... and, of course, the horse racing in 6th will benefit from a 3rd-over trip. All this transpires down the backstrech and, in a race of this caliber, if you are not at least 3rd-over or 3rd on the rail, the likelihood of winning is about 3%.
So, to be an effective handicapper, the trick is to see the race unravel in your head based on the post positions drawn.
Of course, there are a thousand other factors at play here, but try to envision the race in your head
Like any final, Graduate or not, you've got 10 drivers all looking for the perfect trip.
Whomever sets the pace is looking to get away with soft fractions. Very unlikely for $246K. The pocket-sitting rocket is looking for somewhat of a scuffle upfront. The horse racing 3rd on the rail will sit-in throughout and be content with needing to find room late.
The horse sitting 4th will sadly end up the sacrificial lamb. Whomever is sitting 5th gets the ideal 2nd-over trip.
(continued from below)
... and, of course, the horse racing in 6th will benefit from a 3rd-over trip. All this transpires down the backstrech and, in a race of this caliber, if you are not at least 3rd-over or 3rd on the rail, the likelihood of winning is about 3%.
So, to be an effective handicapper, the trick is to see the race unravel in your head based on the post positions drawn.
Of course, there are a thousand other factors at play here, but try to envision the race in your head
smaexpress 10 months ago
^
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Like any final, Graduate or not, you've got 10 drivers all looking for the perfect trip.
Whomever sets the pace is looking to get away with soft fractions. Very unlikely for $246K. The pocket-sitting rocket is looking for somewhat of a scuffle upfront. The horse racing 3rd on the rail will sit-in throughout and be content with needing to find room late.
The horse sitting 4th will sadly end up the sacrificial lamb. Whomever is sitting 5th gets the ideal 2nd-over trip.
smaexpress 10 months ago