Antonius vs Robl: running it 4 times

[lolimfalling]

0.4.% chance or 250:1, prettttty lucky

[itsmetramp]

Most ive heard antonius talk

[IamGeirby]

Кто научил играть в покер Джигурду?

[kanikel007]

omg ^^

[kanikel007]

ferguson fold, what a surprise



[Protoculture747]

Worst self-control for ROBL, carrying himself like a girl, Antonius Noble quiet man, the Leader

[supernick345]

As Doyle would say - "That's poker folks"

[twelve98]

antonius is such a baller with his stack of plaques!!!

[coveirokiller]

Antonius is a great PLO player and abotu robl's play, well, looks like that was the first time he ever played PLO. No way he was ahead. how can he just ships with a pair ? thnking " my opponent might have a draw ... " yeah and if he got a draw u are a underdog anyway.

[dvstruco]

@coveirokiller he won the pot. great play! =P

[0555]

how fucking surprise!!!

thats why andrew played 450 sng's with %280 av ROI and %98 ITM ($50-$100 buy-in)

[Thebook85]

@0555 skills buddy only skills LOOOOOLLL

[TheBigGeorgy]

Worst bad beat ever

[Taktikfuchs1]

lol jedlicka looks disgusted by robls play

[devez7]

this was the first time robl was playing plo?

[ParisTK]

.237%

[TomValedro]

wow. robl has skills.

[kokafalasi]

ROFL at ROBL.

[KingFrej]

ROBL=ugly fish

[godzac]

Look at that fuckin massive MOUNTAIN of 25k plaques in front of Antonius...

[wizdoomb]

shit happens. That's poker, that's life.

[skaloon]

@wizdoomb

this shit happens 1 time in a lifetime. it's ridiculous how unlikely is to loose 4 deals in this spot.

[gelvispro]

failed bluff, leave him alone.

Im on Antonius' side, but come on, grow up of false trolling.

[KirKanu]

Shit player. Shit win.

[SickRubz]

this is sick!

[Mitjitsu]

Surprisingly this isn't the worst beat in televised poker. The worst one was when Helmuth ran it 4 times when he was a 7.5 to 1 favourite against the Loose Cannon and lost 3 of them. The odds of that happening were 825 to 1.

[a55a5in4ever]

"He reminds me of Samy Farha he used to do this to me" :))) LOL !!!!!!!

[masterof1231]

LMAO

[Soboredwtf]

too fucking quiet.

[twelve98]

robl i s such a donk

[SHELFSIDEYID1882]

am i doing this wrong....because on my calculator 0.27 x 0.27 x 0.27 x 0.27 is coming out at like 0.005%.....so odds of this happening are nearly 19000 to 1??

sick

[Freezypeak]

@SHELFSIDEYID1882

in fact you calculated it right but it equals= 0.00531 which is 0.531% not .005

so its 188 to one, yes

[budweiser4]

@SHELFSIDEYID1882 wrong, see 0,27 isnt % but simple p, that means, you have to multiply it by 100 to get a procent ....

In this case, Robl had 0,5% chance of winning all 4 runs

[GoatseObama]

Antonius at the end was priceless

[Wolfinator234]

This is dumb, why would he go all in on a draw? the guy with the pair one, seems right to me

[Rex0pas]

@Wolfinator234 one pair is nothing in omaha...

[wsopzx]

@Wolfinator234 if robl had a set of aces, antonius would still be a 60-40 favourite with a monster straight and flush draws. thats how big draws in omaha run. 9 diamonds and 13 straight outs. he also can make pairs. technically, antonius has 22 outs to make the best hand on the turn. thats more than half the deck

[michigrind23]

robl is a donk.

[DWiens421]

Literally the most shocking thing I've ever seen... not just in poker either.

[Kallix666]

ferguson had aq and 2 spades had the other guys get cards too?

[marshallbrooks1]

it shuold be different than just 27^4. every time they run it and one of patriks outs dont show, it makes it more likely that the next run it will show. so i think every run his percentage of winning got greater but he kept losing. incredibly sick

[TacoManTuesday]

He used to do this to me...

[ivandaniel08]

"Reminds me of Sammy Farha, he used to do this to me"

You´re cool, Antonius. But that sounds like a molested child.

