Yes, that's exactly right. The key lies in the fact that the gameshow host always shows the player a wrong pick after the first pick is made. Thus, he is eliminating one of the wrong possibilities for the player. It was a lot of fun to produce this video. Our class got a personal response from Marilyn vos Savant. We have corresponded a few times since then and I consider her a friend in logic and wisdom. Nice work on the problem simulation, xyaqua! Thanks for your response, too.
@Flyer41W Excuse me can you please tell me how this works because I think I am missing something. The impression I got was that I could have said that there where a thousand goats revealed and that would then have made 1/500 chance of getting either door. But surely once something is not classed as a possible outcome any more it shouldn't be considered relevant? Please get back to me, I think this is unusual.
yeah, at first i thought it was wrong. Then I simulated the problem on a line of a spreadsheet, and copied it 10 thousand times, and prove it was correct.
But Why? It took a few minutes of analysis, but the key is that "Monte Hall" ALWAYS SHOWS YOU A WRONG PICK. "Monte Hall" does not pick from the remaining two at random. (never shows you that you DIDNT pick the new car) . There is directed selection in the showing of a wrong answer.
retarded...by sticking with your first pick you in effect choose again (50/50) your not staying with a two in three loser pick, cant believe a teacher teaches this.
Marilyn vos savant is a liar. She still "parades" as the smartest person ever... with an IQ of 132?
supowit 9 months ago
Yes, that's exactly right. The key lies in the fact that the gameshow host always shows the player a wrong pick after the first pick is made. Thus, he is eliminating one of the wrong possibilities for the player. It was a lot of fun to produce this video. Our class got a personal response from Marilyn vos Savant. We have corresponded a few times since then and I consider her a friend in logic and wisdom. Nice work on the problem simulation, xyaqua! Thanks for your response, too.
Flyer41W 1 year ago
@Flyer41W Excuse me can you please tell me how this works because I think I am missing something. The impression I got was that I could have said that there where a thousand goats revealed and that would then have made 1/500 chance of getting either door. But surely once something is not classed as a possible outcome any more it shouldn't be considered relevant? Please get back to me, I think this is unusual.
Dolphidood 1 year ago
@Dolphidood
Hey, Dolphidood. I wrote you a reply in excess of 500 words. If you hit me at flyer41w@yahoo.com, I'll send it to you.
Flyer41W 1 year ago
yeah, at first i thought it was wrong. Then I simulated the problem on a line of a spreadsheet, and copied it 10 thousand times, and prove it was correct.
But Why? It took a few minutes of analysis, but the key is that "Monte Hall" ALWAYS SHOWS YOU A WRONG PICK. "Monte Hall" does not pick from the remaining two at random. (never shows you that you DIDNT pick the new car) . There is directed selection in the showing of a wrong answer.
I love the PhDs who swore this was wrong. Fail!
xyaqua 1 year ago
It's pretty cool it got you thinking!
Flyer41W 1 year ago
I take it back.
pervyboy69 1 year ago
retarded...by sticking with your first pick you in effect choose again (50/50) your not staying with a two in three loser pick, cant believe a teacher teaches this.
pervyboy69 1 year ago
I wanna go to Georgetown University.
GaGatheSaint 1 year ago
Mr. Brown this is Eric Branske... You are my favorite teacher, i will never forget you or the good times! ;) please reply!
krew76 1 year ago
you look soo different Mr. Brown!
kelleher916 1 year ago