1. Does it not depend whether you measure risk per hour or per mile or per commute? This becomes interesting when you consider that car drivers tend to live further from their place of work and thus end up with the same risk exposure as cyclists (within ballpark anyway)
2. You might want to examine Dorothy L. Robinson's work on determining the (in)effectiveness of bicycle helmets in reducing life and cognition threatening brain injuries.
200 miles in car or 20 miles on bicycle gives you a 1-in-a-million chance being killed - that sounds like bicycling is a bit of a problem. But we can put it another way: driving 20 miles on bicycle gives you a 1-in-a-million chance of being killed - by a car!
It is not because bicycles are dangerous - its because cars are dangerous.
@hbp2m ah but they are not all car related. According to the DoT in 2008, 52 of 115 cycling fatalities were due to collisions with a single car (45%). Of the rest, there were 8 sole riders, 8 colliding with pedestrians, 24 with HGVs (in London it's a third), 6 with buses plus some others. In fact per mile driven HGVs and buses kill far more than cars.
Also, in 2008 you could cycle 25 miles for a 1-in-a-million chance of dying in an accident and drive about 208 miles in a car.
I wanna know if the risk of someone dying from bowel cancer (e.g. with eating bacon sandwiches) is reduced from exercise (e.g. using the bike) and will it come to an overall balance with equation. It's a cool job though, I always wonder how people get into those professions.
I didn't know that they were professors like this. Plus I don't know if I could handle job like that. Thinking like day in and day out would drive me nuts.
Cambridge is a very big university and some of the professors are very specialized ie. look at their section of professors in german philosophy.
Also it can be fun to be analytic in your everyday life, depends on who you are. Life is already way to boring for me so I have to take note of my surroundings and actions and analyze them to get by.
surely he's taking a huge risk in playing in the samba band with no earplugs, I'm 17 and have been playing for around a year and a half and i've had several 'have i got tinnitus panics'
Don't worry about being embarrassed Prof.........you look great in a samba band. Plus I agree with you, on a nice day you can't beat pedal power.Oh and finally grow old disgracefully. :-)
Risk encouragement? lol not sure . . .but I do get the point we should do things we like or make us feel good without being overly timid about what might happen. Can't see the bacon sandwich every morning, but heck, each to his own.
Really impressed with both the content and the production of this video. I've seen Prof. Spiegelhalter give a talk where he shows different ways of visualising risk on the big screen. We saw a quick shot of it in this video, but I'd like to see more.
Did the risky side of him just run over the cautious size?
TheRealBoff 3 weeks ago
100% educational and 100% fun...
muhammadzahmad 2 months ago
Nice sharing Prof. I wonder if one day I will be your student.
MrPEDOCTOR 2 months ago
Wonderful video. Thanks for doing it. Amy Rubin
natickducks 9 months ago
he came to our school and gave us this awesome lecture. he seems so much fun :)
MrLarky96 11 months ago
Am I the only one who thinks he resembles bill murray?
DestroManiak 1 year ago
Re micromorts cycling versus driving:
1. Does it not depend whether you measure risk per hour or per mile or per commute? This becomes interesting when you consider that car drivers tend to live further from their place of work and thus end up with the same risk exposure as cyclists (within ballpark anyway)
2. You might want to examine Dorothy L. Robinson's work on determining the (in)effectiveness of bicycle helmets in reducing life and cognition threatening brain injuries.
EffUsh 1 year ago
200 miles in car or 20 miles on bicycle gives you a 1-in-a-million chance being killed - that sounds like bicycling is a bit of a problem. But we can put it another way: driving 20 miles on bicycle gives you a 1-in-a-million chance of being killed - by a car!
It is not because bicycles are dangerous - its because cars are dangerous.
hbp2m 1 year ago
@hbp2m ah but they are not all car related. According to the DoT in 2008, 52 of 115 cycling fatalities were due to collisions with a single car (45%). Of the rest, there were 8 sole riders, 8 colliding with pedestrians, 24 with HGVs (in London it's a third), 6 with buses plus some others. In fact per mile driven HGVs and buses kill far more than cars.
Also, in 2008 you could cycle 25 miles for a 1-in-a-million chance of dying in an accident and drive about 208 miles in a car.
jonessg3 1 year ago
Great video. Who are that amazing samba band? Great stripey pyjamas - hope they are flame resistant natural fibres - you can never be too careful ...
rocksteadyable 1 year ago
its kind of the way we all think ///
MrMicraphone 1 year ago
Both entertaining and educational. Score!
clarity26 2 years ago 2
Sup Reddit!
BitterPoetMadman 2 years ago
I wanna know if the risk of someone dying from bowel cancer (e.g. with eating bacon sandwiches) is reduced from exercise (e.g. using the bike) and will it come to an overall balance with equation. It's a cool job though, I always wonder how people get into those professions.
ithnkurcute 2 years ago
ggod
dieshgodara 2 years ago
I didn't know that they were professors like this. Plus I don't know if I could handle job like that. Thinking like day in and day out would drive me nuts.
ClueLou 2 years ago
@ClueLou
Cambridge is a very big university and some of the professors are very specialized ie. look at their section of professors in german philosophy.
Also it can be fun to be analytic in your everyday life, depends on who you are. Life is already way to boring for me so I have to take note of my surroundings and actions and analyze them to get by.
LogInAnders 2 years ago
800 years damn!
bossyman15 2 years ago
Is this for real? Or is this one of those mockumentaries of some sort?
wilbur51488 2 years ago
surely he's taking a huge risk in playing in the samba band with no earplugs, I'm 17 and have been playing for around a year and a half and i've had several 'have i got tinnitus panics'
iwan0t0smith 2 years ago
But I *am* wearing ear-plugs. I always do when playing sambe indoors - I would not take that risk! David S
retlah 2 years ago
But I *was* wearing ear plugs! I always do when playing samba indoors - I would not take that risk!
David S
undunc 2 years ago
Don't worry about being embarrassed Prof.........you look great in a samba band. Plus I agree with you, on a nice day you can't beat pedal power.Oh and finally grow old disgracefully. :-)
movement26 2 years ago 2
Risk encouragement? lol not sure . . .but I do get the point we should do things we like or make us feel good without being overly timid about what might happen. Can't see the bacon sandwich every morning, but heck, each to his own.
stewspin 2 years ago
Really impressed with both the content and the production of this video. I've seen Prof. Spiegelhalter give a talk where he shows different ways of visualising risk on the big screen. We saw a quick shot of it in this video, but I'd like to see more.
mlpoulter 2 years ago
very cool
b1gje55e 2 years ago
Today's my birthday. How risky should I be?
adejareojo 2 years ago
"One of the biggest risks is being to cautions" Brilliant.
JosephJoelSherman 2 years ago 4
"One of the biggest risks is being too cautious." Well put!
nickgall 2 years ago 5
I wish my professor of statistics at uni had been as much fun as this
mynameisevalai 2 years ago 8
Thank you.Great video Professor.
ofembe 2 years ago 3
makes you think allot
Trickshot2008 2 years ago 3
Fantastic video
huschak1 2 years ago 12
Great video, best one yet!
RockHobby 2 years ago 5
Absolutely loved this video! Keep em' comin'!
Krumbz2003 2 years ago 5
Ouch... I'd reather have a lottery win... I think :)
Films4You 2 years ago
Thumbs up to this vid, I liked it and it gets you thinking. =D
sync55 2 years ago 4
I'm happy I subscribed to this channel. These are things you don't learn over at my school.
Altaranalt 2 years ago 5
Another interesting video from Cambridge Ideas. I'm looking forward to the next one coming out!
ponder22 2 years ago 5