Thanks Alex, I think that the continued real estate losses handed to the banks, F.D.I.C. and ultimately the unemployed and underemployed citizens of the U.S. may be the " straw that breaks the camels back ". The entire U.S. banking sector has been built on the wages of the average worker. Now that wage has been reset by " Free Market Capitalism " to zero.
I don't see how the value of anyone's paper money can go up against gold while governments around the world are reducing social programs, maintaining or reducing salaries, and continue printing money. Maybe a psychological deflation very short term but it's not likely. The money supply is still growing exponentially and they have not slowed their M3 growth.
@brown55061 If you watch mike maloneys video, he argues that money supply is falling and thats where the argument for deflation comes from. The reason for this is because you have to inclue outstanding credit as money supply. I think were in for a short run of deflation followed by massive moey printing beyond the scale of what we've seen so far.
Hi Alexis. I agree with the argument for short term diflation. In UK we are going through austerity. people are losing their jobs in droves. Added to this, banks are not lending, people are paying down private debt, all leading to a contraction of the money supply. This makes cash harder to come by, not neccessarily more valuable. Theres less to go around. Also in this environment, positions get liquidated leading to falling asset prices. We saw this happen 3 years ago.
@andymholmes Working class becoming poor because the consumer based economy is ending. We are at stagflation at the moment. Real estate and wages are down, food energy and commodities are up.
The way I am understanding deflation is that money goes up in value. I only can see that under gold standard pre1940.
People usually calling deflation the contraction of the money supply. I think that money supply does not matter any more to influence the value of paper the fiat.
Alex. Dvinci predicted a big event when Andrew Maguire blew the whistle to the CFTC last yr. Mike Ruppert said that Long Island was going to sink, in August last yr.because of a hurricane. I (personally), wouldnt take these people seriously. Davinci is connected to those NIA people, and Ruppert is a business man who charges a subscription fee. I listen to YOU because of your soviet union expierience and your arguments are rational and logical. Some of the others are suspicious
Thanks Alex. Think we more likely to see a melt down in the USD index instead of the stock market itself. Zimbabwe stocks kept rising against their hyper inflating currency.
Alexiscom1 Although impossible to predict , were do you see the spot price of silver in 2012? Also would you sell yours if silver was 400 per ounce ??
Logically many people don't know how the currency works. And ignorance and monetary tricks can increase it's value but in reality it will not work but perception trumps reality, thus people will see price go down but never know they can't buy silver or will panic sell silver. The fiat game will continue.
@davincij15 5% of the people controls 95% of the money. Most of the those 5% people understand how money works. I am more concern how 95% of the money will move, those wont sell they will buy.
Then how it works is the rich first move into an asset then get the media to hype it up so they will have liquidity to sell the asset at a higher price.
It is not a virtual currency because I see you holding it in your hand. All the bank deposits and credit is virtual. What happens when banks do not allow withdrawals, and no credit? Deflation and the money in your hand leaps in value.
People at this time will sell everything to get cash, not a bank transfer but cash.
@martialarm That is exactly my point. If we see a deflation and you hold cash on hand you may be able to buy furniture on the garage sale from your struggling neighbor during a very short window of time. Do not expect to be able to buy silver or gold for low price under this situation. Gas and food will go up in price or become scare too during this so called deflation period.
@Alexiscom1 could be but if industrial demand plummets then actually fuel will also go down, society is built for high demand and stockpiles if arent sold will become available cheap. I think a lot of weak hands will sell their gold and silver because they need cash because they lost asset valuations but they still have their debts to service.
I am in Australian dollars and you are in Canadian so both commodity currencies - so our dollars may also drop a lot. Interesting times..
I think you're right about there NOT being an opportunity to buy or sell during a short deflationary period... I also agree any severe deflation will cause immediate loss of confidence and launch us into inflation, also agree that the government will move in fast to institute some sort of crazy monetary reform. Look to WW2 germany for answers. Good vid.
@theeastwatch Thanks for your support. I think that monetary reform is a must, but like you said it will not be properly done at first. I think we will see more then one monetary reform in the next 5 years.
This $25 price bet could also be a rumor started by JPM because $47 to $51 is trouble for them. Rumor are rumors.
