The Simulation Argument

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Uploaded by on Sep 13, 2011

Link to the paper: http://www.simulation-argument.com/simulation.html

There has also recently been a podcast on this argument on "philosophy bites".

tagging: Epidemic2020, RationalRoundtable, Thunderbolt91, and dfpolis Cartesiantheist

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Uploader Comments (TheDutchPhilosopher)

  • I just remembered about this post. I have a quick question tho. Is this assuming that my mind exists and is plugged into the simulation (like the matrix), or is it assuming my mind is a product of the simulation?

  • @Epydemic2020 Your mind would be a product of the simulation

  • I am still waiting for the rest of your tags to respond... what is keeping them?

  • @RationalRoundtable Dfpolis is on vacation and others are busy too. it'll happen. and then i'll make mine

  • I will give this some thought... I have been on vacation so I did not see this...

  • @RationalRoundtable no problem Michael! Hope you are doing well

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  • so basically out of bostroms 3 hypothesis' it is very unlikely that we are in a simulation. Because either life will not exist long enough for that to happen, or if it does this intelligent life won't be interested in creating a simulation. so the chances of us living in a simulation are very,very,very small.

  • A simple exercise to show everyone why the Simulation Argument is fallacious. Using fsim = fpNH/(fpNH + R), if fp=0.1, N=1000 and R/H=100 then fsim=0.5 and all three propositions of the disjunction are false, but if we impose R/H=1 as per Bostrom in his argument and use fsim = fpNH/(fpNH + H) then fsim=0.99. Clearly the assumption R/H~1 invalidates the argument and under this assumption fsim isn't necessarily the actual fraction of simulated individuals.

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