One way people don't usually think about climate change - but should - is the maps will change. Some areas of the world will become much more uninhabitable, first. Residents of those places will want to move to nicer areas. People already there will debate this (sometimes violently).
This scenario assumes that for a variety of reasons, the Earth (more in some parts than others) basically wears out like an old rechargeable battery - it winds up half as user-friendly as it is today, and we all have to make adjustments.
Take your pick - war, pollution, overgrazing, overpopulation, groundwater depletion, radiological contamination and good old fashioned climate change. Object to one if you want. There are a dozen other decrements to take its place.
But history shows humans are pretty darn good at land management when they must be - and as horrible as they can be when they can get away with it.
The end result (AD 2200 here):
- There's still a United States, only many more states and much more Hispanic (it annexes Mexico).
- Contrary to grave fearmongering, China does not go on an expansionist tear, save for quietly reuniting with Taiwan and even more quietly taking over Korea when unification there doesn't quite work out.
- European union works out so well.. there end up being three competing EUs!
- There is war in the Middle East and lots of it... only the Arab-Israeli axis turns out in the long run to be friendly, as the most reactionary threats to come along are from outside the Arab sphere - namely, Sudan and Pakistan
- Someone eventually invades Iran. It's not the USA.
- The Americans largely retreat to North America.
- The Russians get most of their old empire back.. and no one cares.
- While the rest of the planet is either full-on isolationist, dealing with ecological collapse, masses of refugees and religious strife, Brazil gradually becomes the dominant superpower.
Rather, all this happens in just one scenario.
And remember: It's not the future, it's just a YouTube. Make your own if you want. :)
Why on earth would Turkey and the Arab states unite? And in what universe are the Turkic peoples of the steppes "Iranian"? Not this one?
As for control of Baluchistan, I have a feeling Pakistan would happily sell the entire area to Iran if the price was right and let it be Teheran's problem
cskendrick1 1 month ago