2008 election electoral college analysis follow up - 3 of 3

[Atheist2006]

After that election Oklahoma, Arkansas and Wyoming have become my favorite States.

[DethWizardMan]

what do you use for that predicting states thingy?

[sh76us]

I used the maps available on 270towin and realclearpolitics

[CoolBlue71]

I came across this more than a year after the election.

Obama didn't flip more states because Bush carried many in the high-10s and 20s (percentage points margin).

Obama's shift was similar to 1980 Reagan: 1976 Ford lost by almost 3%. Reagan shifted the popular vote by about 12%, to win by 9 points. There were enough states in the margins to flip for Reagan, giving him 489 electoral votes. Obama, with 365, made up for Kerry's similar-to-Ford loss, shifting 9.75% to win by 7.25 points.

[md80guru]

So, how close were you? I didn't take the time to see for myself. But curious still. Have a great day.

[sh76us]

I was right on every state except for Indiana and Missouri, and both of those were decided by under 1% of the vote.

[md80guru]

Thank you. For letting me know.

[sweet2boy]

I think your map is spot on! Way to go!

[sh76us]

Thanks. We'll see in 3 days...