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Wanted: Moore's Law for Another 40 Years

When you fight the law, you'll usually lose... at least that's what happens when you fight Moore's Law, an industry axiom that states that the number of transistors on a chip will roughly double ap...  
 
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westhighlander (8 months ago) Show Hide
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Moore's Law as we know it (i.e. CMOS VLSI) will run out long before 2050

45 nm scale transistors are now standard and 32 nm scale demo chips are being fabbed
20 nm is expected in 3 to 5 years

Somewhere around 10 nm there are fundamental physical limits.

This means:
Depending on the doubling time for the number of transistors (i.e.2 or 3 years) the end is 10 to 15 years from now.
asdfusuck (8 months ago) Show Hide
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glad someone brought that up
SailorBarsoom (8 months ago) Show Hide
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Just means we'll have to do it another way. How? Beats the hell out of me. I never would have thought of HAFNIUM, for Pete Squeaks!

I wouldn't be surprised if there's some molecule that can act as a transistor. There's already talk of using electrons (not atoms, electrons) for memory storage.
zacharyvince (5 months ago) Show Hide
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Another way = quantum computing
SailorBarsoom (5 months ago) Show Hide
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Yeah. That won't be the continuation of Moore's Law in the strict "number of transistors" form, but it will allow the continued doubling of processor speed which has been going on since the days of mechanical adding machines.
Flybyhacker (5 months ago) Show Hide
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yeah
EnT271 (8 months ago) Show Hide
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the end for hafnium you mean? maybe they will find something else that allows to go even smaller
terrytsoiboy (5 months ago) Show Hide
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wt u said might be true, but no one noes wt will happens in the future, we see physical limitations atm, doesn't mean the limitation is invincible, 40years ago, ppl probably dun even noe there's a length unit- nano metre. I support your thoughts basically, but technology, hmm no one knows.
nepssis (4 months ago) Show Hide
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13nm exactly is limit for a silicon, but with some other material it is possible to continue with Moore's law ;)
132BigBoy (4 months ago) Show Hide
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yep..but till there well find a solution..i ve seen they are investigating hardcore ins everal diferent solutions already for a problem 10-15 years ahead

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