on his LEAPS either through counter-party risk or taking his LEAPS "profits" in cash - worth less the next day. And taxes on his LEAPS cap gains will likely be as heavy as elsewhere. At least with physical metal you can choose if/when/how to sell to sustain yourself.
Loading...
Regarding taxation
If the US gov wakes up, then it's possible they will try to encourage gold trade (and vital gold imports) with low taxes on gold - rather than the opposite (driving gold underground or to leave the country). Favoring a market for gold in a hyper-inflation might be the only way to bring in tax revenue (preferably in gold). In a hyper-inflation real tax revenues crash for many reasons. People trapped in a collapsing paper system stop paying taxes.
Jyoyo1 2 years ago 4
You need something tangible to ride out a hyper-inflation - not a derivative.
If we go "deflation" then it's likely to be one measured in gold - not dollars.
A shortage of dollars or a dollar with strong purchasing power in a country dependent on imports is absurd. He ignores the growing global revolt against the dollar system of tribute to the empire. It cannot last when trust/confidence is lost.
Yes, we will be in depression but don't count on the dollar to buy much.
Jyoyo1 2 years ago 4