Property Crash Cycle - Introduction to Fred Harrison's 18 Years

[brunopowroznikagain]

Bruno Powroznik is back as brunopowroznikagain

[Macrocompassion]

Here the cycle is 18 years long. Why does the same period repeat? Could it be due to the relative positions of the earth, moom and sun, which take 18 years and 11 days? The other reference in these videos claims 14 years, presunably it is an error.

[BubbFromGEI]

no error. you misuderstood.

the normal cycle is 14 years up, and 4 years down

[NearAbbeyRoad]

@BubbFromGEI

So it is best to buy in 2012 then? We are still dropping to the lowest point in 2012?

[luvdupraver]

18 years is the average length of a contract in developed economies.

[BubbFromGEI]

The Crash is Here / The Crash is Clear:

LONDON (Reuters) - House prices fell 1.9 percent this month alone, leaving it 10.5 percent cheaper than at the same time last year -- the biggest decline since comparable records began in 1991.

The property market is now plummeting, after 10 years in which prices trebled, as banks hit by the credit crunch have tightened their lending criteria with many now requiring a 25 percent deposit for mortgages.

[BubbFromGEI]

Harrison has just produced three videos of his own for his new "Renegade Economist" channel. He believes that mainstream economics is failing, and there is a better way to forecast economic changes, and to make policy. His track record shows that his voice is one worth listening to.

[enrieby]

This is really good, I must read some of Fred Harrison's work, thanks for making this introduction to the topic.

[HollandParker]

I like the blue background on the new Video better! This one remains a good introduction for those unfamiliar with Fred Harrison's cycle work.

[BubbFromGEI]

The next part (A closer look at the UK property cycle that started in 1994), is now up and available on YouTube. The third part will be coming shortly. I have switched to a blue background, so it will be easier to distinguish those parts from the introduction.

I am still hoping to film a visit to an Estate Agent, but am running out of time in London. Ideas for other projects, and links to the Videos of others are being accepted on GEI, and eventually on Talk-View dotcom, after its launch.

[HollandParker]

Nice work! But I'm not crazy about the dark background. Do you need to keep it on further videos. And where's your own photo?

I clicked on Talk-View dotcom, and it took me to a Poll on GEI. Will you be doing a video on Estate Agents? I look forward to it.

[BubbFromGEI]

Thnx for the comment, Laura. I did check that, actually, and the information I obtained was that the first edition came out in 2005, Perhaps there was a small title change.

For good orders sake, I think the correct name of the earlier book is Power in the Land, rather than Power of the Land, as I incorrectly said on the Video.. Parts 2 and 3 should be ready within a few days (I hope).

[LauraParkerSmells]

Another excellent video Dr Bubb keep up the good work!! I thought Boom Bust was originally written in 1999 and a revised edition published in 2005?