Stock Market Crash 2011? S&P 500 Put Option Activity ALERT!

[StockMarkeToday]

COOL

[azandhind4eva]

well its dec. 2012 is coming.what do u think?

[StockMarketFunding]

@azandhind4eva i'm thinking these options expired on last Friday's opening print worthless! Like we said in the video, they stand to go worthless because they sell the fear when markets are weak, keep the premium then take the options out of the money so they seller of the option keeps the premium. Hope that helps!

[maximumvalues]

im in AMZN, PBI, SHLD puts..... PCLN calls

is it early to be in the PCLN calls in your opinion?

[StockMarketFunding]

@maximumvalues well the based on the futures down early you're early :-) We're looking for intraday capitulation and a blow-off top in the vix

[VentLAWL]

Do you think there could be a large crash this month? there have been stories of option purchases of 2.25 million contracts, up from a monthly average of 20 or 30 thousand. Are these stories just lies, or is there a possibility of a large market crash in october?

[StockMarketFunding]

@VentLAWL we could, we're looking for the bull to get washed out. Oct sell down can increase the chances of a Xmas rally.

[OptionsSchool]

@StockMarketFunding S&P 500 closes down 32.19 points...once again you guys are on top of these markets and CNBC traders and fund managers continue to scratch their heads!

[izzysykopth]

here comes another crash!!!

[MrNWOExposed]

why do 80-95% have to be "bulls"? Seriously take your profits and move on with your life and stop trying to feel like NFLX is a $300 stock lol

[holycrooks]

oct 3, 11 ==== 1+0+3+1+1=6 dow jones flash crash?!

oct 24,11 === 1+0+2+4+1+1=9 dow jones super crash?!

God knows!

[MrNWOExposed]

@holycrooks 10/11/11 maybe?

[StockMarketFunding]

@DavidBylsma thanks we appreciate your comment and look forward to updating these contracts when they pay hard...or expire worthless

[StockMarketFunding]

@Avatarclone we mostly do point moves and not specific time frames. You may be right but that 1907 bank panic skews those numbers and makes it seem more bearish than the real average.

[StockMarketFunding]

@TheSMFTRADER thanks for all the hard work in the trading room friday, you guys made some great profits while all indices closed on the lows!

[StockMarketFunding]

@ChartingPlatform we were wondering about that, apparently we weren't the only ones with the problem it was happening back in july for other users, suspect # to free at regardless

[DavidBylsma]

cool...good eye on her....I think You're right....

[Avatarclone]

Has not the greatest dips on stocks fallen between 19-25th of oct?

[davidlory]

I have a source that tells me there will be a major crash this November. What do you think?

[StockMarketFunding]

@davidlory we call it the "Hunt for Red October" they walked these stocks to the moon on short covering and now they're all out they're plenty of levels to to these markets lower. We will continue to Gage the trend and pulse because they bull has everything on the line just like 2008 and we want to never put anything past them. They always pull off the rallies when no one is looking and things are extremely bearish and oversold.

[pregiato4ever]

uhm, the fundamental question is if the put options was bought or sold!!! For me there's a possibility of 40% sold, 60% bought...

Isn't it?

[StockMarketFunding]

@pregiato4ever i give you award of top comment of this video! To quickly answer your question, contract high $89.50 on 8/9. Contract Low $7.50 on 7/11 yes they're paying too much at $53.75 on $177M relative to the range He could have bought 236k vs 33k if he had bought at the lows, thats 7.15 more quantity for the same money, the suck at risk management. Is the range done, time will tell if we bring lower results the high might not be done on these contracts.

[pregiato4ever]

@StockMarketFunding my accumulation indicators sayd me the BIGS are buying!

[StockMarketFunding]

@pregiato4ever I was watching the tape all day, we closed on the lows what indicators indicated anyone was accumulating?

[pregiato4ever]

@StockMarketFunding hey, was it really as I sayd you? ;-) The put was bought!!! Now it's an important moment...

