By now Iran is pretty sure they will suffer an US/Israeli attack (and how couldn't they, with stuff like Niall Ferguson's "creative destruction" floating around) . They know they couldn't survive that. All they can offer is the threat to create as much chaos as possible. "Sure, you can and probably will destroy us, but we're not going down without a fight. Are you sure you want to do this right now?"
two of the options are irrational - like Catch 22 - never mind what you course of action you chose - your fucked. If you want to get into detail, then Iran should probably chose the option that less "fucks" it. Anyhow I hope they will not get nuclear weapons. I prefer the West with all of its discontents.
...In other words, Iran can only go by the option "The best way not to get eaten is to taste horrible", and try to buy some time.
neoZykl 2 days ago
By now Iran is pretty sure they will suffer an US/Israeli attack (and how couldn't they, with stuff like Niall Ferguson's "creative destruction" floating around) . They know they couldn't survive that. All they can offer is the threat to create as much chaos as possible. "Sure, you can and probably will destroy us, but we're not going down without a fight. Are you sure you want to do this right now?"
neoZykl 2 days ago
Where you been hiding man? Great vid!
ONESPECIES 3 days ago in playlist Uploaded videos
The threat is rational because USA, Israel and the UK will lose the most if the straights are blocked.
Oil is being smuggled out of Iraq, and the Iranian's know blocking the straights this will halt USA and their plans.
If they block the straights USA will have to talk to IRAN, as USA cannot afford another big war.
CMob09 2 weeks ago
You have it wrong about Iran losing trade by blocking the straights..
All Iran's trade is with China and Russia, they have ceased to trade with the west so do not need to use the Straight's of Hormuz.
CMob09 2 weeks ago
two of the options are irrational - like Catch 22 - never mind what you course of action you chose - your fucked. If you want to get into detail, then Iran should probably chose the option that less "fucks" it. Anyhow I hope they will not get nuclear weapons. I prefer the West with all of its discontents.
Forkroute 2 weeks ago in playlist Uploaded videos
pleae keep posting. I love your stuff.
Forkroute 2 weeks ago in playlist Uploaded videos
I don't know if they are isomorphic, but this paradox reminds me of Newcomb's problem.
ParagonProtege 1 month ago
@ParagonProtege
Yes, its very similar to Newcomb's problem; as is the game show 'Deal or no Deal'. But this is more dramatic because it might involve shooting :)
wisdominnature7 1 month ago