Dr. Steven Novella on Bayes' Theorem & Pseudoscience

[dipstickewew]

If Bayesian probability were the norm instead of P values, and scientific results were routinely entered into a public central database, we could easily keep track of the state of Science's knowledge of any given subject.

The first guy to study something new comes up with a prior probability, and everyone after uses the current probability as their prior. Then anybody could see at a glance what the consensus opinion is and at what confidence!

It would be the death of pseudoscience.

[Stiltwalker81]

Correction - Episode 288



[OrderoftheWhiteHand]

@Stiltwalker81 thanks D

[benshums]

Awesome! Steve is the bomb!