Committees did get effected in 2008, but went even higher later. Silver was not effected strongly. If it does hit $25 it is only going even higher. I am betting I am not alone with a strong buy in at that price. Plus the other 99% are still sleeping.
@AwakingTV If you look to the supply fundamentals 25 USD is not realistic. We can see a paper flash crash but no bullion will be sold at 25 USD. I see even 35 USD is hard to reach because of the really strong buying. 100$ silver by July 25 is more realistic then 25$. Money rules will change again in 2011 I have no idea what can happen under new rules. I am sure that cash is going down under any situations.
The $25 option is not a rumor, you can use many market programs to track the options contracts out there. There is a decent amount of money betting on $25 silver. They are wrong but that's their problem. If it goes to $25 I may sell my kidney and left nut to buy silver lol. I'll be ALL IN if we see $25 in the next 6 months!!
@brown55061 those shorts are just insurance policies for people who bought lots of silver. They spent lots on silver but just in case they took small amount of cash to short the market also. either way they will win or lessen there loss's if things don't go their way. Spend 30 million on silver, spend million to short it. Serves as insurance.
Great analysis
DiNatalli 8 months ago
This has been flagged as spam show
We are going to be the worst off in the United States. I guess we call that justice. God help us.
biry0501 9 months ago
Thanks Alex, I think that the continued real estate losses handed to the banks, F.D.I.C. and ultimately the unemployed and underemployed citizens of the U.S. may be the " straw that breaks the camels back ". The entire U.S. banking sector has been built on the wages of the average worker. Now that wage has been reset by " Free Market Capitalism " to zero.
workwillfreeyou 10 months ago
I don't see how the value of anyone's paper money can go up against gold while governments around the world are reducing social programs, maintaining or reducing salaries, and continue printing money. Maybe a psychological deflation very short term but it's not likely. The money supply is still growing exponentially and they have not slowed their M3 growth.
brown55061 10 months ago
@brown55061 If you watch mike maloneys video, he argues that money supply is falling and thats where the argument for deflation comes from. The reason for this is because you have to inclue outstanding credit as money supply. I think were in for a short run of deflation followed by massive moey printing beyond the scale of what we've seen so far.
andymholmes 10 months ago
Extremely intelligent thinking. I wish you had more viewers. Thank you for making this video.
Musique3579 10 months ago
Hi Alexis. I agree with the argument for short term diflation. In UK we are going through austerity. people are losing their jobs in droves. Added to this, banks are not lending, people are paying down private debt, all leading to a contraction of the money supply. This makes cash harder to come by, not neccessarily more valuable. Theres less to go around. Also in this environment, positions get liquidated leading to falling asset prices. We saw this happen 3 years ago.
andymholmes 10 months ago
@andymholmes Working class becoming poor because the consumer based economy is ending. We are at stagflation at the moment. Real estate and wages are down, food energy and commodities are up.
The way I am understanding deflation is that money goes up in value. I only can see that under gold standard pre1940.
People usually calling deflation the contraction of the money supply. I think that money supply does not matter any more to influence the value of paper the fiat.
Alexiscom1 10 months ago
Alex. Dvinci predicted a big event when Andrew Maguire blew the whistle to the CFTC last yr. Mike Ruppert said that Long Island was going to sink, in August last yr.because of a hurricane. I (personally), wouldnt take these people seriously. Davinci is connected to those NIA people, and Ruppert is a business man who charges a subscription fee. I listen to YOU because of your soviet union expierience and your arguments are rational and logical. Some of the others are suspicious
ANTIDALLARD 10 months ago
Thanks Alex. Think we more likely to see a melt down in the USD index instead of the stock market itself. Zimbabwe stocks kept rising against their hyper inflating currency.
.
0urGaia 10 months ago
Alexiscom1 Although impossible to predict , were do you see the spot price of silver in 2012? Also would you sell yours if silver was 400 per ounce ??
lealakota 10 months ago
Good thinking TnX!
