What are the chances that Daniel has something that could beat dwan's hand? Its not that it was a bad bluff, but the timing to do a bluff was just so wrong.
@chrisvarns Took pity on him. When someone makes a total misread the pros don't usually try to milk them for their last dollar, unless there's bad blood between them. Professional courtesy. All the more embarrassing for Negreanu though.
@roell29 I think it's more like: Negreanu played it like nuts or nothing, since Dwan has the nuts, when he checks the river and Negreanu has nothing(or shit, see above.) He'll try to bluff, and if Negreanu does indeed have a hand worth value, Dwan can check raise. But what can Dwan expect to call a river bet, that wouldn't be betting anyways, so you check and give the guy some rope with whatever 2 cards he happens to hold. Dwan is cut-throat, I don't think it was a courtesy check, lol.
@TheKScott89 Ok, the way I see it...after Negreanu bets half his stack on the turn and gets called, Dwan would have figured it highly unlikely that Negreanu would push his last 140k on the river with anything less than AK. So if Negreanu has any kind of hand (which he doesn't), Dwan (If he wants to maximize his yield) could make a value bet of, say 50k, on the river and Negreanu will have to pay him off. That would have been the cut-throat play, I think.
@TheKScott89 Ok, the way I see it...after Negreanu bets half his stack on the turn and gets called, Dwan would have figured it highly unlikely that Negreanu would push his last 140k on the river with anything less than AK. So if Negreanu has any kind of hand (which he doesn't), Dwan (If he wants to maximize his yield) could make a value bet of, say 50k, on the river and Negreanu will have to pay him off. That would have been the cut-throat play, I think.
@roell29 But that river bet of 50k only gets called when negreanu has a decent hand, when Dwan checks Negreanu can bluff, or value bet a hand that would've called or raise Dwan's bet anyways. the only bet Negreanu can even feasibly make given pot size, and his stack is allin. so allin bluff, or value bet with AJ,JJ,AT, there's a few hands that might just call 50k, but would bet more by itself. and most of negreanu's hands would fold for Dwans bet. A pro wouldn't check behind these hands.
@roell29 And that way he can maybe bluff. if Dwan bets 50k, Negreanu can't try and push him off with only 100k more to raise, pot's already 420k before Negreanu's 100k raise, and Dwan makes it clear he's strong. betting 50k isn't cut-throat, it's stupid. the hands Negreanu would call that with, would bet more if you check to him, or he folds a hand he might have tried to bluff with. Cut-throat is checking the river.
@TheKScott89 Yeah but like I said, I think (and I think Dwan thought) that the chances of Negreanu pushing again on the river were negligible - only chance is if he has AK, and then it's a split. Negreanu says at the end that he "knew" Dwan had what he was pretending to have - AK. By "cut-throat", I mean it would be the play to extract maximum value, but it look too money grubby for TV.
@roell29 And yes, the show is for entertainment. People want to see the pros play poker like the pros that they are. Professional poker players love the game, play for fun, but also make a ton of money doing it, and the point is to play your best, and make the most you can,and/or lose the minimum. They are all there to make money,they don't look greedy; THEY ALL sitdown with the same amount, ready to play,ready to maybe lose, but to hopefully make a ton of money,and own the show. Dwan Is Hungry.
@TheKScott89 Of course they play their best. They can still be a bit more friendly for TV vs. a private cash game. At these rarefied heights, different factors come into play. They are personalities and their income depends on their likability - whether people will want to see them play on TV. I don't think Dwan in "hungry". He already has it made. He just loves the game. It's not like the old days. Dwan is never going to go bust. He is well paid for just showing up at these gigs.
this hand proves poker is nothing but luck no skill at all.if you have the nuts where is the skill in that. no such thing as poker pro its a game of luck full sop
@Husapi prove it ask any pro you like. so if a flop a full house thats skill. lol your blind you cant beat luck. look at the guy who come2 in 2009 wsop he had no idea all luck. so if i push with aa and you call me with kk and you hit the k for your set is that skill or luck
@truth3253 Flopping a full house happens 1087 to 1, and good players are going to maximize value with those hands while bad players are going to minimize it. If you have A/A vs K/K, thats a cooler, i cannot have more chances to be the one with A/A vs K/K than the one with K/K vs A/A. and losing beign 80% favorite is far from impossible
Darvin Moon has no idea about poker? you are a pro who knows Nash Equilibrium, Fold Equity, Pot Equity, Bluff Outs and all those advanced concepts, right?