[J0k3r4U]

@ivandaniel08 Lol!!!

[aidansparkes12345678]

less the 1% my arse...... its about 16-1, so about 6%

[darkjeshush]

@aidansparkes12345678 Where are you getting 16-1 from....27^4 is 0.53%. Besides, it should be even less than .27^4; if they ran it each time, reshuffled turn/river/burns back in and then ran it again, then it would be (.27)^4. Because as Antonius fails to hit on consecutive trials, his concentration of outs remaining in the stack must increase on average for each future trial. So four failed trials in a row should be closer to something like .27*.24*.20*.17, closer to 20 bps.

[warthog212]

@aidansparkes12345678 lol moron i hope you play poker you fish

[khakimz]

@aidansparkes12345678 now that's bad maths right there. it is in fact less than 1%.

[bdpetroni]

This is why I love playing PLO against all the young players who really only know how to play NLHE.

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[corky2002]

I love the comment about Farha at the end, "this reminds me of sammy...he used to do this to me" classic

[ecoke38]

The first one happened and I was like okay Robl will take his quarter and be happy...okay his half...okay three quarters...theres gotta be no way he scoops the whole thing...a spade?! wowwwww.

[Endurx23]

0.53% thats so sic i wouldnt dare if it was Phil Hellmith lossing because we would have great drama scene, but i'm really sad it was Patrik, he would even make any expresion on that, that a man.

[irishdan2007]

sick game

[topofladder]

just so sick

[lg123xyz]

and Robl giggles like a little bitch that just sucked out

[David321Davidson]

The guy has a pen with all of the possible poker odds combinations written on a side of it. He just looks for " winning 4 times out of 4 being a 3:1 underdog"

[trenis]

that got the be one of the biggest suckout in history, and more annoying is that robl is the beneficair

[thenotorlousbig]

sam farha used to do that with him all the time.

[shiraq07]

i think they should make "run it twice" or more as a default to online PLO, this way It will be less variance

[skaloon]

that was insane. 

[fourstarhotel]

.4% to win all 4? 0_o

[Adminess]

ok how he beat his streight on first round ???????

[Takkra]

@Adminess u don´t know omaha, do u? ^^

u can only use 2 of your 4 cards to the board! ;)

[Adminess]

@Takkra xaxaxa 10x xD Yes i was not sure about omaha rules =)

[SwampyQ2]

had they ran it 8193284091039819429048 times, antonius still wouldn't draw a better hand

[zhongguohua88]

@SwampyQ2 There are 7 players that get 4 cards each so the most you could run it would be 15 times.

[iBetYouWill85]

loldonkaments

[hillsonger]

what a luckbox.

[civilwarbler]

It's all because Patrick said "wow...good luck, buddy." Clearly, the poker gods do not appreciate cockiness.

[hillsonger]

@civilwarbler your gods are dead

[JerryOdeen]

Its just unbelivlble :D

[b1nside]

INSANE! less than 1% for ROBL to win the 4 times being a 3:1 underdog +.+ sometimes POKER SUCKS SO MUCH- uau.

[xblackiris10x]

i didn't know patrick had a sense of humor.

[clank25]

ooooooooohhh...that's really, really, really sick.

[Araknophobik]

lmfaooooooooo

this was so ill

[rickyq61]

and thats why poker is a joke

[Araknophobik]

@rickyq61 and thats why you're a joke

[ba3cool]

1 in 188 chance of that happening.

[W0lfster]

what happens if you ran it 5 times? The deck would run out of cards!!! Whats the ruling on this?

[Gforcebond]

@W0lfster

they wouldnt be able to do it. I've seen it in stud games if they did run out of cards they re-shuffle the burn cards only and deal a "community house card" that everyone can use like it's hold em

[W0lfster]

@Gforcebond Im sorry please explain, Ive heard you cant use the bottom card is this true? So how many times can players run it? endless? So do they shuffle all the burncards and use them to deal more community cards and leave the community cards already dealt where they are? Suppose if you run out of burncards then what?

[W0lfster]

@Gforcebond Also how is this related to stud when stud isnt a community card game?

