WSOP 2008 Main Event - Royal Flush vs. Quad Aces

[paranoid711]

"WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOW"  -Justin Phillips

[MindflowAU]

"1 in 2.7 Billion chance of that happening", heheh

how about chances of it happening while someone is video recording :D

"if that happened to Phil Helmuth the table would not be there any more" haha :D ... sooooo true.

[Siscast]

That's pretty much God telling Mabuchi to leave now.

[soultrail7]

One of the baddest possible beats )

[Arkoz7777]

Is obvious royal flush everyone can see that and fold quads aces what a fish juanda went allin

[MusicalAndTall]

@Arkoz7777 No it is not obvious. The odds are slim as shit, plus it is a perfect chance to bluff a RF. Stfu. You aint no pro.

[MusicalAndTall]

@Arkoz7777 Wrong

[Landoforpresident]

Most evil river ever

[cml37]

Romanello would have folded there

[CAndrea1989]

Er canotta

Che eleganza!

[romain12fun]

OMG

[ukstevey]

suicide watch

[cradleoflinkinpark]

holy shit is that ray ?

[greenboarder89]

and thats what happens when you have a small penis..

[6188406050042119]

My friend had yesterday a table with Royal flush AAAA and KKKK at once :D

[LeCapitaineNoman]

@6188406050042119 this is impossible.

[6188406050042119]

@LeCapitaineNoman

No but its FUCKING rare

[azndude895]

@6188406050042119

Umm no. You are a liar. It's impossible to have the setup you stated.

[ainevek]

@azndude895 If on table you have AAKKQ, and the players have AA, KK and J10 it is possibe in fact 

[6188406050042119]

@azndude895

Idiot !?!

its not impossible

3 mens x 2 cards + 5 on the table = 11

AAAAKKKKQJ10 the K and the A where in the same colour how the QJ10

[TheJFKisAFK]

@azndude895 lol azndude got shut the hell up LOL

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[mariofan529]

I think the real statistical probability is the redneck beating the asain.

[ukstevey]

@mariofan529 lol well played

[ninjajesus81]

That's pretty sick. The only thing that beats a royal flush is a dead man's hand.

[Businessmanthess]

This is why slowplaying sucks...

[Radvo1]

Gingerneck o.O

[butters226]

I LOVE RAYMER!!!

[megotvtec]

i had a royal flush in once in vegas on the 5cent video poker. i won $80 then put it all on black and went double zero. Moral of story. always put atleast minumum bet on green!!

[ATurkProductions]

@megotvtec cool story bro.

[24FrankfurtWest62]

Did he said all in after the flop :D

[templedown]

i lost an omaha tournament once flopping Q10's full and the other dude had a pair of tens. a sick beat down but nothing like that.. could that red hair guy afford a better top? haha. prolly not after the entry fee. and then he calls romano greg raymer. duh! maybe if newman was at the table then he'd have an excuse.

[kmoyeykmo]

Who cares? Juanda had trips.

[kevindexcard]

@kmoyeykmo LOLLLLL

[kostis007]

@kmoyeykmo hahahahaha epic comment

[kayandralovesemily]

GAMBO

[MisterStahl]

Donk. I woulda folded the aces preflop.

[cathey127]

my question is, for a mult-handed table, how did these 2 guys even make it till the river? AA vs. KJ suited should have a lot of preflop action and even at the turn, the guy had a top straight and a second best flush draw. How the hell did they even make it to the river show down? either phillips should have folded at preflop (another lesson for people who slow play aces), or mabuchi should have folded at turn (how many outs are there for trip A?) I don't blame the river all in tho

[bigstar66]

@cathey127 First off you're right, Mabuchi must have slow played his aces not only preflop but also after the flop. There's no reason KJ should hang around after that flop if Mabuchi was betting; it looks really dry. After the turn that's still a pretty harmless board for 3 aces, as there are no flush draws and just a few straight draws (KJ, J8). His aces should have been best, but even if they weren't, the board could pair on the river leaving him with an (almost) unbeatable hand.