YouriCarma 10 months ago
In the end the paper money will go down.
davincij15 10 months ago
Logically many people don't know how the currency works. And ignorance and monetary tricks can increase it's value but in reality it will not work but perception trumps reality, thus people will see price go down but never know they can't buy silver or will panic sell silver. The fiat game will continue.
davincij15 10 months ago
@davincij15 5% of the people controls 95% of the money. Most of the those 5% people understand how money works. I am more concern how 95% of the money will move, those wont sell they will buy.
Alexiscom1 10 months ago
@Alexiscom1
Then how it works is the rich first move into an asset then get the media to hype it up so they will have liquidity to sell the asset at a higher price.
davincij15 10 months ago
*** SILVER VIDEO*** (MUST SEE)
AMAZING SILVER VIDEO JUST POSTED TODAY!
/watch?v=BNU1H_B7D1g
"Buy Silver....Assist JP MORGAN"
mejt223 10 months ago
ECB loading up on Gold UK Gov admit QE by mid next year (at least) all links on my last vid. Cheers mate
GuildF40 10 months ago
It is not a virtual currency because I see you holding it in your hand. All the bank deposits and credit is virtual. What happens when banks do not allow withdrawals, and no credit? Deflation and the money in your hand leaps in value.
People at this time will sell everything to get cash, not a bank transfer but cash.
martialarm 10 months ago
@martialarm That is exactly my point. If we see a deflation and you hold cash on hand you may be able to buy furniture on the garage sale from your struggling neighbor during a very short window of time. Do not expect to be able to buy silver or gold for low price under this situation. Gas and food will go up in price or become scare too during this so called deflation period.
Alexiscom1 10 months ago
@Alexiscom1 could be but if industrial demand plummets then actually fuel will also go down, society is built for high demand and stockpiles if arent sold will become available cheap. I think a lot of weak hands will sell their gold and silver because they need cash because they lost asset valuations but they still have their debts to service.
I am in Australian dollars and you are in Canadian so both commodity currencies - so our dollars may also drop a lot. Interesting times..
martialarm 10 months ago
I think you're right about there NOT being an opportunity to buy or sell during a short deflationary period... I also agree any severe deflation will cause immediate loss of confidence and launch us into inflation, also agree that the government will move in fast to institute some sort of crazy monetary reform. Look to WW2 germany for answers. Good vid.
-TEW
theeastwatch 10 months ago
@theeastwatch Thanks for your support. I think that monetary reform is a must, but like you said it will not be properly done at first. I think we will see more then one monetary reform in the next 5 years.
Alexiscom1 10 months ago
This $25 price bet could also be a rumor started by JPM because $47 to $51 is trouble for them. Rumor are rumors.
Committees did get effected in 2008, but went even higher later. Silver was not effected strongly. If it does hit $25 it is only going even higher. I am betting I am not alone with a strong buy in at that price. Plus the other 99% are still sleeping.
AwakingTV 10 months ago
@AwakingTV commodities typo
AwakingTV 10 months ago
@AwakingTV If you look to the supply fundamentals 25 USD is not realistic. We can see a paper flash crash but no bullion will be sold at 25 USD. I see even 35 USD is hard to reach because of the really strong buying. 100$ silver by July 25 is more realistic then 25$. Money rules will change again in 2011 I have no idea what can happen under new rules. I am sure that cash is going down under any situations.
Alexiscom1 10 months ago 4
@AwakingTV
The $25 option is not a rumor, you can use many market programs to track the options contracts out there. There is a decent amount of money betting on $25 silver. They are wrong but that's their problem. If it goes to $25 I may sell my kidney and left nut to buy silver lol. I'll be ALL IN if we see $25 in the next 6 months!!
brown55061 10 months ago
@brown55061
Thanks. I am with you!!!
AwakingTV 10 months ago
@brown55061 those shorts are just insurance policies for people who bought lots of silver. They spent lots on silver but just in case they took small amount of cash to short the market also. either way they will win or lessen there loss's if things don't go their way. Spend 30 million on silver, spend million to short it. Serves as insurance.
DoYouThinkForUrselF 10 months ago
I'm not sure what's going to happen. No one knows. Are you thinking of shorting?
CelticReject 10 months ago
@CelticReject I am thinking of shorting NAZDAC stocks but I dont know much about highthec companies. I am shorting CAD by buying physical silver.
Alexiscom1 10 months ago