[StockMarketFunding]

@pregiato4ever the guy who bought them could have made a $10 profit on Monday if he sold...but he didn't b/c the volume was only 4.5k, they went down to $29 on Friday, he's really underwater

[eatfish97]

Yes closing on the bottom of a bar like that is not a good thing thanks

[StockMarketFunding]

@eatfish97 Oh yeah, bear is working overtime over the weekend to get things on the gap down. Asian markets are weak right now, we'll see what they do over Sunday and Monday

[YoBravaFrumAnuvaMuva]

Excellent analysis and very helpful!

[StockMarketFunding]

@YoBravaFrumAnuvaMuva thanks for the thoughtful comment we do our best everyday to let the truth be known and you won't see this analysis on CNBC

[MrVic1954]

Who will you sell gold to after money colapses? No One. Not until they make a new money system and then tey can price gold a 50 cents if they want to. Better to buy firewood at this point. jmho

[StockMarketFunding]

@MrVic1954 you bring up very valid points and these are the basic fundamentals of supply and demand. If everything went to hell and a hand basket the people who invest in shotgun shells and toilet paper can outperform the gold bug.

[TheSMFTRADER]

I can just feel the increased bearish sentiment over the weekend. Headline on zerohedge read "Meltdown Part 2: "A Global Financial Tsunami""

[ChartingPlatform]

So YouTube closes to freeze the views of this video at 666 wtf is up with that!

[smfstreet]

Lots of unusual activity lately.... Could this be the kiss goodby! TARP in Europe!  Solar scams......HMMMMM!

[StockMarketFunding]

@smfstreet well said! these bulls have a lot of work to do if they're going to try to take these markets higher

[prestonstroud]

An interview on the Jeff Rense show on 9/22 or 9/23 discuss the strong potential for a stock market crash in October, 2011. He said the average monthly options contract is around 20k. He said this number has escallated to an unprecedented level of 2.2 million contracts for October. This is a strong indication that the elite - illuminati are planning for the marke crash in October. Also, Cliff High with at halfpasthuman indicated the elite's money moves give strong indication for a crash

[prestonstroud]

An interview on the Jeff Rense show on 9/22 or 9/23 discuss the strong potential for a stock market crash in October, 2011. He said the average monthly options contract is around 20k. He said this number has escallated to an unprecedented level of 2.2 million contracts for October. This is a strong indication that the elite / illuminati are planning for the marke crash in October. Also, Cliff High with at halfpasthuman indicated the elite's money moves give strong indication for a crash

[StockMarketFunding]

@prestonstroud he's accurate on his statistics, people are on the hunt for "Red October"

[MisterE103]

The central bank criminals are working in concert to reverse the selling on bugus EU bailout, bond auction, Asia to the rescue, etc, etc. to force a massive short covering rally (and juicing it with massive POMO infusions), so holding short, especially over the weekend is really risky. How many times have we seen them blindside the markets this way?. I'm actually hoping for one final retracement higher (and drop in the VIX) to load up shorts.

[StockMarketFunding]

@MisterE103 we 100% agree, they are in control with the media pulling peoples' emotional strings to get them to buy in sell in a range bound, volatile tape. We're keeping a close eye on the VIX, looking for a blowoff top and looking for a good price on these same puts these idiots bought in this video. Why didn't they buy them for 50% less the day before lol

[theeastwatch]

thanks for the heads up SMF.

-TEW

[StockMarketFunding]

@theeastwatch thanks for the comment and tuning in TEW!

[MisterE103]

As far as buying puts after Fridays sharp selloff and huge spike up in the VIX, it's a risky proposition as the options are hugely inflated with volatility and if any new bogus EU rescue plan / QE, etc. hits the wires you'll be in for a really nasty haircut.

I think you might be wiser shorting the ES futures.

[StockMarketFunding]

@MisterE103 we 100% agree with you, these people always gamble and buy the high end of the puts, we sold that same put before it HUGE BUY

[Webdesignireland]

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Thanks for Sharing the video and enjoyed watching. I have shared on my new website called Qtellnet.com ( Social Network )and also posted on my facebook page called Qtellwebdesign Webdesign Ireland

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Have a nice day

Michael

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[StockMarketFunding]

@Webdesignireland thanks for tuning in Michael, good luck with the site!