@Husapi listen mate i no the odds. but odds or no odds it happens and when the luck is on your side it happens alot.. you still did not answer my question about kk beats aa is it skill or luck ? mr moon call with Qj an all in 40% of his stack and lost and your saying his got skills are you joking . moon = luck poker =luck. look there is some skill in poker but i rather be lucky. because you cant beat luck
@truth3253 Luck doesn't exist is only your perception when a positive or negative event happens, and anyway that is subjective.
"Luck" plays a second role in poker, And Darvin Moon is a good player overall. Your Q/J example could work to assume that Moon is an inexperienced heads up player, but nothing else.
I can't understand your example of K/K Beating A/A. some 20% hand winning should prove that poker is "just luck"?
@Husapi no point talking to someone who thinks moon is a good player. calling and all in with Qj and you say his a good player you have no idea about poker
@truth3253 What books have you read? Do you know how to use Nash Equilibrium Right? If you say "Poker is just luck", how someone can be good and someone can be bad?
I doubt you are in position to "know" who is good and who is bad at poker.
@truth3253 btw, following your logic, if one random hand proves that poker is luck, i guess one random hand like folding Fullhouse (Jacks & aces) on river against someone with Kings & aces full house would prove the opposite.
Or folding K/K preflop against someone with A/A would prove the same.
Your logic is incredibly irrational. Instead of praying to your imaginary friend Alah you should learn to argue
Nietzsche, Heidegger, Popper philosophy can help you to train that brain.
I love how everyone here is bashing Dwan for not betting the river. Honestly, What hand is ever gonna call? Only MAYBE the same hands that would bet after a check anyway, such as A-Q, A-J, or JJ. When you have the board crushed with a boat like this and you know it, the ONLY way you're making money is by giving the other player a chance to bluff. That's why Dwan checked. My god Youtubers are so stupid. I doubt many of you can even win at $1-$2. Whenever these people have the nuts they're all in.
the MASTER move is when Dwan bets the turn, continuing to tell Daniel that he is only bluffing and reinforcing his believe! if Dwan checked the turn I guarantee you that Daniel would have checked back with suspicion.
He should honestly have pushed the river hard. Checking there was probably a terrible mistake unless his intention was to show his cards and give himself some momentum for a bluff fest for the rest of the night. With his reputation for being frisky he should have raised hard just like he would play a bluff.
Either Daniel would have called and he'd have soaked him for a -lot- more chips, or Daniel would fold and they'd never know if he was truly bluffing... his check there was very non-durr.
I think it would've been better to raise the turn all in there.The least Daniel is representing is trip aces.. and more likely a full house. f he does has air,Daniel is good enough to know that Tom isnt going to fold to a 140,000 river bet after puttin so much in the pot. plus,by raising the turn, he knows daniel knows that he is capable of reading Daniel as weak so Daniel can potentially credit Dwan for a bluf f(unlike if he just calls the turn) so Daniel could call off his chips weak! possibly
As usual, eeeeeverything works out for Durrrr... When he's bluffing, his opponents happen to have nothing, when they make a bold move on him, that just HAPPENS to be when he has the nuts... *sigh*
It's not ALL reads. there IS a big luck/guessing factor too, even for top pros. It just always ends up falling Dwan's way, makes me sick!
@FroztDrake The blindness of durrrrr worshippers never ceases to amaze me. They truly believe that Tom Dwan is infinitely more talented than the OTHER TOP PLAYERS IN THE WORLD. It's Tom Dwan, then about 100 miles below, it's the 2nd best player in the world. NO LUCK IS INVOLVED AT ALL ... *shakes head* lol
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@TheOckawaga dwan screw it, cause,if daniel had something like A trips he probably would call an average continue bet by dwan in the river,(but he will never bet on a check) if he was bluffing, he was not gonna bet that board(like it happen)and if he had something like straight or fullhouse, he will absolutely call or rise, (he had 2/3 of his chips in the pot already) so, a bet by dwan was the obvious move, but then again we have all the time in the world to analyze the play, they have seconds
@deunasolavez1 No, I think you'll find he would value bet Straights and smaller Full Houses on the river for one very good reason - that Dwan only flatted the reraise on the turn. It implies he is slightly uncertain about his hand strength. It opens the door for weaker hands to alue bet the river when he checks - but opens the door for bluff reraises on the turn to fire at river with the one big bet that Daniel has left in his stack (which Dwan knows because he asked him what he had behind).