[bglick]

@bigstar66 I forget the exact action (just google it, and eventually someone recaps all the betting), but yes they both checked the flop (Mabuch with a set, and the red head with Open ended straight draw), then on the turn Machui bet, but at this point Phillips had a straight and a redraw to the 2nd nut flush, so obviously he isn't going anywhere). SO Mabuchi fucked up big time by not betting on the flop. Obviously he was hoping to redraw to a boat, which would have won.

[bigstar66]

@bglick Actually it was a gutshot, so Mabuchi could have saved himself by betting on the flop. Of course you can't blame him for thinking he was ahead at every street; even the turn card looks pretty innocent for a set.

[bglick]

@bigstar66 Yes you're right I meant a gutshot. A bet on the flop probably prevents this from happening.

[BroadwayKid2008]

That's what he gets for splashing the pot like that... dick. Haha.

[i99xx]

i would have puked all over the table

[yt87654]

WOOOOOOOOOWWWWWW!!!!

[infowaredm]

How is gambling with odds pointless so your saying a 1 in 4 chance is the same as 1 in 2.6 billion. That's just stupid

[robbanimabeast]

did that guy just say one in 2.7 billion chances of that happening and im watching it omg thats 2,700,000,000 one out of thats like 0.0000000000000000000000000000­000000000000000000000000000000­000000000000000000000000000000­000000000000000000000000000000­000000000000000000000000000000­000000000000000000000000000000­000000000000000000000000000000­000000000000000000000000000000­000000000000000000000000000000­001 percent odds of that happening again this proves that gambleing with odds is useless

[butters226]

@robbanimabeast variance

[Robespierre7]

@bushmen123 You don't tip the dealer after winning a pot during a tourney. If you cash in the tourney, you should, but that is after you have been eliminated (or win tourney)

[templedown]

horrible loss, but what a schmuck the way he threw his chips in. adios

[lenasIBS]

Candog111 commentator said differently

[candog111]

The odds of Royal flush and straight flush happening in the same hand, 1 in 42.2 billion

[JohnLeeMD]

Andy Dalton plays poker?

[MedicalChew]

I'm don't normally believe in some people being generally luckier than others but this... lol,

Makes you think the poker championships are a congregation of people with the best of the best of the best luck. Makes you wonder where's the skill in this kind of setup.

[0037300]

It is clearly the players fault here! I mean who goes all in with quad aces??? LMFAO

[TheJRL89]

how the hell did mabuchi take it that well!? i sure to hell would have been saying f*** or bugger just to myself in a gutted sort of way

[coolbluezzzz]

1 in 2.billion chance of that happening

whats the odds of a ginger beating your quad aces with royal flush ?

[TheFuzaaah]

@coolbluezzzz Not funny gay boy.

[nqcowboys27]

0:37 is the exact moment when Phillips gets mind fckd

[bigstar66]

Anyone notice how chill the dealer was when he called out the hands? "Royal flush" "Quads" like this shit happened all the time. I would've been like HOLY SHIT

[Valk72]

That was one hell of a dealer!!

[AppleKidX]

HILLBILLY LOVES RAYMER

[monkeyman1397]

@AppleKidX

LOLLLLLLLLL

[akaheman72]

That guy needs to have some class and dress properly. A wifebeater doesn't count as decent dress. Its trash.

[tanghuful]

i get the most rake back when i play on pokerview, about to hit platinum level soon

[dealerovski82]

if it wasent for the star at the table camera woulden't be there and we could have missed it..

[cantor0305]

loose like that on the main event !!! even for a pro you would prefer to go back to factory instead to play poker anymore...

[knubbe113]

clearly a pokerstars dealer

[Jlenoz]

ahahahaha guys stumblin out

[Kongiss]

"Gamble!!!" rofl.

[MAMA67]

press 3 then 4 :)

[MrTyronePimp]

its like that movie maverick... someone just needed a lower straight flush

[BBQPeanut]

If that happened to Phil Hellmuth, the US would blow up.

[Valk72]

@BBQPeanut

You surely mean, "the world would blow up"? XD

[jff4247]

Wath the fuck ??? On out a 2.7 billion ???????

[JohnLeeMD]

Andy Dalton plays poker?

