A Conversation with Ray Kurzweil

[princeadeshoga]

By 1991 Erick Drexler only had straw man ideas about nanotechnology, but no practical interfacing formula for creating the practicality of nanotechnology.Neither Erick Drexler nor any one that worked on his nano technology straw man can be credited for the interface formula being used for nanotechnology which isn't limited to the nano scale. In relation to the nano scale the new 2005 interface-formula would actually be considered a Zero-Time-Space interface. Nanotechnology is a racket&scandal.

[dbootsthediva]

Very informative interview Kurzweil knows a heck of a lot more than what he is alluding to. Nanotechnology is now picotechnology advancing beyond silicon chips n onto chemical solutions Kurzweil designed many of their how-to books of algorithmic concepts He knows darn well those algorithms r not just about fixing the brain. A good percentage of those 50,000 creating algorithmic models of other agenda's as it pertains to the brain n behaviorial control Thanks for uploading this

[gravity1024]

why is the display window so small? the heads aren't even completely on the screen. is that supposed to make the clip more mysterious?

[davidorban]

@gravity1024 That is just how I shot it. No intention of making it more mysterious... :)

[OxygenBurglar]

Mike Treder - in his articles for the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies - completely rips Kurzweil's arguments into shreds. The exponential growth of technological progress will be sidetracked by ethical, economic, political and environmental issues.

[ilovehd831]

I honestly think his idea of a singularity is a bit more of a story than a realistic prediction. He could be right, but in reality no one really knows how it's all going to unfold. Moore's law could very well slow in the future if bandwidth gets plentiful and renewable energy is cheap enough. The total computing power of Earth is increasing far faster than the computing power of a single chip. I think Kurzweil tries to pretend that these things are obvious, when in reality it's a bit fuzzy.

[IBloom3]

In the future will there be tripods and camera operators? or will all videos be of this tremendous high quality?

[eyhexs]

in the future, irony and goatees will be banned

[1schwererziehbar1]

it's always a pleasure to listen to kurzweil. too bad he seems to ignaore the political developements wich are much more negative than the technological developements.

[ariesvids]

He thinks the technological advancements will overcome any political hurdles.

[stvbee]

so dated, this stuff - its pure fantasy

[MaBu888]

You can be called a pseudo-scientist if you think accurate mathematical predictions are rendered completely inaccurate. After all, this man predicted in 1980s that the World Wide Web would become a reality by the mid 1990s, while no one in the 1980s knew that this would ever be possibile. It was not a prophetic prediction, but a matthematical, economical prediction. He has predicted and invented too much to list in several YouTube comments. One must have a look at the man on Wikipedia, ergo.

[deceiver123m]

@MaBu888 or is he part of the new world order elite and he is telling us the future is a process mandated by their own tradition.

[MaBu888]

@deceiver123m

What you said about him being aligned with the NWO agenda may be valid, but I think it is still possible to do such eonomical and technological predictions.

[THESOULbornold]

appearing

[Pittounikos]

Why are they locked in a broom cupboard?

[THESOULbornold]

you can tell at times Ray is pondering the importance of his appearance on this particular program.

[Neuromonger]

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA. Listen to the sound someone makes on 0:33

[davidorban]

It is a chair's leg scraping on the floor as it is being dragged closer to the table.

[Neuromonger]

Oh thank you. I was actually quite curious about that.

[pipetube21]

Someone puked hearing Kurzweil

[johan28]

The key to not fearing these changes is to keep ahead of them. You fall behind, and all your problems catch up wih you. Same thing has always been the case. Just stay active. Stay productive. Stay balanced and enjoy your work.

The exponential growth of all these things will do a great deal to make the world a better place to live for everyone. If only for that, I'd welcome it. Stay educated. Do not fear. The greatest fear is fear itself, right? A open future of hope, or a future of fear. Pick.

[lessermystery]

the changes you are talking about is the conversion of all matter and energy into nanobots. to me this means no more trees, sky, grass, bunnies, butterflies, moon, stars, galaxies, even dark energy? kurzwell says death is a tragedy, but anyone who looks into quantum physics, even a little bit, would start to get the impression that death really is an illusion. we slough off our bodies, but we go on. i'd rather see humans go extinct than create any kind of singularity.

[xXxXTigerManXxXx]

He is jewish

[willshrieve]

lol, funny how i thought that aswell, straight away, stereo typically jewish and stereo typically a mad scientist.

back to the point though, this guy is fucking insane....." i know lets all change into robots in the future." i mean what a "freak, whats his problem.

hey i love I.T, but technology should have its limits, itll end up destroying us.

