Predictions - How to make and read Predictions in this Crisis - Friends edition

[hatch381]

I watch you and others to hear your opinionI dont rely on you to tell me what to do. You make good points that help me connect the dots. I really appreciate you giving me the benefit of your research with these videos. I listen to opinions but take responsibility for making my own decisions. Thanks for posting your videos.

[projectdurden]

Everyone and their dog is making predictions about the economic future these days. Manoftruth, urbansurvivalist, feveriam, thegrudgereport, michellenye, peterschiff and others are talking about the dismal future. why do people get so excited about the possibility of bad things happening? i think its because if something bad does happen, they hope to proffit from the disaster and gain popularity.

[projectdurden]

1-2 days. you are right! I have experienced that. i had some recession stocks gain 300% over the last year but i couldn't hold them long enough!

[kebapstar96]

look the video: Der judeneliminator 3000

[towermaus]

so... this guy isn´t getting popular with the germans and know he´s trying to get to the dumb population of the world i.e the english speaking countrys. Sorry folks it is the truth, but rather then that this guy is just trying to get popular. lol. this was NOT a prediction.

If you guys believe what he says, u will not gain any information because the information he is talking about is from a few years and he is giving you that in a video of 12 minutes??

[jberni1]

Sorry, that u did not find the Video "with" the predictions. This is only the prelude or Disclaimer video

[89erful]

hammer

[vicezoorcc]

nice

[jberni1]

I think that he might be right that this is the "plan"

The big question is if the timeline matches...

[antonchigurh9]

You make predictions every day. Whether or not you publicize them is another story. Merely investing in a stock is technically a "prediction" that that stock will increase in value, otherwise you would not put your money in it. So don't worry about the missed market correction for October, as we all know it's coming eventually. Your track record is a hell of a lot better than most other people's, and at the end of the day, timing the market doesn't matter - holding physical metals is what counts

[jberni1]

Hi, I take this as a compliment (recalling the story that a monkey did better in 2001 than all analysts:-)

[antonchigurh9]

Most definitely a compliment. I like to compare your predictions with my own gut feeling, and I enjoy the fact that we could be wrong from now on and still have a better track record than Ben Bernanke :-)

[paraguay62]

I don't think it's useful to make exact predictions. Rogers is good at predicting, he doesn't say when things will happen, he says they will happen eventually. The problems with predictions is that they are often based on history. But the future can be much crazier than the history.

[tomniemiller]

Standard prediction rule : Give price but not time, or give time but not price.

[jberni1]

Jim Rogers is great. Also is Mohammed El Erian.

We should send them a letter saying "THX"

[hadrian4x]

Thanks for the videos. Keep making your predictions. I appreciate them.

[pukashi]

So do you have something in mind about what may happen int the very next weeks? :);):)

[anamericanstory]

Your hair looks great! New barber?

Just keep the up dates coming.

[jberni1]

Hi, thanks.

(No barber is the same [myself])

[orangedac]

the ladies here are going wild at your new haircut.

I estimate it accounts for 94% of your traffic. The other 5% are the guys LOL

Only 1% like me come here for the info.

[jberni1]

Haircuts come and go !

Information stays....

[nsprphg]

Thank for your videos. We all know how hard it is to predict. Keep predicting because we lack you knowledge and insight.

[rdw283]

You were right about your prediction as far as I am concerned. The markets did take a hit that week and no one would have know what the Fed would say to smooth out the investors reactions to the horrible news.

It is absolutely amazing that the market hasn't crashed with unemployment passing 10%. I can see there is manipulation going on in the market. In a normal market this event should have taken it out. I believe from here on out we will have more bad news that will make the system crash.

[KiaOra53]

Jberni1 - you are not only honest , but kind and caring as well.

[luxuryglow]

Instead of "PREDICTION" use "FORECASTING" instead.

Might help.

Either way, your "TRENDCASTING" helps A LOT!!!!

THANK YOU!!!!

[KnowledgeDriven]

or simply rest on your laurels with "hypothesis"...

[gohcheeying]

Hey. Dont stop predictions. They are much more valuable than the main stream news.

[whiskerchild]

Please keep making predicitions, they're a help!

[suzettespencer]

I think the gov't will soon be unable to control things pretty soon, if not already. Their ability to manipulate will run out & may declare force majeur. That may be their endgame all along.