@odailoka tom dwan play online with the alias of durrr, so everybody knows him by durrr, he is probably the best bluffer today(ever?), so when somebody is trying an insane bluff, its called a durrrr, so negreanu is trying to pull of a durrr on durrr :)
@rfwelsh i agree with you i think they are all over rated danny played this hand like a complete donkey, he should of bailed out on the pre flop re raise
What are the chances that Daniel has something that could beat dwan's hand? Its not that it was a bad bluff, but the timing to do a bluff was just so wrong.
ANormalGuy 1 month ago
Why on earth did dwan check the river?
chrisvarns 1 month ago
@chrisvarns Took pity on him. When someone makes a total misread the pros don't usually try to milk them for their last dollar, unless there's bad blood between them. Professional courtesy. All the more embarrassing for Negreanu though.
roell29 1 month ago
@roell29 In a private game it might be different, but this is mostly entertainment. They don't want to look overly greedy.
roell29 1 month ago
@roell29 I think it's more like: Negreanu played it like nuts or nothing, since Dwan has the nuts, when he checks the river and Negreanu has nothing(or shit, see above.) He'll try to bluff, and if Negreanu does indeed have a hand worth value, Dwan can check raise. But what can Dwan expect to call a river bet, that wouldn't be betting anyways, so you check and give the guy some rope with whatever 2 cards he happens to hold. Dwan is cut-throat, I don't think it was a courtesy check, lol.
TheKScott89 1 month ago
@TheKScott89 Ok, the way I see it...after Negreanu bets half his stack on the turn and gets called, Dwan would have figured it highly unlikely that Negreanu would push his last 140k on the river with anything less than AK. So if Negreanu has any kind of hand (which he doesn't), Dwan (If he wants to maximize his yield) could make a value bet of, say 50k, on the river and Negreanu will have to pay him off. That would have been the cut-throat play, I think.
roell29 1 month ago
@TheKScott89 Ok, the way I see it...after Negreanu bets half his stack on the turn and gets called, Dwan would have figured it highly unlikely that Negreanu would push his last 140k on the river with anything less than AK. So if Negreanu has any kind of hand (which he doesn't), Dwan (If he wants to maximize his yield) could make a value bet of, say 50k, on the river and Negreanu will have to pay him off. That would have been the cut-throat play, I think.
roell29 1 month ago
@roell29 But that river bet of 50k only gets called when negreanu has a decent hand, when Dwan checks Negreanu can bluff, or value bet a hand that would've called or raise Dwan's bet anyways. the only bet Negreanu can even feasibly make given pot size, and his stack is allin. so allin bluff, or value bet with AJ,JJ,AT, there's a few hands that might just call 50k, but would bet more by itself. and most of negreanu's hands would fold for Dwans bet. A pro wouldn't check behind these hands.
TheKScott89 1 month ago
@roell29 And that way he can maybe bluff. if Dwan bets 50k, Negreanu can't try and push him off with only 100k more to raise, pot's already 420k before Negreanu's 100k raise, and Dwan makes it clear he's strong. betting 50k isn't cut-throat, it's stupid. the hands Negreanu would call that with, would bet more if you check to him, or he folds a hand he might have tried to bluff with. Cut-throat is checking the river.
TheKScott89 1 month ago
@TheKScott89 Yeah but like I said, I think (and I think Dwan thought) that the chances of Negreanu pushing again on the river were negligible - only chance is if he has AK, and then it's a split. Negreanu says at the end that he "knew" Dwan had what he was pretending to have - AK. By "cut-throat", I mean it would be the play to extract maximum value, but it look too money grubby for TV.
roell29 1 month ago
@roell29 And yes, the show is for entertainment. People want to see the pros play poker like the pros that they are. Professional poker players love the game, play for fun, but also make a ton of money doing it, and the point is to play your best, and make the most you can,and/or lose the minimum. They are all there to make money,they don't look greedy; THEY ALL sitdown with the same amount, ready to play,ready to maybe lose, but to hopefully make a ton of money,and own the show. Dwan Is Hungry.
