Volcano / Earthquake Watch Aug 28-Sep 2, 2011

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Uploaded by on Aug 26, 2011

Targeting Coronal Hole(CH473) in the northern hemisphere which could produce a significant earthquake possibly 8+ in magnitude. Time frame August 28-30.
First region is plotted to 28-32° North Latitude
Possible regions that could be at risk for a significant earthquake are:
Southern Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Bonin Islands Japan, or the Gulf Of California region.

Northern Hemisphere watch is associated with a coronal hole(CH473) 35-40° Latitude and the areas at risk for a significant earthquake are:
Azores Island Region-Portugal, Honshu Japan or volcanic activity in the Iceland region to relieve stress in the European block.
Time frame Aug 30-Sep 2.

Southern Hemisphere shows a small hole on the solar corona that could indicate a possible 5.5 magnitude earthquake around the Macquarie Island region (48-55°)

OLR anomaly indicates areas that could receive a significant earthquake are Honshu Japan, Queen Charlotte Region Canada, Guam, Mariana Islands, Azores Islands Regions.

Excellent information websites for solar watchers and researchers

http://www.solen.info/solar/
http://www.solarmonitor.org/
http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
http://helioviewer.org/
Website under construction
http://solarwatcher.net
Intro music used is royalty free and created by Kevin MacLeod
The spinning world globe at the start of the video is a free program called Earthquake3D
The use of images and voice from this video may NOT be used by another party and this video will not mirrored under any circumstances as annotations will be added to the video with important updates.

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Uploader Comments (thebarcaroller)

  • Loving your forecasts! Things are getting a little busy here in the Ryukyu's, feeling alot more activity than usual that doesnt seem to be registering on USGS or JMA's websites (Rumbling, slight jolting etc)...but a few of the larger ones in the region have been listed. (Hopefully this isnt a precursor, its been almost a year since the last 6+mag quake) Its been quiet here for sometime...hopefully this 8+ forecast wont effect our region...keep up the good work!

  • @usmcnic84 volcanic activity is a releasing of built up pressure and heat from deep with-in the earth, so having the volcano erupt on the 28th at Sakurajima could have prevented a large earthquake from being manifested.

  • @rivergod21 big far-side eruption, not earth bound or directed.

  • Hello, Thebarcaroller,

    Thanks for your information.

    Can you tell me what "OLR" means?

  • @Chatlein "OLR" is Outgoing Longwave Radiation

    Description: Pentad (5-day average, centered on date shown) outgoing longwave radiation as observed by polar-orbiting satellite. Negative values imply increased cloudiness and enhanced likliehood of precipitation. Positive anomalies imply decreased cloudiness/precipitation. The relationship between OLR anomaly and precipitation is most reliable in tropical regions.

  • @whiteshadow247 thank you

Top Comments

  • great work thank you

  • SO MUCH FOR DOOMSDAY: Comet Elenin (C/2010 X1), widely known for inaccurate reports of its threat to Earth, appears to be breaking apart. Observations by amateur astronomer Michael Mattiazzo of Castlemaine, Australia show a rapid dimming and elongation of the comet's nucleus akin to that of Comet LINEAR (C/1999 S4), which also disintegrated when it approached the sun in 2000. Comets are fragile objects, so this development while unexpected comes as no surprise.

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All Comments (70)

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  • I live in the Azores. Every day we have earthquakes, most of them we dont fell.

  • You nailed it again thebarcaroller, your forecast was above the rest.

  • 6.4 Mw - SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO, ARGENTINA Preliminary Earthquake Report Magnitude 6.4 Mw Date-Time • 2 Sep 2011 13:47:11 UTC • 2 Sep 2011 10:47:11 near epicenter • 2 Sep 2011 13:47:11 standard time in your timezone Location 28.422S 63.146W Depth 592 km Distances • 130 km (80 miles) SE (124 degrees) of Santiago del Estero, Argentina • 258 km (160 miles) E (90 degrees) of Catamarca, Argentina • 276 km (172 miles) SE (132 degrees) of San Miguel de Tucuman, Argentina
  • Good Job! This is very important technical info. I will Start comparing our models.

    On Sept 1, I uploaded the first closeups of Elenin.

  • Magnitude 7.1 Date-Time Friday, September 02, 2011 at 10:55:54 UTC Friday, September 02, 2011 at 01:55:54 AM at epicenter Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones Location 52.184°N, 171.684°W Depth 35.5 km (22.1 miles) Region FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA Distances 45 km (27 miles) SW of Amukta Island, Alaska 85 km (52 miles) SW of Yunaska Island, Alaska 1658 km (1030 miles) WSW of Anchorage, Alaska
  • Magnitude 7.1 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

    Friday, September 02, 2011 at 10:55:54 UTC

  • 4.9 mag 6km depth Christchurch. Cup of tea time.

  • @thebarcaroller , in fact it has been cloudy and rainy in Portugal since yesterday, including Azores, mainly in the area of the 5.4 earthquake (Flores and Corvo islands), according to the meteorology office.

    Congratulations for your work. :)

  • @100caseyrose I have been watching you guys for a month or more you seem to have more seismic activity there than anywhere else on the planet

  • Magnitude mb 5.4

    Region NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

    Date time 2011-08-31 12:17:27.0 UTC

    Location 43.60 N ; 28.93 W

    Depth 10 km

    emsc

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