The Real Threat
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I guarantee you that if you conducted the exact same research on the chances of an alien invasion, the percentage wouldn't be too far off. N = R x fp x ne x fl x fi x fc x L
You can prove a lot of things if you build bias into the system. 83 busy national security experts, maybe 40 of them puts "4s" where it really was a "3" or "5" cause their wives denied nookie that night.
You can't simplify it to a "28% chance in ten years". You might as well say there's a 31% chance of me eating pizza now.
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Very true.
3 years ago 2
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Frankly, considering the United States has more nukes than anyone (and is the only country to have used them at war), I would expect that not even cave-dwelling terrorists would be stupid enough to risk the reprisals of such an attack, let alone a NATION like Iran. Statements like "Experts say the USA will likely be hit with a nuke within 10 years" are pure bullshit though. Stick to the facts, not "thinktank" fantasies.
Otherwise, good. Very post-modern cold war video.
Spatula007 3 years ago
Thanks Spatula...in response: Predictions are always questionable, as no one can see into the future, but that estimation was based upon a former Secretary and Assistant Secretary of Defense both who estimated the chance at more than 50%, as well as "a mathematical model, developed by a Professor at Harvard University, with a structured, step-by-step way of thinking through the problem, and a survey of 83 national security experts by Senator Richard Lugar.
We did the research on this.
TLF
cibao 3 years ago
Did you even watch the film? Much of your rant is supporting what the premise of the video. The only difference is that you've used my video to rant against Republicans. This isn't a political issue, but an issue about the safety of America and Americans, something that you affirm in your comment.
The Threat is REAL.
You aren't listening.
cibao 3 years ago