The Simulation Argument
Uploader Comments (TheDutchPhilosopher)
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All Comments (25)
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so basically out of bostroms 3 hypothesis' it is very unlikely that we are in a simulation. Because either life will not exist long enough for that to happen, or if it does this intelligent life won't be interested in creating a simulation. so the chances of us living in a simulation are very,very,very small.
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A simple exercise to show everyone why the Simulation Argument is fallacious. Using fsim = fpNH/(fpNH + R), if fp=0.1, N=1000 and R/H=100 then fsim=0.5 and all three propositions of the disjunction are false, but if we impose R/H=1 as per Bostrom in his argument and use fsim = fpNH/(fpNH + H) then fsim=0.99. Clearly the assumption R/H~1 invalidates the argument and under this assumption fsim isn't necessarily the actual fraction of simulated individuals.
I just remembered about this post. I have a quick question tho. Is this assuming that my mind exists and is plugged into the simulation (like the matrix), or is it assuming my mind is a product of the simulation?
Epydemic2020 3 months ago
@Epydemic2020 Your mind would be a product of the simulation
TheDutchPhilosopher 3 months ago
I am still waiting for the rest of your tags to respond... what is keeping them?
RationalRoundtable 5 months ago
@RationalRoundtable Dfpolis is on vacation and others are busy too. it'll happen. and then i'll make mine
TheDutchPhilosopher 5 months ago
I will give this some thought... I have been on vacation so I did not see this...
RationalRoundtable 5 months ago
@RationalRoundtable no problem Michael! Hope you are doing well
TheDutchPhilosopher 5 months ago