[TheLogicJunkie]

I don't want a toaster in my back. All I want is a hug, and that one simple thing is something you're just not allowed anymore, because it isn't technological.

[Khenghis]

...what? If nobody hugs you I doubt that is the fault of technology.

[TheLogicJunkie]

Then you lack easy vision. Because once you've created a world where people are drawn into the world of superficial sensory stimulation as provided by technology, they're no longer nearly as comfortable with the world of flesh and blood, where there is no easy "help" bar to tell them their mission goals and function keys.

Are you really so tunnel-headed that you couldn't see that without my spelling it out for you?

[AtronachOFlame]

I'm fine with 'the world of flesh and blood', I go out plenty and have loads friends yet at the same time I spend a large amount of time using computers. Just because you use technology does not mean you have to disconnect yourself from the physical world, you're only as removed from reality as you choose for yourself to be; the technology is not at fault.

[VulcanFleet]

@AtronachOFlame You may like the physical world... but aren't you going to die eventually that way?

[matchbox555]

humans and singularities become one ?

what on earth does that mean ?

if you mean humans and non-biological intelligence become one, you are right... but only the elite humans.

duh !

[davidorban]

Technologies for the elites tend to get more widely adopted as time goes by. This happened with the car, jet travel, the computer, and many more. It will be the same with the technologies of the future as well.

[matchbox555]

you are right, but that wont happen with the ultimate technology (exponentially self improving AI). because that is the FINAL invention... after that AI will invent everything. thats why the elites dont need 7 billion brains on the earth after that point.

so they will just kill us all.

[deceiver123m]

@davidorban then why do people in south america still not have running water? and wall street can obviously fund all nations water bills, but they refuse to. That shows the elite want to enslave us while they make themselves into robotic gods.

[matchbox555]

up to the singularity they needed people to build infrastructure and invent things etc but after self improving AI is developed they will just kill us all so they can go out into the universe and live forever without any objections to the technology from religious nuts, luddites or unabomber types.

i hope i am wrong, and i love kurzweil and his books, but i fear this is a real problem.

[sadunkal]

It's slightly scary that the discussion seems to have ended with that comment...! :o

[kurizzos]

Hey, the "elites" are human, too.

They also want better ROI, and favor not to be interceded with physical ailments, forgetfulness, emoticons, etc.

In other words, the self evolving AI would be made for their self serving agendas.

This tests the selfish factor of humanity tracing it to a small god complex.

Wouldn't u want things to go your way without a rebuttal? That's what the "elite" are thinking; "My way or the highway"...

The utopiate selfish society where only 1  absolute exists...

[matchbox555]

after the singularity, the elites will kill us all, since we mere humans become of no use to them. then they can go out into the universe and live forever.

[brandonkirk]

You're wrong because humans and singularities according to Raymond will become one. So essentially killing humans would be killing themselves.

[timninerell]

this guy spends too much time watching the matrix and terminator. fuckin douchebag.

[xxmonickkkkaxx]

Most of these movies are predictive programming.

[lonecretin]

I hope we nuke ourselves to kingdom come before this Shituhilarity happens. Everyone deserves to die.

[Skinz01]

Why don't you just go and boohoo somewere else, or you could just kill yourself. Fucking pathetic emo kid.

[ramalama246]

You shouldn't tell people to kill themselves.

[Dirtfire]

This guy's a visionary.

[1schwererziehbar1]

ray kurzweil can look into the future 2 years. any prediction that went further was either wrong or had been made before by many other people. read his predictions on wikipedia.

[rbonez79]

See what I mean? And by the way, could you tell me the power ball numbers for next week?

[rbonez79]

It's always great to hear people say things like "that's bullshit" and that's never gonna happen. Way to insoire human ingenuity! Hey, since you know so much about the future, mr cretin, maybe we can jsut stop working in a progressive manner right now. See, all we need is you and your prescience to tell us what to do!

[lonecretin]

As soon as transhumanistic technologies come close to the marketplace, the ruling elite of the day will seize and destroy them. This is inevitable. So why bother developing them in the first place?

[rbonez79]

that's a nice victim attitude. just like the pharmacutical companies have a cure for AIDS but they only give their secrets to the rich? it will be more profitable to market it to everyone anyway. besides, first you said BS, now this. which is it?

[JDillaYO]

that was such a shitty interview.

when ray realizes the questions are general, he givs general answers. should have been better questions. but always good to just hear this guy talk.

