If you pick a random number between 0-9, the chance of the number starting with a 1 is 10%. A random number between 0-19 has a 50% chance of starting with a 1. 0-29 is a 33% chance.
So, can this law be explained because natural things are constrained by a random upper-limit? If the upper limit is not 9, or 99, or 999 etc. then there will be more chance of the number starting with a 1.
It is more than just the prevelance of leading-digits in counting sets. Much natural growth happens expedentially, where totals spend the least amount of time in the leading-digit "9" position.
Why don't you explain the reason for the law? It's simple enough. Just show a logarithmically even distribution of numbers over a full order of magnitude, display the bins corresponding to each leading digit, and graph the size of each bin.
An account is based on a standard fee or contractual amount could be legal yet not follow Benford's law at all. The data source has to be "sufficiently" random for Benford's to apply at all.
The case mentioned could have been completely innocent (it might well have been real fraud - I don't know all the details), but to say "because the ledger didn't follow Benford's, so there is fraud" is completely insufficient as proof and complete garbage.
This is some cool shit... these kinds of mathematical phenomena are always fascinating. I feel things like this and the numbers pi and e hold some amazing insight to the universe we haven't discovered yet...
I promise you that if you think long enough about WHY this occurs, you will figure it out. Start by counting 1,2,3, and then think.. what happens when the sequence increases so much that I must PREFIX A NEW DIGIT.. What DIGIT will I prefix? It's not a 9...
This law works because it is based on numbersets such as (1) stock prices, (2) street addresses, (3) census data, (4) lengths of rivers.. these data sets contain a FINITE number of values ranging from ZERO ON UP... (but not to infinity)
Someone should do this with like 5,000 random youtube videos.
TheRandomSkillz 9 months ago
Nature blows my mind.
ragragdoll 1 year ago
amazing
susantam25 1 year ago
If you pick a random number between 0-9, the chance of the number starting with a 1 is 10%. A random number between 0-19 has a 50% chance of starting with a 1. 0-29 is a 33% chance.
So, can this law be explained because natural things are constrained by a random upper-limit? If the upper limit is not 9, or 99, or 999 etc. then there will be more chance of the number starting with a 1.
davekirkwood 1 year ago
Excellent, next time I defraud thousands of people... I'll make sure I use Benford's Law.
lukeseti 1 year ago
pfft, Benford is a fool.
SpicyHam 1 year ago
I found this on stumble
SolidArch 2 years ago
It is more than just the prevelance of leading-digits in counting sets. Much natural growth happens expedentially, where totals spend the least amount of time in the leading-digit "9" position.
scpeer 2 years ago
5/5 really interresting!
lucb1e 2 years ago
Interesting video, the narrator also had a great voice
Rodrush62 2 years ago 8
He sounded hot
luckyw4ss4bi 2 years ago
why u say that
analyst2004 2 years ago
Just listen to his smooth and sexy voice
luckyw4ss4bi 2 years ago
wow, that was REALLY neat
bmwalshe 2 years ago
Why don't you explain the reason for the law? It's simple enough. Just show a logarithmically even distribution of numbers over a full order of magnitude, display the bins corresponding to each leading digit, and graph the size of each bin.
RagingGeekazoid 2 years ago 5
An account is based on a standard fee or contractual amount could be legal yet not follow Benford's law at all. The data source has to be "sufficiently" random for Benford's to apply at all.
The case mentioned could have been completely innocent (it might well have been real fraud - I don't know all the details), but to say "because the ledger didn't follow Benford's, so there is fraud" is completely insufficient as proof and complete garbage.
Faking Benford dists is trivial also..
jestertru 2 years ago
This is some cool shit... these kinds of mathematical phenomena are always fascinating. I feel things like this and the numbers pi and e hold some amazing insight to the universe we haven't discovered yet...
CypherVirus 2 years ago
doesn't seem that strange to me
the lower numbers obviously occur more in a list of sequences eg.
1
12
123
1234
12345
123456 etc....
royb673 2 years ago
This comment has received too many negative votes show
This isn't fascinating. Think about it for 20 seconds.
In an infinite data set, it wouldn't hold true.
HoboNetWeaver 3 years ago
like?
foodeater 3 years ago
Lets run an example of the population of the US states... see what comes up. Anyone have the figures?
56jmoney 3 years ago
In 20 seconds, I wasn't able to comprehend infinity and I still find it fascinating.
mendelbot 2 years ago
I promise you that if you think long enough about WHY this occurs, you will figure it out. Start by counting 1,2,3, and then think.. what happens when the sequence increases so much that I must PREFIX A NEW DIGIT.. What DIGIT will I prefix? It's not a 9...
This law works because it is based on numbersets such as (1) stock prices, (2) street addresses, (3) census data, (4) lengths of rivers.. these data sets contain a FINITE number of values ranging from ZERO ON UP... (but not to infinity)
HoboNetWeaver 2 years ago 4
fascinating
othertopics 3 years ago
lala
roflroflomgomg 3 years ago