[Gforcebond]

@W0lfster

If they run out of cards they can run it anymore. This isn't common with people running it multiple times. Most Casino's don't even allow it b/c it wastes time. I've seen it once at a casino in a stud game only b/c like all 9 people in the hand were in the hand until 7th street(the river) and they ran out of cards and the ruling is they re shuffle the burn cards and deal one community card for everybody to use b/c they didn't even have enough cards to deal to everybody.

[W0lfster]

@Gforcebond so lets say they wanted to run it six times and the there wasnt enough cards to deal out the last 6th river, what would the ruling be? Would they just stop there and divide the pot into 6 or 5? And are they raked for each time they run it?

[julesickdrums]

one word: GROSS.

[Gforcebond]

sick thing is even if patrick had like a set of 7's he would of lost 3 out 4 lol

[guido1899]

the commentator got his pen very fast

[Th3Z0ne]

@guido1899 hahahaha!! i read that comment and cracked up when he said it :p

[ukstevey]

roblcopter

[kookoon]

ANTONIU'S A DONK

[finnfisu]

@kookoon ???????

[Sulfarose]

Disgusting.

[mcswagsurfin]

robl is a noob

[mickymacky02]

that was fckin awesome. robl is the shit. f the haters.

[tfowler20]

Poker Gods got back to Antonius for being on that high horse on the flop:D

[seige184]

3:42 Orgasam !

[KaLiLoKz]

woooooooooooooooooooooooooow

[salto0084]

The only thing that sucks on poker more than bad beats are those spamming comments on every poker related video.

[stehoz87]

this is so sick

[VinDigital]

'good re-reraise' very rare patrik antonius dick move

[TzunSu]

@VinDigital

Yeah, he got the karma payback for it though :P

[h3ptagrama]

Yeh..Helmuth instead of Antonius and it wouldve been a hillarious major meltdown

[bannedagainfromutube]

Robl is a cum guzzling faggot.

[xTempesTx]

Imagine if that was hellmuth.

[RICHARD272007]

wow



[91Holdem]

best hand held up lol

[fabio05cannavaro]

@91Holdem lol best hand.....

[dl400apl]

"the chances of that happening, let me get a pen......(1 sec later), its less than 1%"

Is it just me or was that the most speedy calculation ever??

[andrewmcgheeee]

@dl400apl he's joking

[AdamMatuszewski]

@dl400apl exactly  0,53%

[bierbuik]

@dl400apl Well he didn't realy get a pen, it was a figure of speech, you bloody idiot!

[dl400apl]

@bierbuik dude, settle down....you clearly need to get laid

[bierbuik]

@dl400apl Of course I do, but that doesn't detract from my previous statement!!

[simonjeste]

@dl400apl the magic of editing!

Do you really think that Joe Stapleton and Chris Rose are as sharp-witted as they appear to be in The Big Game commentary? They have time to come up with stuff, after the show has been recorded... ditto for this show.

[Fridaydude]

@dl400apl nah, 25% for him to win each hand. 4 hands played. so chance of him winning them all is:

1/4*1/4*1/4*1/4 = 1/256

some basic odds math here.

[Foreverguga1]

@dl400apl

odds of Robl winning 4 times are 0.27 x 0.27 x 0.27 x 0.27

About 0.5%

Rigged game obv

[mjshine24]

@Foreverguga1 why would it be rigged. chances of getting dealt pocket Aces in holdem is less than 0.5%.

Does that mean its rigged if you get dealt them??

[Foreverguga1]

@mjshine24

I was being slightly sarcastic. But it is very unlikely.

[stinky472]

@dl400apl 0.27^4 - pretty quick

[sunnyboy8644]

this robl donk is just ridiculous..... LOL typical online all-in with only one pair in PLO,LOL...

[retroherb]

can someone explain how Antonius is a 73% favourite when he has 18 outs to Robl's 19? Should be a coinflip surely...

[retroherb]

@retroherb Oh wait, just realised, Antonius only has to hit on one street, Robl needs running outs. Still, hes more a 2/1 dog then the 3/1 the percentages show.

