A STRATFOR Conversation: George Friedman and Special Guest Robert Kaplan

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Uploaded by on Nov 15, 2011

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There is widespread international debate on the extent to which China's naval expansions pose a threat to U.S. dominance of the world's oceans. George Friedman and author and foreign affairs expert Robert Kaplan agree on China's ambition, but have very different views on its geopolitical impact.

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  • I like the table talk with the map. You should do more of these.

  • I love these discussions between the mental heavyweights. Please keep up the good work, Stratfor!

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All Comments (67)

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  • how do u compare a US sub and ch sub? it's like comparing caddic and cherry

  • I don't agree with George that just Japan and not China is the major power in the East. If you take the big perspective, just two civilizations have been superpowers for most of the time in the last two millennia: the Graeco-Roman-Christian civilization and China. - with India already trailing quite behind those.

    China has sufficient cultural and manpower resources to reach that superpower status again, after last centuries' setback. A typical setback happening every few centuries.

  • Things that should be taught in 21st century schools.

  • kaplan seems to have not spoken to chinese about what chinese really think - too bullish.  friedman seems more neutral

  • Chinese submarines are so noisy they can be tracked in the 1st convergence (25km+). Their submarine fleet is undermanned, untrained and lacks adequate maintenance routines. Chinese ASW is practically non-existent. US SSNs could shut down Chinese shipping with little effort. 

  • dafc3ce526d8c26fd07a698ca2b954­fa

  • I respect Mr Friedman, I read his books nest 100 years and next 10 year,both great work, what ı dont agree is that china is a big world power,its the country that buid great china wall thousand year ago, its developing so fast,look at the fast trains,look at the modern cities,washington looks like a village compared with beijing,I dont agree with mr friedman,nobody can predict for 20-30 years....

  • HACKED and bagged

  • Friedman still seems to think "bigger is better" in terms of warfare and conflict. The Chinese do not think this way. Understand that its diplomatic and strategic moves are subtle, much more so than American strategists.

    And sea denial, Mr. Friedman, requires only the threat of a single sea mine to deny an entire carrier battle group.

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