Added: 3 years ago
From: blogbabalum
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  • Has Taleb said anything about Extreme Value Analysis? I could not find a single word about it in the book (The Black Swan).

  • @uRRonin I'd say that one of his fundamental thoughts is precisely that. Extreme value analysis usually underestimates probabilities. Rare events occur more often than predicted by common financial models, statistical models or human intuition.

  • Taleb es muy bueno pero decir que la suerte es lo que determina el éxito es una imbecilidad.

  • @Kanariodan24 No es lo que dice. Sería mas exacto decir que gracias a las suerte también se puede tener éxito y que eso ocurre en muchas más ocasiones de lo que creemos. Entre otras cosas por nuestra innata tendencia a atribuir sentido causal a hechos casuales.

  • @Kanariodan24 Mira este video, ahí explica más claramente tu inquietud.

    watch?v=NITNKzWYOqc

  • Hallo collegezaal M1-12! groetjes uit rij 13 ;)

  • This interview makes charlie rose look kind of dumb. Some of his questions sort of seem to show he doesn't get it.

  • Charlie Rose es un huevon, no tiene la mas puta idea de quien es Taleb o de que habla en general, tipico periodista de que llama a figuras hyped por los medios para entrevistarlo de forma completamente desinformada (aunque Taleb siempre es relevante como una de las mentes mas brillantes del mundo). (Y) Taleb - (N) Charlie Rose

  • Just like Columbus when discovered America. When he returned to Europe and still discussing with the Kings he said: "Once one can do it, everyone can do it too".. as a way of reminding them how they didn't believe him before he started his trip.

  • I read his books cover to cover and I realize he keeps stating the obvious. Think about it.

  • That is very true but for some reason hardly anyone really listens to the obvious and instead willingly jumps in to a convincing lie. Maybe its a breath of fresh air to be reminded by the obvious than being bombarded by tales from the so called experts

  • This is why he is brilliant , because he is the one of the few true skeptics.

    One of the few that doesn't get ahead of themselves.

    So sad that stating the obvious is now alien and contrary to

  • Dear rmeddy1.

    Stating the obvious is not alien and contrary.

    It is considered redundant.

  • Well apparently in today's complex world, it is not.

    And the obvious isn't so obvious.

  • Your statement reminds me of the narrative fallacies he talks about. Of course it's obvious, now.

  • @letswatch2007 Which is the sad part.

  • Taleb is incredible. He should be in every language!

  • ¡Video excelente!

    Muchas gracias por la traducción

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