[kingsmiddy97]

@retroherb he can also get runner runner 2 pair to beat Robl's top pair, there is more there vs Robl's hand than just flush and straiht draws

[pokervidworld]

@retroherb Antonius has tons of backdoor outs too like if a 10 come or 9, etc

[fabio05cannavaro]

@retroherb it's actually wrong, right odds are 68,5% vs 31,5%, tried with a free omaha odds calculator, but they may have counted folded cards or something

[gambitvl]

lol...what a joke

[4inher]

The sammy comment is just GOLD

[silicon43]

did pokerstars shuffle the deck?

[blaupunkt600]

@silicon43 no, fulltilt did it xD

[thebreeze12]

This robl is such a donkey......and he just laughs. Stupid all in call (typical of the internet donkey). This jackass probably wont be around in 3 -5 years. What an idiot!!

[willemdawillem]

@thebreeze12

that you hellmuth?

[simonjeste]

lose a 75%-fave hand 4 times in a row = 0.390625% of the time = 1 in 256 times (approx.) so ... umm... pretty rare, but not impossible...

[lamegliogioventu]

@simonjeste the way you put it, it sounds really boring... so i assume, you flop straight flushes twice a week with duece seven offsuite, pretty rare, but not impossible, comon, lively up man!

[MANGOROCKN]

@simonjeste I read on another comment its like 0.53% chance to pull this off.

[Pingu123489]

@MANGOROCKN yes 0,27^4 = 0.53% but it's even less since he used some cards to win already

[CribNotes]

@simonjeste how do you calculate the odds on Robl's winning 3 to 1 against poker hand 4 times in a row?

[simonjeste]

@CribNotes my shorthand/guesstimation is to not use "X to 1" odds, instead use percent.

75% favorite (3:1 favorite) means 0.75 you win ... and 0.25 you lose. So to lose 4 in a row that is 0.25*0.25*0.25*0.25 = 0.00390625 = 0.390625%, or 1 in 256.

[artysm7]

@simonjeste wrong

[wlzy]

@simonjeste its 73% vs 27%

0.27^4 = 0,00531441 = 0,531441% = 1 in 188

[Basketbaka1031]

@wlzy I think it's slightly less cos there are less outs as Robl wins more and more, so the second time, cos there are less outs in the deck its a lower percentage every time for Robl and a higher one for Antonius. But that's a good approximation anyways

[simonjeste]

@wlzy see my comment: "lose a 75%-fave hand 4 times in a row = 0.390625% of the time = 1 in 256 times (approx.) " notice I used an ESTIMATE of 75%-fave ... cuz a "3:1 fave" is a lot easier to think about than "2.7:1 fave" when doing poker pot odds etc.comparisons.

[EddyCrasher]

What a lucky bastard.

[Juskinen]

Roughly 0,4% chance on that happening. Sick.

[ErsinYildiz]

online rigged live rigged -_- so let we come up with a new card game where u cant suck so much like nl h

[YiDog21]

talk about catching cards

[MsMarc1234]

"good call...Or good raise...Re-raise...Re-re-aise.­.." Smile. 

[mtownrulez]

wow never seen before / straight and flush draw from Antonius and only Ace pair and then 4 wins unreal lol

[MrZomfgwtfbbq]

"Reminds me of Sammy Farha, he used to do this to me" lol

[MrZomfgwtfbbq]

"Reminds me of Sammy Farha, he used to do this to me" lol

[angelena02002]

thimb up if you ment to to type roblox but you got robl and just somehow ended up in the video

[JustGtFoooo]

Maybe pokerstars shuffle this deck ? ...

[Donnerz477]

That is excellent

[svenglenn]

*sad face* "You remind me of Sammy Farha... He used to do this to me"

[SuperIns0mnia]

lol I thought antonius was gonna win them all

[SwampyQ2]

catching the stone cold nuts in last 3 runs, that's one very lucky guy

[doflegend291]

PUKE

[Jackpot00]

I think every player should model their table demeanor on Antonius, just a class act, even after losing all 4

[TraumaER]

@Jackpot00 he has hundreds of millions so why is he mad about losing 140K?

that is like you losing $10 lol

[Jackpot00]

@TraumaER lol Antonius is NOT worth 'hundreds of millions' but i see your point.

[TraumaER]

@Jackpot00 phil ivey is and antonius is pretty freaking close; phil ivey was worth over $100 million a couple of years ago and i am pretty sure he only gained since

[270Gmoney]

What game is this?