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No. 6 Boise St and No. 3 TCU meet in the Fiesta Bowl on Monday in a showdown of the top two non-BCS conference teams. The Horned Frogs edged the Broncos 17-16 last year as a 3.5-point favorite, but there is reason to believe TCU is significantly better than they were last year, which is reflected in the 7.5-point spread for this years matchup. Justin has an interesting take on this line that involves his models number and the Sagarin ratings.
No. 10 Iowa burned a lot of sharp money that bet against them during the regular season, and now they head into the Orange Bowl on Tuesday as a 4-point dog to No. 9 Georgia Tech. The Hawkeyes faded a bit at the end of the year when starting QB Ricky Stanzi went down with an injury, but he is now back to full strength. Justin has an opinion on this game that one of the lines is significantly off.
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