NOAA ROTFS: Oil spill under 100 miles from Tampa Bay, St. Pete, Clearwater

The Deepwater Horizon oil spill trajectory hindcast/forecast based on RTOFS (Atlantic) 18:00 May 31 - 18:00 June 3

FYI from the AP regarding the relief well planned for August at the earliest:

"The probability of them hitting it on the very first shot is virtually nil," said David Rensink, incoming president of the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, who spent most of his 39 years in the oil industry in offshore exploration. "If they get it on the first three or four shots they'd be very lucky." ...

On the slim chance the relief well doesn't work, scientists weren't sure exactly how much — or how long — the oil would flow. The gusher would continue until the well bore hole collapsed or pressure in the reservoir dropped to a point where oil was no longer pushed to the surface, said Tad Patzek, chair of the Petroleum and Geosystems Engineering Department at the University of Texas-Austin.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gIXWYBTpLtSayJtg41LKXpxSxVP...


NOAA Real-time Ocean Forecasting System
RTOFS: http://ocg6.marine.usf.edu/~liu/Drift...
Video: http://floridaoilspilllaw.com

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[TheWejdin]

Great i live in largo. Ive been waiting to see some oil. cant wait :P

[MIKEADAMS404]

omg thise is not good ....good bye snook fishing and all the fish fuck you oil spill

[1mealperday]

@2unearth But it appears no one wants to know or admit to it. I worry this may turn into a worse problem UNDER the seafloor.

[2unearth]

@1mealperday yes there is more than one.

[fal2grace]

thanks much for your ongoing coverage of this.

[MrDarrylR]

From the NOAA offshore forcast:

Satellite imagery analysis continues to show narrow bands of oil to the SE and ESE of the main slick. Recent overflights to this region reported only non-contiguous, colorless sheens continuing in narrow bands as seen in the

satellite imagery. Trajectories for remaining observed oil within this region suggest these scattered sheens willmcontinue to be entrained in a large clockwise eddy (Eddy Franklin) that has pinched off the main Loop Current.

[MrDarrylR]

There are about 600 natural seeps, but presumably this is NOAA's Real-Time Ocean Forecast System predicting spread of some sheens caught in an eddy of the Gulf loop. Hopefully this eddy will migrate westward as they generally do and take the oil with it.

[1mealperday]

more than one leak?