Wanted: Moore's Law for Another 40 Years

When you fight the law, you'll usually lose... at least that's what happens when you fight Moore's Law, an industry axiom that states that the number of transistors on a chip will roughly double approximately every two years. This video, set to the tune of "I Fought the Law" originally recorded by Sonny Curtis and The Crickets, looks back at how many have long predicted the end to Moore's Law and how it continues to prevail as Intel releases its first 45nm chips based on its reinvented transistors with new Hafnium-based high-k and metal materials. Long live Moore's Law!

Category:

Science & Technology

Tags:

• Intel
• 45nm
• Moore's
• Law
• chips
• processors
• Hafnium
• high-k

[nepssis]

13nm exactly is limit for a silicon, but with some other material it is possible to continue with Moore's law ;)

[westhighlander]

Moore's Law as we know it (i.e. CMOS VLSI) will run out long before 2050

45 nm scale transistors are now standard and 32 nm scale demo chips are being fabbed

20 nm is expected in 3 to 5 years

Somewhere around 10 nm there are fundamental physical limits.

This means:

Depending on the doubling time for the number of transistors (i.e.2 or 3 years) the end is 10 to 15 years from now.

[keebut]

We should continue the chips with graphene!

[TearofFriendship]

Keep going Intel. I want to affordably run Linux Mint. Which is running in 6 x 4320p. Which is running Windows 8 which in VirtualBox in 4320p. Which is running high end games in max settings. While recording that game at the same time in FRAPS. Which is also running Sony Vegas or Final Cut Pro in another window in 1080p+. While running a whole bunch of nice programs in Linux like Transmission or KTorrent. While having 50 tabs open in Firefox. You can do it Intel, we're counting on you.

[AssemblerGuy]

A horse in a cleanroom at 1:05?! If that happened, that place would neve again be useful as a cleanroom for chipmaking... >.<

[JoesPlaying]

@CruelAngels 22nm is already working. Intel already demonstrated 22nm ivy bridge processors. :D

[CruelAngels]

Its currently 32 nm. 22nm is just next year. I think it was 17nm soon after that

[HORRORTV1]

Moore's law will probably decline between 2020-30. Now it's already 30 nm and 20 nm or below are to be expected in the next decade or so.

[3tangle3]

graphene next with much research?

[MenkoDany]

the density part of moore's law is set to run out very soon - around ~2035. Well, in between 20 to 30 years.

Then, we will have graphene. that's 2nm manufacturing process.

But it doesn't mean the moore's law will stop. Next we have 3d CPUs. Then we have non-atom based transistors. Then extreme mega cloud powered supercomputers...

but we'll run out of everything by the end of this century. If not earlier. Or if there won't be some big war. Then we would have perfect computer in ~2110

[stokepogue]

Moore's Law lasts only as long as the silicon holding the transistors together. Graphene could take silicon's place, keeping Moore's Law going some more years. But that will most likely be used in high-performance devices, not everyday electronic applications.

But, come on...3D molecular computing is way too important to ignore. It alone could facilitate quantum computing, getting us closer to the you-know-what.

Some people are treating Moore's Law like the Beatles: nobody wants it to end.

[supertrinko]

@westhighlander There are plenty of sub-nanometer structures that could be used as a transistor.