[gyvaz]

I think the same probability could be that  plane will fall in that casino :D

[TheRacistApricot]

weres lady gaga? i thought she was good at poker

[camfay77]

In my house I vill splash ze pot any fuckink time I want

[M1U7Z5]

1 in 2.7 billlion???????????????

[TomMolivan]

I love his "what a horrible river card for you, NYEHEHE"

[TheAndrew3218]

Soo unlucky!!

[CDABXXX]

Please don't splash the pot.

[iCanadian14]

He deserved to lose for throwing his chips in like that

[staywithaces1984]

@iCanadian14 very true u should never splash in the pot...he looks like an azz and the dealers hate it

[LeCapitaineNoman]

@iCanadian14 Yep, croupier is a person, respect him.

[fateplus1]

he hit a runner runner royal flush against trip aces what a douche



[FlintSL]

Quite obvious that Justin Collins ripped the shirt off his back. He's ginger, no one else ever will.

[SoIRaX]

Watching the video press "4" again and again ^^

[clearimage101]

Gamble!

[chadmw45]

The guy in the wife beater looks like his name is Buck and he's ready to fuck.

[laffizzle]

i love that show everybody loves raymer the fat presto spagetti sauce man

[CapeAnnTelevision]

Sad thing is this isn't even a bad beat, he was behind going into the river haha.

[Anaxagoran]

@CapeAnnTelevision Bad beat doesn't always mean that you get outdrawn. A bad beat can also be an extreme statistical improbability such as this.

[Aman12399]

if quad aces is your last hand, u should have won!

[guybrush93]

is that Ray Romano?????????

[Anaxagoran]

@guybrush93 Obviously you didn't listen to anything at all in the video

[guybrush93]

well, gg, obviously I didn't...

[roush26]

1 in 2.8 billion? so ive won the lottery of failure? i had quads A once. I've also had 9-K straigh flush, guess what i lost to in that one? yup same thing. First one happened at home with friends playing for fun, second one at full tilt. theres a reason i dont gamble

[cdubmeyer]

@roush26 not just one hand dude, Quad aces to a royal fulsh, not just a quad hand or a straight flush. You need to learn to listen, that is what's wrong with the world

[roush26]

@cdubmeyer thats what i meant, i had quad aces against a royal, i didnt think id have to say that since the video is about this, and i also lost 9-k straight flush to 10-A straight flush, "guess what i lost to in that one" i said that in my original statement, which meant the royal. try listening too

[cdubmeyer]

@roush26 well then if it was the same day then somebody didn't shuffle the cards correctly or he cheated. When I was jail this happened quite often, I can guess why lol

[roush26]

@cdubmeyer this did not happen the same day, i never said that, 4 aces was with friends 3 or so years ago, straight flush occured early this year on full tilt

[cdubmeyer]

@roush26 ok well that's alot more plausible

[number154]

@roush26 The odds aren't as remote as the video makes it sound, Whenever you have quad aces, the likelihood an opponent has a royal flush is increased. In the case of 9-K straight flush losing, it must have been that t-k was on the board, which means the likelihood the opponent has a royal flush is reduced to whether they have the right ace, which is actually pretty likely if your opponent is playing tight. It's important to understand that hand probabilities are not uncorrelated.

[LoLzerzzzz]

@number154 yeah I was thinking the same thing, if 10,J,Q,K suited was on the board and you lose to a higher straight flush it's not even that bad of a bad beat. It's somewhat likely your opponent could have that Ace and you can't just go all in thinking "I got a super rare straight flush!!". Good summary.

[CyclonexxxIce]

@number154 are you high?

[number154]

@CyclonexxxIce No.

In fact they got the 2.8 billion number by multiplying the probability of quad aces by the probability of a royal flush, which is just plain wrong. quad aces and royal flush are positively correlated. There are other things that affect the likelihood as well, for example the fact that there are multiple players.

The simple fact is that if you have quad aces then your opponent is more likely to have a royal flush than they otherwise would be.

[number154]

@CyclonexxxIce As a matter of fact, if you do lose with quad aces, then it is more likely that you lost to a royal flush than to any other hand.

