We commonly model asset returns under the idea they are normally distributed. In this tutorial, I explain how we can do this with the following Excel function: = NORMSINV((RAND()). The 'S' indicates a standard normal distribution; by definition, 'standard' refers to a distribution with zero mean and one (1.0) standard deviation. Alternatively, we can use =NORMINV(RAND(),0,1) to achieve the same effect. Then I use this random variable for a very simple Monte Carlo Sim: to simulate a stock price
@VoseDavid hi, where can I find this add-in?
brujoezln 8 months ago
There is a free Monte Carlo simulation add-in called ModelRisk that has far more distributions than Excel and automates the graphing, etc.
VoseDavid 8 months ago
What if i want a distribution that does not exist in the excel library?
sociodaxquina1610P 1 year ago 2
Keep up the good work!
Nice one about return simulation, but what about outliers/fat-tails?
Indrius 4 years ago