@uRRonin I'd say that one of his fundamental thoughts is precisely that. Extreme value analysis usually underestimates probabilities. Rare events occur more often than predicted by common financial models, statistical models or human intuition.
@Kanariodan24 No es lo que dice. Sería mas exacto decir que gracias a las suerte también se puede tener éxito y que eso ocurre en muchas más ocasiones de lo que creemos. Entre otras cosas por nuestra innata tendencia a atribuir sentido causal a hechos casuales.
Charlie Rose es un huevon, no tiene la mas puta idea de quien es Taleb o de que habla en general, tipico periodista de que llama a figuras hyped por los medios para entrevistarlo de forma completamente desinformada (aunque Taleb siempre es relevante como una de las mentes mas brillantes del mundo). (Y) Taleb - (N) Charlie Rose
Just like Columbus when discovered America. When he returned to Europe and still discussing with the Kings he said: "Once one can do it, everyone can do it too".. as a way of reminding them how they didn't believe him before he started his trip.
That is very true but for some reason hardly anyone really listens to the obvious and instead willingly jumps in to a convincing lie. Maybe its a breath of fresh air to be reminded by the obvious than being bombarded by tales from the so called experts
Has Taleb said anything about Extreme Value Analysis? I could not find a single word about it in the book (The Black Swan).
uRRonin 7 months ago in playlist Educational
@uRRonin I'd say that one of his fundamental thoughts is precisely that. Extreme value analysis usually underestimates probabilities. Rare events occur more often than predicted by common financial models, statistical models or human intuition.
blogbabalum 7 months ago
Taleb es muy bueno pero decir que la suerte es lo que determina el éxito es una imbecilidad.
Kanariodan24 1 year ago
@Kanariodan24 No es lo que dice. Sería mas exacto decir que gracias a las suerte también se puede tener éxito y que eso ocurre en muchas más ocasiones de lo que creemos. Entre otras cosas por nuestra innata tendencia a atribuir sentido causal a hechos casuales.
blogbabalum 7 months ago
@Kanariodan24 Mira este video, ahí explica más claramente tu inquietud.
watch?v=NITNKzWYOqc
jazerazo 6 months ago
Hallo collegezaal M1-12! groetjes uit rij 13 ;)
jeroenbloemendaal91 1 year ago
This interview makes charlie rose look kind of dumb. Some of his questions sort of seem to show he doesn't get it.
barnesthompson 2 years ago
Charlie Rose es un huevon, no tiene la mas puta idea de quien es Taleb o de que habla en general, tipico periodista de que llama a figuras hyped por los medios para entrevistarlo de forma completamente desinformada (aunque Taleb siempre es relevante como una de las mentes mas brillantes del mundo). (Y) Taleb - (N) Charlie Rose
WillGGH 2 years ago
Just like Columbus when discovered America. When he returned to Europe and still discussing with the Kings he said: "Once one can do it, everyone can do it too".. as a way of reminding them how they didn't believe him before he started his trip.
dylanmartin 3 years ago
I read his books cover to cover and I realize he keeps stating the obvious. Think about it.
letswatch2007 3 years ago 2
That is very true but for some reason hardly anyone really listens to the obvious and instead willingly jumps in to a convincing lie. Maybe its a breath of fresh air to be reminded by the obvious than being bombarded by tales from the so called experts
jinjin16 3 years ago 5
This is why he is brilliant , because he is the one of the few true skeptics.
One of the few that doesn't get ahead of themselves.
So sad that stating the obvious is now alien and contrary to
rmeddy1 2 years ago
Dear rmeddy1.
Stating the obvious is not alien and contrary.
It is considered redundant.
letswatch2007 2 years ago
Well apparently in today's complex world, it is not.
And the obvious isn't so obvious.
rmeddy1 2 years ago
Your statement reminds me of the narrative fallacies he talks about. Of course it's obvious, now.
seangibat 2 years ago
@letswatch2007 Which is the sad part.
rmeddy1 2 years ago
Taleb is incredible. He should be in every language!
croke12 3 years ago 4
¡Video excelente!
Muchas gracias por la traducción
kanfor 3 years ago 3