[davidorban]

Hey, thanks for the input! I will try to do better next time. I was somewhat conflicted on one hand asking very specific questions, and more generic ones. Maybe I didn't hit the right balance? :)

[jhexp1001]

In Ray we trust

[thoughtwaretv]

Ray is a genius :)

[thoughtwaretv]

Thank you for posting this david. I hope to see more of your videos at Thoughtware dot TV

Keep up the great videos I wish you the best! Enjoy accelerating change :)

[davidorban]

Hi Thoughtwaretv :)

There is certainly more stuff coming. I bought a Mac recently, and it made me incredibly productive. (Not joking: this is genuinely true.) Have about 200GB of video to edit. Some of it is in Italian, and you might just skip it. Unfortunately YT does not allow me to specify the language and split the feed.

[thoughtwaretv]

That's great news! I hope you share them at Thoughtware TV :-)

Don't worry if its in italian, spanish, english, chinese or japanese. If you're uploading it, and its positive for our future, I say its more than worth it!

[jlm2525]

Ray Kurzweil has been making information technology predictions for over 20 years and has been right on the money almost every time. When he wasn't, he was off by a year on the conservative side such as his 1998 chess computer beating the world human champion (happened in 1997) or his 1995 internet emergence prediction (happened in December 1993). Kurzweil made the above 2 prognostications back in the 80's.

[lonecretin]

It's nearly 2009. Where are the invisible computers he promised in "The Age of Spiritual Machines"? Continuous speech recognition? Smart homes? Retinal displays?

Stop listening to this cyber-flake.

[HAZMOLZ]

ever heard of eccelerarting change?

[lonecretin]

Yes I have, and I think it's accelerating a LOT slower than Kurzweil thinks it is. I don't buy his argument for a 2045 Techno Sing for one minute.

He's thinking the future's all set and all we have to do is just wait. This is absolute rubbish. Thousands of hurdles (technological, ethical, political and environmental) have to be overcome before Kurzweil's arguments can gain credibility.

[davidorban]

He does in fact take into consideration that hundreds of independent teams are competing to solve each problem. It is enough that one of them arrives at a solution for progress to spread as others adopt it. And the net now makes the spreading of these solutions faster as before.

[lonecretin]

Turns out another one hasn't read Skeptic Mag's excellent article "AI Gone Awry".

[eljobo]

That article is full of holes. Looks like someone hasn't read "The Singularity Is Near"

[lonecretin]

I've read "Singularity" and have come to the conclusion of most scientists, great thinkers and social forecasters.

It's bullshit.

We are NOT going to have tiny robots course through our bodies or upload ourselves into machines within this century.

[olivaccia]

You say "NOT", you are so damn sure, there you go. Fortunately you are a lone cretin though.

[lonecretin]

Kurzweil is one of the biggest BS'ers in psuedoscientific history. Technology does not follow a smooth exponential as he claims. Those folks who really track trends for a living all agree that it moves in leaps, plateaus, dips, jumps, hiccups and loops like all of human history.

[eljobo]

Who are those folks?

I'm actually interested.

But, that doesn't mean that the Skeptic Mag article was in any way properly informed.

[1x93cm]

its true... "Those folks who really track trends for a living all agree that it moves in leaps, plateaus, dips, jumps, hiccups and loops like all of human history."

but the over all general trend is in a smooth line...you have to take the average

[lonecretin]

It's not a smooth average line. That is psuedoscience. And technology increase has been slowing down since the middle of last century.

[benwahballs182m]

slowing down? computer hardware is about a billion times more powerful than it was 25 years ago... how is that slowing down?

[angel2901]

Are you kidding?! Dont you see these things coming? Look at the iPhone for example. If you told people about this phone in 2005 they would thik you are crazy. Look at the new Google mobile OS. Speech recognition makes inormes improvements etc. Believe me the Singularity will come sooner than you might think! (And Google will play a major role)

[lonecretin]

The iPhone and the Google OS is one thing. Mind "uploading" and a universe made of computronium is another...which is NOT coming anytime soon. Not in the next 100 years.

[angel2901]

We'll see....

[gonzo1275]

'The future is already here - it's just not evenly distributed.' -Gibson Just because you don't live in a smart home or have a retinal display of your very own does'nt mean they don't actually exist. Have you been living in a cave for the past 5 years?

[lonecretin]

Smart homes and retinal displays are still in the realm of wearable computing, that is, they are fringe technologies that won't be adopted by the masses anytime soon. It'll probably take 50 years for the public to finally catch on.

[gonzo1275]

Computers and the internet were fringe technologies at one point too. All I was saying is that they're already here, just not readily available to everyone, just like any other fringe technology. And 50 years is a very long time...I will have to disagree with you on that one. Newer technologies are being adopted much faster these days. You might wan't to refer to the quote again.

[johnnecron]

dont forget that coming of edible chastity belts.

and vibrating meals on wheels.

[lonecretin]

Nutcase.