Dvlottery 2012 - Results: Random or Not?

http://www.facebook.com/dvlottery

Note: Video made for our case - it is a tutorial for the randomness argument.

PS. used as a compliment to the poster.

Category:

Education

Tags:

• dvlottery 2012
• green card
• random
• blog.visarefusal.com
• Results: Random or Not?
• State Department
• after effects
• 22000 hopes
• diversity visa

[R0SS4N4]

Excellent video. Great Job! Perhaps one more thing you could add is that random does not mean uniform. In fact, a uniform distribution is by definition not random, as you have to make determined decisions in order to have the selectees picked uniformly in time.

[TheDvlottery]

@R0SS4N4 Thanks for the input - will consider it for the next one.

[TheDvlottery]

Please like our fb page: "Green Card Lottery 2012: The voice of 22,000"

facebook(dot)com/dvlottery

22.000 Hopes

[Wishmaster2000]

All the time you only talk about randomness.

But you TOTALLY IGNORE another rule: all attendants must have the SAME chance!

... but due to the partly selection, most of them never had a chance because they were not among the group of which the computer selected the winners!

[artgrigyan]

Very good explanation! God bless US and us, let win!

[richijontube]

The reason DOS rejected the results was NOT because the computer selected applicants from the first two days. They rejected it because the computer malfunctioned, and the bias selection was thus a consequence of that error. Assuming the malfunctioning of the computer had resulted in the entry of a single individual being selected 100000 times. Would that still be considered random since there was no external influence?

[mohamedmena2]

great great work guys

[qewa2000]

usa we need justice plz

[hashish2007]

@DrEfremov Nope. 22k is the number of people who got the NL1 from the website between May, 1 and May, 6. The _total_ number of winners is unknown and presumed to be normal (around 100K).