[number154]

@CyclonexxxIce Except for a steel wheel, which has the same likelihood - IF you ignore the greater probability of a hand making a steel wheel folding than a hand making a royal flush - so royal flush is actually the most likely possibility.

[luismendezs]

I searched for "A guy lays down royal flush" and this is what I got. Bullshit!

[thex1blitz]

i smell a dirty ginge

[CoLLecToR91]

look at raymond, clearly isnt liking the situation with his red headed tablemate

[warpedmonkey2011]

1 in 2.8 billion holy shi...

[TheStam19]

ahhahhahha GAMBLE 0:29 ahahahahha :P

[thechris104]

Unreal

[godly04]

"GAMBOL!"

ROFL that was so asian

[PokerAllAbout]

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[bomber2909]

standard at online poker :D

[SummerPaPa]

Mabuchi must felt more like raped...

[BigDaddyEarl]

He hit the Rail like a Farrari

[KakashiHatakeeee]

this is the worst beat in the history of poker

[burak220]

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[MikeKain95]

I love what he's wearing with the wife beater and headphones makes him look like someone who doesn't know much about playing just being a chump but in the end he's a boss lol btw how is he allowed to wear headphones couldn't people be suspicious of cheating by relaying other players card he wasn't but wouldn't people suspect that?

[SmittShow]

@MikeKain95 it wasnt a tournament where the hands are broadcast before the players flip them themselves, but sometimes they have the seethrough table with the cameras so you can see their hands.

[OhYesWhipMeBaby]

@MikeKain95 they are allowed headphones conected to music players only

[k2wax]

That is unbelievable

[deguesstheboxingfan]

WWOOOOOOWWW!!!! LOL xDDD

[Delta77350]

ALL-IN!!!! Epic badbeat xD

[Koiboyjapan]

I actually have playedwith Mabuchi san...or as i know him Moto...he's a very nice guy and also a great oker layer...justunluckythis time round. He has won on the WPT before...

[WirkommeninFrieden]

This...is.... Unique.

[ComputerGeekoo]

Clearly a full tilt dealer

[holl01]

@ComputerGeekoo I lost a grand to full tilt, worst 6 month period of my life, those CUNTS!!

[DiceMasterer]

HAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHA 0:37

[MightyTabooTiki]

Wow, tough luck for that guy.

[theman1819]

wow 1-2.7 billion

[Cro17st]

what an imbecil gets the royal flush," i love raymar???" wtf

[Tryclyde]

I wonder how this hand was played preflop etc. I cant stop thinking mabuchi slowplayed and fucked up...

[ganzface10]

"If this happened to Phil Hellmuth the table would no longer be.." :D

[SuperRosie716]

every time i get a bad beat i watch this to make myself feel good.

[wilson883]

1 in 2,700,000,000. Wow.

[kgb989]

WWWooooooooooooooWWW...

[zealbadman]

Massive beat.

[VicVaselino1]

I love sweet black pussy.

[nekeishar123]

ok i have a question for all. i just started playing poker online 3 months ago and im pretty good at it. so i was thinking about going to a casino to play. my question is can i just get up any time while playing poker at a casino or do i have to wait until a certain amount of time until i change tables?

[1kingconan]

@nekeishar123 if it is a cash game you can get up whenever you want.

[vZDomination]

my dad has been playing poker for years and my brother for two years... and the funny thing is that i got a royal flush the 3rd time i played poker with them, which is before both of them

[stefanarak]

my penis is tiny

[InTRuD3r86]

Thank God it wasn't Phill Helmuth! Nuclear detonation in 3,2,1...

[reddevPL]

GAAAMBLEEEE :D

[MMagentaHH]

ya that one of my fav shows, I loved the scene where raymond beat the shit out of raymer

[LoLzerzzzz]

Video must be fake.............not because two players got a royal flush and quad aces in the same hand, but because at 0:22 it says the Pittsburgh Pirates are actually winning

[kizzyizkool]

@LoLzerzzzz what does that mean? I never watch/play poker though i understand the rules

[Plasmajesus7]

@LoLzerzzzz pirates are tied for 1st in their division, GO FUCK YOURSELF

[wiithepeople2]

@LoLzerzzzz this cannot be fake it is on ESPN