Back in early 90's, I used to think that in 2010 my dad would sell his Volkswagen Golf 2 and by a Flying car. It's almost 2012, my dad still drives his Golf 2.
Shit I wouldn't buy a flying car till they don't cost a shit ton and they look cooler, I say another 10 to 15 years, before most people would forsake the convenience of regular cars and they aren't just toys for the rich.
The whole "nanotechnology" thing I've heard about since Drexler published his popular book about it in 1986 looks like a mirage. Many of the people who read that book when it first came out have grandchildren now, with no "nanoassembler" in sight.
Apparently it never occurs to people that we might have to make do with current computers indefinitely because of the austerity trend, mainly caused by technological stagnation, as Peter Thiel and Tyler Cowen have drawn attention to.
"A BILLION times more powerful in 25 years" computers have gotten roughly roughly a million times better cost/performance in the last 15-20 years (FLOPS/dollar, 1/10 of that for mips/dollar). A billion times is really hard to imagine. Nanotech is already easily worth a billion dollars in value add, in 25 years $1,000,000,000,000,000,000 a quintillion or about a 17,000x wealthier than we are now.
Kurzweil is not gocking about nonsense,look at the 20th century,the last 10,000 years,all 2.5 million years of hominid history.a glitch in time when looking at the 4.5 billion year evolution of life.The entire 540 my phanerozoic(life as we know it) is still a small portion of evolution yet it has been by far the most complex.Do you consider yourself complex?
theres reason why everything is composed of atoms,these tiny standing waves packed into infinitely smaller standing waves,. when you view a periodic table<you are seeing the structure of reality. With Nanotech we can tool with this structure.Therefore we can play with the universe/.If the universe is finite<maybe its our evolution to do something with it.
no disrespect to you and your robot kind but I would like to stay a man, nano made by scientific sociopath serfs for psychopath power hungry oligarchs. will all go black and pair shaped as hardly any scientists today have any integrity.
@itchcitizen2 wtf are you raving about old man? no integrity..you mean the field that is feeding billions because of it there is enough food for everyone to have a three course meal..it warlords and poltics that starve people..there is a reason scientists are rarerly poloticians..because they have the most integrity..you can reject it if you want its your funeral
@finka123456 Thanks for the Old Man Label...Science is paid for and funded to drag it's feet in all fields except the Arms technology field. Your world may be seeing everyone eating 3 coarse meals but my world sees more than half the world barely eating one and that's most likely GM seed like most shit we eat today. There are some amazing men and women in the field but too many are gagged and hand cuffed by each other first then there pay masters,and I'm not anti tech.
@itchcitizen2 drag it feet it does not get enough money thats why its dragging and its an exact process so it takes time and like i said its the UN and the corruption of govermeants and local govs that keep people starving... you said that the scientists had no integity but no one becomes a scientist for the money (sept mabye bio chem) you have to like the job and if your really good you make money im just tired of people saying that their is money to be made for the scientists which is not tru
@itchcitizen2 mabye in some rare cases and in the cases where the nobel and other such prizes are involved sorry to insult at first but i am tired of the anti science and your (first) comment seemed that way..but still my main point is that scientists do science because they like it, but lawyers, executives,are far more likley to be in those jobs for the money!also my dads a computer scientist sooo thats why it annoys me
@finka123456 I'm a freelance 3-D modeller and animator and I love advancement in technology and appreciate how it's been positive in many cases. I came across as angry in the comment and that's not an emotion I tend to use much and I mean no one harm..trust me ! I'm not saying given the freedom to fully excel scientist wouldn't excel...check out the late Brian O'Leary, so so brave in his pursuit to unlock the chains of the energy monopoly-
@itchcitizen2 Genetic modification..just take in what that word means and ask yourself does that sound safe..lol If lab rats could speak they would say ffs don't eat this shit and you must know about Monsanto seed patents(seed patent, I mean WTF !? Have we looked at the effect on insects and natural crops by (cross-pollinating! Everything on this planet is linked and do we know the effect of certain insects becoming extinct ? Understanding Human DNA is still in it's infancy no matter-
-they say. Independent scientists know that if they show true data there be out on there ass pronto...this is why I say no matter what the consequence, be true to the thing you claim to love by always having integrity.
We have all this tech and hardly any common sense to balance it. Your dad is an individual first and foremost and he was amazing before he became a comp-scientist just like everyone else..If they can get us to believe were imperfect from early then nano implants will be compulsory just like there trying with vaccine and GM today all around the globe. I love Sci-Fi but we know hardly anything about man yet and it seems were trying to become something else before we do. Inlakesh.