TheKScott89 1 month ago
@TheKScott89 Of course they play their best. They can still be a bit more friendly for TV vs. a private cash game. At these rarefied heights, different factors come into play. They are personalities and their income depends on their likability - whether people will want to see them play on TV. I don't think Dwan in "hungry". He already has it made. He just loves the game. It's not like the old days. Dwan is never going to go bust. He is well paid for just showing up at these gigs.
roell29 1 month ago
what kind of toaster did you record this with?
1jasonsmith 2 months ago
"and daniel hits the bottle" hahah
palfyy123 2 months ago 4
this hand proves poker is nothing but luck no skill at all.if you have the nuts where is the skill in that. no such thing as poker pro its a game of luck full sop
truth3253 3 months ago
@truth3253 youre a clown
s9hillbomber 2 months ago
@s9hillbomber you cant handle the truth.poker=luck. golf is skill so is tennis not poker how can you beat luck fool
truth3253 2 months ago
@truth3253 lol, you are a religious man.
Thats why you say things without solid arguments
do you know how many scientific research has proven that poker is way more skill than "luck"?
"this hand proves" this hand proves nothing, Dwan image helped him to win more, and you cannot build an image based on luck.
IMSA (International Mind Sport Associaton) recognizes poker as a mind sport.
While some random muslim says poker is luck.
i guess you believe that poker is luck based on "faith".
Husapi 2 months ago
@Husapi hello the pros would tell you its 75/100 is luck lol
truth3253 2 months ago
@truth3253 Rly? Prove it. Who says that? Sources? Who are "the pros"?
Husapi 2 months ago
@Husapi prove it ask any pro you like. so if a flop a full house thats skill. lol your blind you cant beat luck. look at the guy who come2 in 2009 wsop he had no idea all luck. so if i push with aa and you call me with kk and you hit the k for your set is that skill or luck
truth3253 2 months ago
Comment removed
Husapi 2 months ago
Comment removed
Husapi 2 months ago
@truth3253 Flopping a full house happens 1087 to 1, and good players are going to maximize value with those hands while bad players are going to minimize it. If you have A/A vs K/K, thats a cooler, i cannot have more chances to be the one with A/A vs K/K than the one with K/K vs A/A. and losing beign 80% favorite is far from impossible
Darvin Moon has no idea about poker? you are a pro who knows Nash Equilibrium, Fold Equity, Pot Equity, Bluff Outs and all those advanced concepts, right?
Husapi 2 months ago
@Husapi listen mate i no the odds. but odds or no odds it happens and when the luck is on your side it happens alot.. you still did not answer my question about kk beats aa is it skill or luck ? mr moon call with Qj an all in 40% of his stack and lost and your saying his got skills are you joking . moon = luck poker =luck. look there is some skill in poker but i rather be lucky. because you cant beat luck
truth3253 2 months ago
@truth3253 Luck doesn't exist is only your perception when a positive or negative event happens, and anyway that is subjective.
"Luck" plays a second role in poker, And Darvin Moon is a good player overall. Your Q/J example could work to assume that Moon is an inexperienced heads up player, but nothing else.
I can't understand your example of K/K Beating A/A. some 20% hand winning should prove that poker is "just luck"?
Husapi 2 months ago
@Husapi no point talking to someone who thinks moon is a good player. calling and all in with Qj and you say his a good player you have no idea about poker
truth3253 2 months ago
@truth3253 What books have you read? Do you know how to use Nash Equilibrium Right? If you say "Poker is just luck", how someone can be good and someone can be bad?
I doubt you are in position to "know" who is good and who is bad at poker.
Husapi 2 months ago
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@truth3253 btw, following your logic, if one random hand proves that poker is luck, i guess one random hand like folding Fullhouse (Jacks & aces) on river against someone with Kings & aces full house would prove the opposite.
Or folding K/K preflop against someone with A/A would prove the same.
