Iowa is largely irrelevant. It is only discussed because it insists in having its caucuses before any other state has its primaries. That way they are hoping to influence everyone else, but they don’t.
If anything matters about Iowa, it is the Iowa carcasses, i.e., people, like Michelle Eichmann, who drop out of the race as a result of the caucuses.
early to tell with SC.. Mitts currently in the lead there in a new poill, with Santorum enjoying a bounce.. but Mitt will be hard pressed to actually win there, and the attacks that are to come his way which are LONG overdue, will affect him.. Mitts advtg is that he's got 4 opponents splitting up the same vote, while Romney sits pretty and retains his moderate 25% base.... again, too early to tell in SC
(pt 5) IT shows you Newt the historian and you can feel that sincerity when he speaks. "2+2=4" is another good speech. Its a non-campiagn Newt that gives you a glimps into who he really is. He's not as sharp with cameras in his face on the campaign trail where he tends to say things that hurt his campaign, or where she shifts tactics on the fly. The podium is his wheelhouse. The NH debates will be interesting.
(pt4) I think while Newt would love to win the nom, he is willing to sacrifice himself in order to take Romney out and in effect help Santorum win the nom, or at least gain valuable momentum. Now part of that is out of revenge. But I think it goes deeper than that. Say what you will about Newts ego. HE is sure of himelf. But I think deep down he loves the country and the legacy of the nation. If you ever youtube Newts speeches from his priv life, (victory or death), you see a diff Newt.
(pt 3) Newt also has a great way of explaining ideas and drawing contrasts that make true conservative principles resonate with voters,especially undecided and centrist voters. I think NH is Mitts by default. SC will be the decider. Here's an intersting sidenote: I think Sant and Ging both realize Mitt is the main threat. Diff is, Sant mainly Mitt as a threat to winng the nom, while Newt recog that hes not only a threat to the nom, but also a further blow to the GOP's traditional conservativism
(Pt 2) What history DOES support, is that whenever the GOP produces a candidate, a true conservartive, who has the ability to skillfully explain conservative principles and contrast that with liberalism, and is able to connect with the voter, the conserv always wins. And often by landslide proportions. Reagan did it bc he was a great communicator. Newt took back the House in the 90's during a very long stretch where Dems dominated the house elections, and at a time when we had a popular Dem Pres
(pt 1) IMO, the estab will rally behind Romney and hand him the nom. Its unfortunate that the GOP continues to do this (Dole, McCain, Romney) out of hopes that a moderate will be its best chance to draw centrists and independents, because that formual doesnt work. History shows moderate nom get routed in general elsections. (Dole, McCain, enter Romney). Mitt's economic 'prowess' is his only strength, but even the WSJ calls his plan timid.
Santorum will do OK on the east coast, but not great, as soon as some of the really scarey things he believes in becomes more public (which it will very soon), he will sink faster than the Titanic. Mitt will be the candidate for the GOP. Who will be Mitt's pick for VP I wonder?
I think Romney will still end up getting the R nomination. Given the social views of any of the current R front runners, I wouldn't be able to support any of them. In fact, they come across as a train wreck of clowns. imho.
@CriskysCorner Much better than most, but that isn't hard, given what the conservatives have to work with. Good stance on marriage equality. Even if I may agree with the man's views, I can't say I can back the current general policies of the GOP or the Libertarian party though.
Iowa is largely irrelevant. It is only discussed because it insists in having its caucuses before any other state has its primaries. That way they are hoping to influence everyone else, but they don’t.
If anything matters about Iowa, it is the Iowa carcasses, i.e., people, like Michelle Eichmann, who drop out of the race as a result of the caucuses.
I wouldn’t lose much sleep over it.
RustyTube 1 month ago
Predictions:
NH : 1) Romney 2) Paul 3) Santorum 4) Huntsman 5) Gingrich
early to tell with SC.. Mitts currently in the lead there in a new poill, with Santorum enjoying a bounce.. but Mitt will be hard pressed to actually win there, and the attacks that are to come his way which are LONG overdue, will affect him.. Mitts advtg is that he's got 4 opponents splitting up the same vote, while Romney sits pretty and retains his moderate 25% base.... again, too early to tell in SC
playmayker88 2 months ago
(pt 5) IT shows you Newt the historian and you can feel that sincerity when he speaks. "2+2=4" is another good speech. Its a non-campiagn Newt that gives you a glimps into who he really is. He's not as sharp with cameras in his face on the campaign trail where he tends to say things that hurt his campaign, or where she shifts tactics on the fly. The podium is his wheelhouse. The NH debates will be interesting.
playmayker88 2 months ago
(pt4) I think while Newt would love to win the nom, he is willing to sacrifice himself in order to take Romney out and in effect help Santorum win the nom, or at least gain valuable momentum. Now part of that is out of revenge. But I think it goes deeper than that. Say what you will about Newts ego. HE is sure of himelf. But I think deep down he loves the country and the legacy of the nation. If you ever youtube Newts speeches from his priv life, (victory or death), you see a diff Newt.
playmayker88 2 months ago
(pt 3) Newt also has a great way of explaining ideas and drawing contrasts that make true conservative principles resonate with voters,especially undecided and centrist voters. I think NH is Mitts by default. SC will be the decider. Here's an intersting sidenote: I think Sant and Ging both realize Mitt is the main threat. Diff is, Sant mainly Mitt as a threat to winng the nom, while Newt recog that hes not only a threat to the nom, but also a further blow to the GOP's traditional conservativism
playmayker88 2 months ago
(Pt 2) What history DOES support, is that whenever the GOP produces a candidate, a true conservartive, who has the ability to skillfully explain conservative principles and contrast that with liberalism, and is able to connect with the voter, the conserv always wins. And often by landslide proportions. Reagan did it bc he was a great communicator. Newt took back the House in the 90's during a very long stretch where Dems dominated the house elections, and at a time when we had a popular Dem Pres
playmayker88 2 months ago
(pt 1) IMO, the estab will rally behind Romney and hand him the nom. Its unfortunate that the GOP continues to do this (Dole, McCain, Romney) out of hopes that a moderate will be its best chance to draw centrists and independents, because that formual doesnt work. History shows moderate nom get routed in general elsections. (Dole, McCain, enter Romney). Mitt's economic 'prowess' is his only strength, but even the WSJ calls his plan timid.
playmayker88 2 months ago
Santorum will do OK on the east coast, but not great, as soon as some of the really scarey things he believes in becomes more public (which it will very soon), he will sink faster than the Titanic. Mitt will be the candidate for the GOP. Who will be Mitt's pick for VP I wonder?
SnapTwister 2 months ago
@SnapTwister i certainly hope you are wrong about that. especially in the current political situation.
CriskysCorner 2 months ago
I think Romney will still end up getting the R nomination. Given the social views of any of the current R front runners, I wouldn't be able to support any of them. In fact, they come across as a train wreck of clowns. imho.
weskos 2 months ago
@weskos look into gary johnson. he seems to have his head on his shoulders. (from what i've seen anyway)
CriskysCorner 2 months ago
@CriskysCorner Much better than most, but that isn't hard, given what the conservatives have to work with. Good stance on marriage equality. Even if I may agree with the man's views, I can't say I can back the current general policies of the GOP or the Libertarian party though.
weskos 2 months ago