Weather Action Extreme Weather Events for August 2009

[jonie1515]

Are you speaking of

MIAMI Hurricane Bill became a dangerous Category 4 storm with top sustained winds near 135 mph early Wednesday August 19, 2009 and forecasters said it could get even stronger as it howls over the open Atlantic.

Your saying this storm will die out and do zero damage right?

[FrogJacuzzi]

Someone posted this to last month' s video.

"Thanks for the info. How accurate is this prediction? I'm gonna get married around mid July and? from the looks of this prediction, it's gonna be a wet one. :("

Just in case anyone was wondering how WES5578 arrived at the conclusion "he is even selling predictions on wedding dates."

I remember Corbyn predicting one long wet summer for the UK and a few other places. I was not surprised by the original post because summers include a lot of weddings

[WES5578]

@frog

do you have a brain?

not to worry, next week back to the job.

he IS predicting weather on a specific date,look at the forecast for the uk,3 warnings in august already wrong..he is even selling predictions on wedding dates.

he does not mention his failures, and when paul simmons asked he banned the use of any extracts by him.

further more his 'theory' is flawed at least,the sun varies only 0.1 of a percent in activity.

other factors are much bigger such as co2 and volcano's.

[FrogJacuzzi]

You're saying a few hundred parts per million (or < 0.05%) of CO2, a relatively minor greenhouse gas, will obviously have a bigger effect than a 0.1% variation in the sun!

For comparison, the warming of the 20th century was 0.6K.

I didn't expect such a crap argument from even you!

Water vapour?

Read more; type less. Or we have a never-ending "Yes he is"/"No he isn't".

Go to the weatheraction website & then Forecasts. Are you saying that by your understanding he claims a resolution of 1 day?

[cameronj74]

I'd actually be more wary of the forecasters that have the slick production armed with smoke and mirrors (like the IPCC for example). The 'rawness' of Piers' presentations actually gives it more merit in my eyes. He has a track record of predictive success, unlike our mate Wes, who obviously is not putting his PhD in climatology to good use!!!

[nickcdart]

Excellent and correct so far

[FrogJacuzzi]

Aren't there enough forums to debate these issues without attacking the guy's work at its outlet? He appears to lack resources as it is, at least for video production.

How about some constructive advice regarding the production quality?

I think we all agree that so far, it's more than a bit flaky -- and improving only slowly.

[FrogJacuzzi]

WES5578:

Do you have a job?

[WES5578]

LONG range weather forecast !!???????

recorded friday 31 of july...even a few days ahead is impossible for him to correctly predict the weather...

for example the 'storm' in the mediterranean beginnig of august.

lol.

predictions for the uk coming from his site,forecast archive 30 days ahead

he predicted for the se of uk 'very warm' weather,1-3 august..

unless he thinks 22 degrees is very warm...

no severe weather is reported...

check for youself

[FrogJacuzzi]

What are you sources WES? Where are you getting your data on the weather that has occurred?

Instead of just trusting Corbyn, shall we just trust you? Thanks, by the way, for explaining to everyone what science is. Not patronising or anything.

He doesn't 'call dates periods'. weatheraction (.com) explains his terminology and confidence levels in some detail. Again, if it isn't a video you can't be bothered!

This is seasonal. He DOES mean periods, NOT dates! Finer resolution is not possible.

[WES5578]

well...NO major storm in the gulf of genoa beginning of august.

he is nowing even more general in his predictions than other months.

now i have to pay for the dates?

now he calles the dates 'periods'

but no storm south of japan beginnig of august ,a low pressure is active below hong kong but not a typhoon.

'some storm' east in the pacific is false also..

but 3! extra storms later that month!!

w'l see..

NO major hurricane forming in the caribian beginning of august...

sjees, HOW wrong IS he !

[jonie1515]

sorry major storm Felisha just hit and its early August!

[WES5578]

@jonie wow! brilliant! where is the storm of florida 2-3 of august?? or of the coast of italy beginning of august? 'further in the month 3 other events in the general atlantic' predictions are also 'brilliant'..with such predictions people can pinpoint the evacuation of their family's.. NOT! se australia 2 periods of strong winds.. any idea WHEN? bay of bengal this month 'INTERESTING' .. wow,imagine the metoffice using such terms.. predicting storms in asia is a no brainer. i predict several..

[FrogJacuzzi]

Forcast? Surely a typo!

The quality is certainly improving but more gradually than I'd like! I see these forecasts as useful for those of us desperate for information. I do not see them as likely to convert unbelievers -- yet!

I recommend a hand mic for Corbyn if a more standard mic is too difficult to set up. I am also surprised by the lack of direct computer graphics or pretty young girls!

I know nothing about the resources available to make these, so I can't really comment further.