Your logic is incredibly irrational. Instead of praying to your imaginary friend Alah you should learn to argue
Nietzsche, Heidegger, Popper philosophy can help you to train that brain.
Husapi 2 months ago
IF you pay attention to how much dwan bets- he's a genius.
ShatiWorks 3 months ago
I love how everyone here is bashing Dwan for not betting the river. Honestly, What hand is ever gonna call? Only MAYBE the same hands that would bet after a check anyway, such as A-Q, A-J, or JJ. When you have the board crushed with a boat like this and you know it, the ONLY way you're making money is by giving the other player a chance to bluff. That's why Dwan checked. My god Youtubers are so stupid. I doubt many of you can even win at $1-$2. Whenever these people have the nuts they're all in.
MCHellraiser88 3 months ago
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Shocked! ! The most incredible secrets of blackjack sites:bkk.nn.cx
0737sa 3 months ago
it's show that even daniel negreanu ,!!! can't even read people all the Time ,,,!!!
that's a fact : Yum Yum ,,,, kaplan ,,,haha
manado2000 3 months ago
T: How much more do you have?
D: About 140 cough
Daniel probably thought bye bye money :')
bobfakkel 3 months ago
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champions20000009 3 months ago
And Daniel hits the bottle
rickybobby5150 3 months ago 4
u guys should be makin' instructional videos, not givin' it away for free on youtube comments
Cadillac1944 3 months ago 38
ahha
braccio01 3 months ago
there are better player at 5$sit go than 500/1000
braccio01 3 months ago
nice slideshow
djpj1111 4 months ago 8
↓↓ 150$
pufifa 4 months ago
3bet/push turn.
sulorac1 4 months ago
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champions20000009 4 months ago
the MASTER move is when Dwan bets the turn, continuing to tell Daniel that he is only bluffing and reinforcing his believe! if Dwan checked the turn I guarantee you that Daniel would have checked back with suspicion.
2tame4fame 4 months ago
He should honestly have pushed the river hard. Checking there was probably a terrible mistake unless his intention was to show his cards and give himself some momentum for a bluff fest for the rest of the night. With his reputation for being frisky he should have raised hard just like he would play a bluff.
Either Daniel would have called and he'd have soaked him for a -lot- more chips, or Daniel would fold and they'd never know if he was truly bluffing... his check there was very non-durr.
Kirzen 4 months ago
@Kirzen i agree.
staxstix 3 months ago
I think it would've been better to raise the turn all in there.The least Daniel is representing is trip aces.. and more likely a full house. f he does has air,Daniel is good enough to know that Tom isnt going to fold to a 140,000 river bet after puttin so much in the pot. plus,by raising the turn, he knows daniel knows that he is capable of reading Daniel as weak so Daniel can potentially credit Dwan for a bluf f(unlike if he just calls the turn) so Daniel could call off his chips weak! possibly
gucylucy24 4 months ago
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champions20000009 4 months ago
I think the word ''durrrr'' should be included in dictionaries from now on
teogialigous 4 months ago
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champions20000009 4 months ago
@onlypedro i don't think anyone would misunderstand the title.
snapsalot 4 months ago
HAHAHAHAHAHA, NEGRANU LOOKED LIKE HE WAS GONNA CRY, ROTFLMFAO
NOTy0urPUPPET 4 months ago
dwan is incredibly good ...daniel called pre flop cos he took dwans raise personal and let him get to him
lewnik69 4 months ago 4
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Nice call pre with J8 Daniel
bestpokercoach 4 months ago
As usual, eeeeeverything works out for Durrrr... When he's bluffing, his opponents happen to have nothing, when they make a bold move on him, that just HAPPENS to be when he has the nuts... *sigh*
It's not ALL reads. there IS a big luck/guessing factor too, even for top pros. It just always ends up falling Dwan's way, makes me sick!
toptenguy1 4 months ago
@toptenguy1 wtf.... ? u sir are crazy
FroztDrake 4 months ago
@FroztDrake The blindness of durrrrr worshippers never ceases to amaze me. They truly believe that Tom Dwan is infinitely more talented than the OTHER TOP PLAYERS IN THE WORLD. It's Tom Dwan, then about 100 miles below, it's the 2nd best player in the world. NO LUCK IS INVOLVED AT ALL ... *shakes head* lol
toptenguy1 4 months ago
@onlypedro I didn't get it at first lol
brightonrobby 5 months ago
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THERollyboy123able 5 months ago
yam yam? lol
Zynyster 5 months ago
did you record this with your ass?