@itchcitizen2 well their is no evidence for vaccines hurting people..that autism stuff was debunked..gm crops are fine they could do better but genetic engineering feeds people.. and yeah we dont know how to use our tech because the momeant civillian tech come out the militarty thinks of the best way that it will help them kill people
Mr Kurzweil what is your excuse for not helping the millions of people dying from hunger? If we are to build all this nanotechnology how about we solve more important problems first like our political and socioeconomical problems? I am sure a mastermind like you could find some really profound ideas on how to do this.
@chickenshieee What? Science is the single most effective chance to save people. That we can even feed the current population is due to advancements in science. The reality is, the more support we give to science the more solutions we'll have.
@TheAzureFish I wonder why you think I disagree with you. My only concern is that bright minds like Mr. Kurzweil should be more active on political matters and help humanity escape the monetary and cultural paradigm of indifference (competition, invisible hand, social Darwinism) we experience today on the globe. Unfortunately I don't see him being near as active as Noam Chomsky let's say or as much Carl Sagan was regarding that matter of prime interest. Then science would really thrive!!
Transistors in processors are now down to 32nm, soon to be 22. Some pack 1-3 billion transistors on something the size of your pinky nail. Its crazy how small they are!
@Play671 Trust me, in a few decades you will look upon today's fancy tech as you do now on CD's for example (remember when CD's replaced tape cassettes? hahah). This "future"is not that far away...
@dnlxl yes maibe, i only see comment this video here because i see this video on the venus project website about nanotechonoly. But one thing i have fear, is this technoloogy be used to the war :(
That can be the end of the world because the nano-techonolgy is very powerfull.
This technology will re-define what it means to be human, and surely if what defines us today is simply DNA then we will become something different, something better, something Complete. Just imagine each night as you sleep being able to back up everything that makes one an individual, and then replicating everything that makes up ones body except completely revitalized and rejuvenated. In just 4 decades our technology will advance something like 20,000 times.
I'd happily be a test subject for nano tech. Seriously. Shoot me up doc, 2 days later I'm under water for 2 hours. Imagine the pranks you can pull.. jeez
@BeondaPale 2017 was my guess when I wrote a paper on this, so their projection is consistent with that. My projections were linear based on historical data that linearly projects the intersection of price per watt of solar vs. grid power. It was something like mid Feb. 2017 that they did. But my data was limited to only freely available from the internet, so not exactly reliable, nor did I get sophisticated enough to work out exponential equations.
@khmaster12 that and synthetic biology(pioneered recentley) cybernetic biology(machines controling biology in this case yeast pioneered two weeks ago) and biotech in general...we will have an interesting future
(macbeth, act v, scene v)
"... and all our yesterdays have lighted fools the way to dusty death"
yeah, this time death might be pretty nano-dusty.
kataklysmozarella 2 weeks ago
Nano technology is just the beginning. Next up (if you can fathom it):
Pico-tech
Femto- tech
Atto-tech
Zepto-tech
Yocto-tech
And the ULTIMATE = Groucho-technology
BeondaPale 1 month ago
I'd donate myself to have those robotic blood cells in me!! Sign me up!
Borderlands808 1 month ago
Very interesting Ray always nice hearing what you have to say.
Blankname101 1 month ago
robotic red blood cells, its pretty crazy how far we can take ourselves
graffunderground92 2 months ago
Back in early 90's, I used to think that in 2010 my dad would sell his Volkswagen Golf 2 and by a Flying car. It's almost 2012, my dad still drives his Golf 2.
PushMyCarr 2 months ago 3
@PushMyCarr
Shit I wouldn't buy a flying car till they don't cost a shit ton and they look cooler, I say another 10 to 15 years, before most people would forsake the convenience of regular cars and they aren't just toys for the rich.
lololololol47 2 months ago
The whole "nanotechnology" thing I've heard about since Drexler published his popular book about it in 1986 looks like a mirage. Many of the people who read that book when it first came out have grandchildren now, with no "nanoassembler" in sight.
MrAdvancedAtheist 2 months ago
@MrAdvancedAtheist
Well they have those 3d assemblers but nanotech is still just in the real early phases but Kurzweil is explaining it better than me so go up.
lololololol47 2 months ago
Apparently it never occurs to people that we might have to make do with current computers indefinitely because of the austerity trend, mainly caused by technological stagnation, as Peter Thiel and Tyler Cowen have drawn attention to.
MrAdvancedAtheist 2 months ago
@MrAdvancedAtheist
then we have to get around this "austerity trend".
