Obama-McCain Race Could Be Akin to 2004
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Give Georgia a chance... it's neck and neck.
osiris33 3 years ago
Google: dontvoteobamadotnet
Google: exposeobamadotcom
Srhandel 3 years ago
mind you, this is only analyzing people without a college degree and white voters. The reason is that these people tend to buy into fear tactics and appease racism. Bush has a 14% approval rating, second lowest in history tying his dad. This election will be a blowout, don't let anyone fool you.
drewdanger721 3 years ago
You do realize John Kerry lost right.....
alil2sarcastic 3 years ago
(cont.)
Other states Obama could very likely win that went Republican in 2004:
Nevada 5 votes
Iowa with 7 votes
North Dakota 3 votes
up to 57 votes are likely to go to Obama that didn't go to Kerry in 2004. The Republicans need to win 40 elsewhere to avoid a Democratic win if Obama wins 57. That means Obama could even afford to lose Pennsylvania AND Michigan! Although I think he will win both, especially Michigan.
So losing PA doesn't mean it's over and currently he is leading McCain a bit.
tubebunny7 3 years ago
Kerry didn't win the popular vote while Obama will according to the polls. Kerry lost by a 35 votes spread to Bush. Obama only needs to get 18 votes more than Kerry did in 2004.
If he wins Ohio and gains 20 votes the math is there already.
If he wins Virginia and nets 13 votes then winning New Mexico or Colorado (9 votes) is enough.
tubebunny7 3 years ago
Percentages don't mean a thing if you don't have numbers and it's easy to just look at the current weak points of Obama. What about the strong points? Young voters, black voters who vote Democratic are likely to vote in bigger numbers than in 2004, not to mention the fact that a lot of new voters have been registered that will go Democratic in November.
tubebunny7 3 years ago
Those numbers don't mean much of anything...the political atmosphere couldn't be more different from 2004, today. Then, the Iraq War still had a fair amount of support and Bush was at 50% approval rating. Republicans controlled all 3 branches as well. Now, Democrats have control of the Congress, Bush's approval is nearing 30%, and the Iraq War has very little support. The Republican Party seems to have no blueprint for the future, other than more of the same...which few Americans will tolerate.
bernlin2000 3 years ago
You're right allencrider, but also, I think this year it's more about TURNOUT and the ENTHUSIASM of such. A more RELATIVE poll would be to see how the primary numbers compare.
osiris33 3 years ago
Wrong. Wrong. Kerry got repeatedly hit about his so-called flip-flopping over the Iraq War. This election will be about age.
allencrider 3 years ago