ch1nn 5 months ago
3:10 YUM YUM
jonh2o 5 months ago
Comment removed
jonh2o 5 months ago
@onlypedro ahaha durrrrr is a verb now DURRRRR
HashUurr 5 months ago
yum yum
Shadow766 6 months ago
kaplan: tom dwan says 'yam yam' :D
gabe is the best poker commentator
WeshiJatt 6 months ago 69
@WeshiJatt you mean yum yum???? learn to spell
tomwatson1 4 months ago
@WeshiJatt yum yum dummy
Tibbettsify 2 months ago
Comment removed
WeshiJatt 6 months ago
wtf dwan not betting the river with the nuts'??
favy086 6 months ago
@favy086 Daniel had taking the betting lead and he was hoping he'd continue his bluff on the river
fred5644 6 months ago
@favy086 he didnt have the nuts
TheOckawaga 5 months ago
@TheOckawaga um... yes he had
deunasolavez1 5 months ago
@deunasolavez1 oh well he wanted daniel to bet it so he could do a check raise most likely
TheOckawaga 5 months ago
@deunasolavez1 he wanted to get more money
TheOckawaga 5 months ago
@TheOckawaga dwan screw it, cause,if daniel had something like A trips he probably would call an average continue bet by dwan in the river,(but he will never bet on a check) if he was bluffing, he was not gonna bet that board(like it happen)and if he had something like straight or fullhouse, he will absolutely call or rise, (he had 2/3 of his chips in the pot already) so, a bet by dwan was the obvious move, but then again we have all the time in the world to analyze the play, they have seconds
deunasolavez1 5 months ago
@deunasolavez1 yeah now that i think about it, it was a bad play
TheOckawaga 5 months ago
@deunasolavez1 No, I think you'll find he would value bet Straights and smaller Full Houses on the river for one very good reason - that Dwan only flatted the reraise on the turn. It implies he is slightly uncertain about his hand strength. It opens the door for weaker hands to alue bet the river when he checks - but opens the door for bluff reraises on the turn to fire at river with the one big bet that Daniel has left in his stack (which Dwan knows because he asked him what he had behind).
Vipersss1 5 months ago
dwan is better than negreanu in my opinion
bestpokercoach 6 months ago
If i had $5.00 for every pixel in this video, I would have $1.00.
AppleKidX 6 months ago
@AppleKidX hahaha awesome comment! ill remember that one!
athriaxo 6 months ago
Nice call pre with J8 Daniel
Duzykutas 6 months ago
@onlypedro care to explain?
odailoka 7 months ago
@odailoka tom dwan play online with the alias of durrr, so everybody knows him by durrr, he is probably the best bluffer today(ever?), so when somebody is trying an insane bluff, its called a durrrr, so negreanu is trying to pull of a durrr on durrr :)
deunasolavez1 5 months ago
Daniel has to be one of the most overrated players in the history of poker.
rfwelsh 7 months ago
@rfwelsh i agree with you i think they are all over rated danny played this hand like a complete donkey, he should of bailed out on the pre flop re raise
rjohson 6 months ago
@rjohson He made a mistake before that even... it was trying to attack Dwan's straddle.
VicenzoV 6 months ago
Durrrr has such a HUGE edge of Negreanu. Way out of his depth. Heads up Dwan would make him cry
ColourboyMarkyboy 8 months ago
lol, you had what i was pretending to have
fatman295 9 months ago
so why you wrote durrrr twice?
Jirobaay 9 months ago
and Daniel hits the bottle
asianmonk 9 months ago
You got durrrrred
bestpokercoach 10 months ago
@onlypedro LOL
durrrred 10 months ago
@durrrred the $400 000 is just to juice up the title?
deunasolavez1 5 months ago
300k pot
Waidas211 10 months ago
@Waidas211 383,4k pot
sunmutsison 9 months ago
ouch
korgotth 10 months ago