StarSpawn06 2 months ago
"A BILLION times more powerful in 25 years" computers have gotten roughly roughly a million times better cost/performance in the last 15-20 years (FLOPS/dollar, 1/10 of that for mips/dollar). A billion times is really hard to imagine. Nanotech is already easily worth a billion dollars in value add, in 25 years $1,000,000,000,000,000,000 a quintillion or about a 17,000x wealthier than we are now.
commandersprocket 3 months ago
It would actually make less sense if there wasn't a singularity.
Aspanaut 3 months ago
Kurzweil is not gocking about nonsense,look at the 20th century,the last 10,000 years,all 2.5 million years of hominid history.a glitch in time when looking at the 4.5 billion year evolution of life.The entire 540 my phanerozoic(life as we know it) is still a small portion of evolution yet it has been by far the most complex.Do you consider yourself complex?
Aspanaut 3 months ago
theres reason why everything is composed of atoms,these tiny standing waves packed into infinitely smaller standing waves,. when you view a periodic table<you are seeing the structure of reality. With Nanotech we can tool with this structure.Therefore we can play with the universe/.If the universe is finite<maybe its our evolution to do something with it.
Aspanaut 3 months ago
no disrespect to you and your robot kind but I would like to stay a man, nano made by scientific sociopath serfs for psychopath power hungry oligarchs. will all go black and pair shaped as hardly any scientists today have any integrity.
itchcitizen2 3 months ago
@itchcitizen2 wtf are you raving about old man? no integrity..you mean the field that is feeding billions because of it there is enough food for everyone to have a three course meal..it warlords and poltics that starve people..there is a reason scientists are rarerly poloticians..because they have the most integrity..you can reject it if you want its your funeral
finka123456 3 months ago
@finka123456 Thanks for the Old Man Label...Science is paid for and funded to drag it's feet in all fields except the Arms technology field. Your world may be seeing everyone eating 3 coarse meals but my world sees more than half the world barely eating one and that's most likely GM seed like most shit we eat today. There are some amazing men and women in the field but too many are gagged and hand cuffed by each other first then there pay masters,and I'm not anti tech.
itchcitizen2 3 months ago
@itchcitizen2 drag it feet it does not get enough money thats why its dragging and its an exact process so it takes time and like i said its the UN and the corruption of govermeants and local govs that keep people starving... you said that the scientists had no integity but no one becomes a scientist for the money (sept mabye bio chem) you have to like the job and if your really good you make money im just tired of people saying that their is money to be made for the scientists which is not tru
finka123456 3 months ago
@itchcitizen2 mabye in some rare cases and in the cases where the nobel and other such prizes are involved sorry to insult at first but i am tired of the anti science and your (first) comment seemed that way..but still my main point is that scientists do science because they like it, but lawyers, executives,are far more likley to be in those jobs for the money!also my dads a computer scientist sooo thats why it annoys me
finka123456 3 months ago
@finka123456 I'm a freelance 3-D modeller and animator and I love advancement in technology and appreciate how it's been positive in many cases. I came across as angry in the comment and that's not an emotion I tend to use much and I mean no one harm..trust me ! I'm not saying given the freedom to fully excel scientist wouldn't excel...check out the late Brian O'Leary, so so brave in his pursuit to unlock the chains of the energy monopoly-
itchcitizen2 3 months ago
@itchcitizen2 Genetic modification..just take in what that word means and ask yourself does that sound safe..lol If lab rats could speak they would say ffs don't eat this shit and you must know about Monsanto seed patents(seed patent, I mean WTF !? Have we looked at the effect on insects and natural crops by (cross-pollinating! Everything on this planet is linked and do we know the effect of certain insects becoming extinct ? Understanding Human DNA is still in it's infancy no matter-
itchcitizen2 3 months ago
-they say. Independent scientists know that if they show true data there be out on there ass pronto...this is why I say no matter what the consequence, be true to the thing you claim to love by always having integrity.
itchcitizen2 3 months ago
We have all this tech and hardly any common sense to balance it. Your dad is an individual first and foremost and he was amazing before he became a comp-scientist just like everyone else..If they can get us to believe were imperfect from early then nano implants will be compulsory just like there trying with vaccine and GM today all around the globe. I love Sci-Fi but we know hardly anything about man yet and it seems were trying to become something else before we do. Inlakesh.
itchcitizen2 3 months ago
@itchcitizen2 well their is no evidence for vaccines hurting people..that autism stuff was debunked..gm crops are fine they could do better but genetic engineering feeds people.. and yeah we dont know how to use our tech because the momeant civillian tech come out the militarty thinks of the best way that it will help them kill people
finka123456 3 months ago
how do these devices handle high powered EM?