[sfmain]

take it easy on yourself man.(sorry for spamming)

[sfmain]

cool you have a website too!!!

[scanlonized]

Expect nothing and prepared for the worst. Good video, keep trying, keep thinking with an open mind. good luck

[sfmain]

very good danke

[PrepNow]

Your predictions are/will be right even though your timing might be slightly off.

If you know someone who drinks and drives, you know it'll end bad if they don't quit. You just don't know exactly how long they will get away with their reckless behavior.

There will be/already are consequneces to this madness.

You are a good man for sharing the truth.

God bless you.

[CoinsFreedom]

When the DOW tanks the only game in town for investments will be commodoties and Gold/Silver related mining shares.

[bjmccullough]

hey man..your track record is great...the hidden market fall in the gold price is so important here...i say this to my colleagues and they just don t get it...meanwhile all my gold and silver and mining shares are going..new age requires new thinking...keep up the good work...bruce, tokyo

[thirdcoastguy]

Thank you JB for your 'predictable' integrity. Integrity is a value that a man can carry within himself, regardless of his financial status. And is valued by those who know and count on him.

[vsaldanas]

The crash of the USA dollar is happening right now. The USA dollar will not crash and lose 90 percent of its value over night. Its going to take weeks and months as long as the Federal Funds Rate stays at 0.25 percent. If Ben bernanke raises the rate up to 4 percent, within the next three months. The USA dollar can be saved.

[hopaloop]

you're here cause we think your great. cool bloke.

[martialarm]

NO need to stop your predictions. For those of us that can think with the information we know it is an educated guess and it gives us insights.

Just keep telling us what you think - it is valuable -

[cristinaperkel7]

Hi there people the dr is sehr gut

thanks herr

we are not out of the woods yet by any means!!

the oct crash is just delayed, wait for the hidenberg omen then short the heck out of this market!!!

[largo2001]

Sorry jberni1.

I am still waiting for my October Crash.

You earn a D-

[cpswyl2]

People would think George Soros would be a hell of a predictionist, but by his own admission he's virtually always wrong, but is ready to correct the mistakes on the fly.

Bottom line is, 'you' (ie, we) cant predict the future. Make predictions if you must, but dont apologise for them. I'm just happy listening to the information you provide

[ShillBasher]

jberni:

It's a good thing that you are concerned about your predictions and that you do not walk away from them without another mention, this shows your integrity/ honesty and respect, thank you.

To those who did deride you over the October prediction I would say this: DO YOU WANT A CRASH SOONER RATHER THAN LATER?. I am personaly very pleased that events didn't follow the path they could have, because it gives me more time to prepare.

Thank you for your thoughts, as always.

[SilverRose09]

I wished I would have known you when you predicted the crash in 2008. How fast the wealth disappeared.

[i4Truth]

By all means keep making predictions jferni1. Nobody has a crystal ball and your opinions on future financial events is very much welcome.

[krist300]

good video

[dadcamp]

Thanks

[Danster82]

I think some of the biggest indicators are as follows.

The hidden stockmarket crash when priced in gold as you pointed out combine onto this the fact that money supply increase exactly matches increase in equity price's as new funny money is being used by the manipultors to buy up the stock market... & still a 10% crash even with this.

And then also earnings to price on s&p 500 exceeding 700:1!!! when inflation adjusted.

put it all together and you have 3 layers of shit in a sandwich.

[jberni1]

@Danster82

Big Mac or Big Ben?

[halfasheep]

great rant. Keep keeping it real JB1, admit your mistakes, enjoy your successes and you can't go wrong.

[iknownothingnow]

Thank you for continuing to predict. Looking forward to more.

[Elizruth]

Thank you Dr. You are always very helpful and informative. Keep up the great work.

[jailarson]

Common sense is the best tool to use to predict something. Trying to predict how the financial system is going to act on a short term basis is extremely hit and miss. When one understands how the fractional banking system actually works on a larger scale, it is quite obvious that it is doomed to failure. Its just a matter of when and how. It is just not possible to keep printing money and allow banks to create numbers out of thin air and not expect such a collapse.

[aw3212]

The only predictions I see on the net that I question are ones in which there is no information to back it up or any clear thoughts about why the prediction is made. You have ALWAYS made articulate arguments that are based on facts and conclusions drawn, so I don't care if you miss one. Usually if your predictions are not true it is because some government "twist" they came up with to delay the ineviatable. I believe you are spot on with your arguments about the economy here and abroad.