Adrianrainman 3 months ago
Next step - Mailing human beings.
MrSimonbabazadeh 4 months ago
@MrSimonbabazadeh Lol, just imagine being pirated xD
L1b3rta 3 months ago
email me a car lol!!
Balmung812 4 months ago
@Balmung812 You won't need a car when that's possible...
avatarelite 3 months ago
Mr Kurzweil what is your excuse for not helping the millions of people dying from hunger? If we are to build all this nanotechnology how about we solve more important problems first like our political and socioeconomical problems? I am sure a mastermind like you could find some really profound ideas on how to do this.
chickenshieee 4 months ago
@chickenshieee What? Science is the single most effective chance to save people. That we can even feed the current population is due to advancements in science. The reality is, the more support we give to science the more solutions we'll have.
TheAzureFish 4 months ago
@TheAzureFish I wonder why you think I disagree with you. My only concern is that bright minds like Mr. Kurzweil should be more active on political matters and help humanity escape the monetary and cultural paradigm of indifference (competition, invisible hand, social Darwinism) we experience today on the globe. Unfortunately I don't see him being near as active as Noam Chomsky let's say or as much Carl Sagan was regarding that matter of prime interest. Then science would really thrive!!
chickenshieee 4 months ago
Transistors in processors are now down to 32nm, soon to be 22. Some pack 1-3 billion transistors on something the size of your pinky nail. Its crazy how small they are!
tipoomaster 4 months ago
This technology have a value of billions of dollars or Euro. Its so powerfull, but at the same time very expensive.
:(
Play671 4 months ago
@Play671 Trust me, in a few decades you will look upon today's fancy tech as you do now on CD's for example (remember when CD's replaced tape cassettes? hahah). This "future"is not that far away...
dnlxl 4 months ago
@dnlxl yes maibe, i only see comment this video here because i see this video on the venus project website about nanotechonoly. But one thing i have fear, is this technoloogy be used to the war :(
That can be the end of the world because the nano-techonolgy is very powerfull.
Play671 4 months ago
The world of Metal Gear Solid is soon going to become a reality...
mrluisalonzo 4 months ago
the real question ends up being how your liver ends up dealing with these nano bots
ManuelMustache 5 months ago
Deus Ex is not fiction, it's the *FUTURE*!
MithranArkanere 5 months ago
This technology will re-define what it means to be human, and surely if what defines us today is simply DNA then we will become something different, something better, something Complete. Just imagine each night as you sleep being able to back up everything that makes one an individual, and then replicating everything that makes up ones body except completely revitalized and rejuvenated. In just 4 decades our technology will advance something like 20,000 times.
FieryLeo13 6 months ago
I'd happily be a test subject for nano tech. Seriously. Shoot me up doc, 2 days later I'm under water for 2 hours. Imagine the pranks you can pull.. jeez
mQtek 6 months ago
This has been flagged as spam show
i cant wait for this technology
Arcadia117 6 months ago
Google "GE sees nano solar as cheaper than oil in 3 to 5 years"
It's happening NOW.
BeondaPale 7 months ago
@BeondaPale 2017 was my guess when I wrote a paper on this, so their projection is consistent with that. My projections were linear based on historical data that linearly projects the intersection of price per watt of solar vs. grid power. It was something like mid Feb. 2017 that they did. But my data was limited to only freely available from the internet, so not exactly reliable, nor did I get sophisticated enough to work out exponential equations.
Noahfreak10 1 month ago
can't wait till all this happens. Then you can eat all the crap you want and have the nanos clean you out...
nano shit rocks!
leeroynaggins 7 months ago 15
@leeroynaggins and smoke...
stokepogue 6 months ago
@leeroynaggins Why would you want to eat crap? -_- Are you by any chance retarded!? :(
DenDanskeChampDawg 4 months ago
@DenDanskeChampDawg
I mean junk food...
leeroynaggins 4 months ago
20 years maybe less,just see
IVAN31susic 7 months ago
AWESOME!!!!!!
whattyhoo 7 months ago 2
This is the technology that will define the next 30 to 50 years
khmaster12 8 months ago 25
@khmaster12 that and synthetic biology(pioneered recentley) cybernetic biology(machines controling biology in this case yeast pioneered two weeks ago) and biotech in general...we will have an interesting future
finka123456 3 months ago
This has been flagged as spam show
My desktopnanofactory dotcom and desktopnanofactories dotcom expired this year! Still have bloodnanobots and homenanofactories dotcoms, however.
Learn2ReadMusic 8 months ago