[jailarson]

Ditto.  Well said.

[voon71]

so you missed out on a date. What is more important is the reasons you've given for your predictions. Credit's due though for this is the first video I've seen in youtube to admit the missed out collapse of the October predictions.

This is honest and that's all anyone can ask for

[HMachina]

Please keep predicting.

[smasila]

I am not shocked on if your predications and predications from Peter Schiff have come true, but how fast they are coming true. Example gold prices. People should be worried of how fast gold has gone up. Financial Armageddon coming faster then we think?

[tuktukktotam]

agree 100% even prophets in the Bible never used timing they always said it will happen if you do this or do not do this Amen, lol

[goodagofilms]

Here is my Prediction.

They will drag out the inevitable for as long as possible. They will rob Peter to pay Paul. They will divide up banks an corporations into Bankruptable chunks. They will Increase control of people incase of revolution .

They will always protect there own intrests and that of there associates.

They are slow moving ( they know people have short attention spans )

They can do what ever they want. You are powerless they don't play a fair game.

[Pracedru]

I've been following your vlog for a while. Not so much for the predictions, but for your take on the situation.

Please go on

[Silberhorter]

technical charts are crying for a continuation (although it might be manipulated a bit more) of the mega-bear market since market closed on 30.10.09. I think its a good contrarian indicator that a lot of bears move back into their woods and seek some other stuff to eat instead of beating their chests and continuing or even enforcing their reasoning. If you allow I also assess it as contrarian indicator that you have to make a video for explaining why some delayed disasters have not yet come true

[davincij15]

If you are an engineer and you say that a building is going to collapse but do not give timing and it collapses 10 years from now the engineer is not wrong or his warning was not worthless.

A warning to avoid calamity is useful when you are unaware it is possible. You do not want to stay in the building for 9 years then move out in 10? Do you?

[pajkost]

don't let one opinion change what you are doing. I enjoy every video and comment you make and you are right on the money. The amount of market manipulation is making a lot of people feel better on the surface because they do not want to see the rotting, stinking swamp just underneath them. Please do not change how you deliver your information.

[emmazedbend]

Very useful thankyou and thanks for the predictions they are all on 'the trend' I think.

[1mealperday]

no i did not enjoy it. I assumed you would clarify the sitiuation as regards the market. the dollar or the economy. Instead you gave a talk on how not to predict. Left me puzzled and frustrated.

Thanks anyway. We have an abundance of common sense here in the states, more than we need since we have little for it.

[jberni1]

Hi,

Thanks for your comment. I adjusted the title of the video accordingly.

This weekend we will learn more about the future of the dollar.

[1mealperday]

i am a displaced german. Always honest even if it hurts me or others. I do appreciate your presentations and recognize the difficulty of forecasting in an environment of manipulation and dishonesty. Many short positions failed repeatedly by experienced traders. Charts no longer apply and fundamentals suck , but are ignored and the law  looks the other way.

Please do not let me discourage you.lol

germans are too stubborn to be discouraged , yes?

[CoinsFreedom]

Exactly, the "Plunge Protection Team" or the Goldman Ganng, take your pick. How can you make a prediction based on integrity when the missing bailout money is used in off-shore accounts to levitate the markets. Derrivative Gold/Silver leveraged 40X is used to Short & supress the precious metals (COMEX).

[Lexi8888]

Ditto 1meal, seems like a lot of talk and no info!!! I actually listened twice to make sure I hadn't been missed something.

[jberni1]

Yep, this was the preparation and disclaimer video for the 2010 predictions

[JOHNNYH8STHENWO]

I understand why you may want to reconsider making predictions, but your logic is correct. I see no problem with you making predictions and sometimes not being exactly correct. At least you're making the effort to inform us, which I am very thankful for.

[cbr6864]

they are going to do a rollong shut down of banks in us. while the banks are closed the funds will be revalued.

nice video

[jberni1]

Is this an insider info, an assumption, or an prediction?

Could you let us know when you expect this to happen?

[cbr6864]

by no means do i have any insider information, this is only my simple predicition. as for a date mid Nov-mid Dec.

once again thank you for your videos, it is far better to take a chance at helping people only to find out that you were wrong than to stand by and do nothing,

[fal2grace]

when?

[fal2grace]

Thanks Dr. Berninger.