[Webdesignireland]

@StockMarketFunding Yes always good to find out whats happening there in the states

Michael

[StockMarketFunding]

@Webdesignireland we're always updating people, where are you at? We can always update you're financial markets too

[Webdesignireland]

@StockMarketFunding Hello, im in Ireland here and possible you are providing a good service, and I think my members on Qtellnet would like to find out

• Members: 1164 members

You can use facebook accout to login and keep us all updated.

We are all worried about this on a global level

Chhers

Michael

[moonsalam]

..occupy wall street..waving flag:)-

[StockMarketFunding]

@moonsalam i almost heard about that in the main stream media!

[holycrooks]

we never know what will happen. The crooks are running the show,QE3 Fusion coming monday!!!!!!!

[StockMarketFunding]

@holycrooks why you're up so late with such accurate information i have no idea! I'd like to introduce you to a show we call " weekly" "monthly" "quarterly" gambler specials that now they reserve the right and flexibility to gamble or lose your assets...on a weekly basis, shit it was bad enough with the month, now they'r whipping around 1k% returns intraday everyday, maybe we're being too honest and this channel will get shut down.

[PersistentPatriot]

Question, if you had the $5K necessary to buy the put option, would you pull the trigger. Is this so clear as to what is going to happen that you'd have to be a fool for not shorting the Spider next month? This seems like a big opportunity, maybe one of a lifetime.

[StockMarketFunding]

@PersistentPatriot we owned and sold this same option right before the purchase, a lot of risk at 5k we we just took profits and we'll re-adjust at better prices, could have got paid more, we'll see

[PersistentPatriot]

@StockMarketFunding My sources are telling me the big boys are going to perform a transfer of wealth in october - that this much is obvious by the 11 million shorts on the SP 500 for October. I would hate myself forever if i didn't profit from it after being warned. What is the downside risk? Do you really think it can go higher with so much money betting on a decline??

[StockMarketFunding]

@PersistentPatriot great question! Do you really think it can go higher with so much money betting on a decline? Short answer, yes. They have $177M reasons for this thing to expire at or above 1150 on 10/21's open print. This time last year we featured the puts being bought....betting on red OCT, and they all expired worthless. Is the market overvalued and pricing in bear trends as we speak? Yes, that being said, never put anything past the bull trying to conjure up a move.

[PersistentPatriot]

@StockMarketFunding Ok i see, i can appreciate your conservative, take-what-you-can-get strategy. Guess i'll just wait it out and add to my stack of silver once the market tanks. Better to not get sucked into the hype i suppose.

[StockMarketFunding]

@PersistentPatriot you're right to be conservative, especially when it comes to the silver market or gold market, they love taking these people that can't wait to the cleaners. We just try to adjust and monitor the facts as they're presented.

[PersistentPatriot]

@StockMarketFunding What about this: Buying both a put and a call of equal value? Couldn't that be done to hedge yourself?

[StockMarketFunding]

@PersistentPatriot sure, a lot of times what you have is someone hedge fund guy buying $177M in puts to hedge his $3B portfolio however overall put options buying has been at all time highs in general. An interview on the Jeff Rense show on 9/22 or 9/23 discuss the strong potential for a stock market crash in October, 2011. He said the average monthly options contract is around 20k. He said this number has escallated to an unprecedented level of 2.2 million contracts for October.

[PersistentPatriot]

@StockMarketFunding Yes i listened to that about 3-4 days ago, that is how i found your video.  The Puts on the S&P 500 now stand 11 Mil Open Interest. That is why I say get your hands on a put option no matter how expensive - something is up! The big boys are going to have a sacrifice. Paul Drockton is the guy who broke the story.

[PersistentPatriot]

@StockMarketFunding Hey buddy did you see Drockton put up a list of stocks to short for october-november. Be sure to check them out.

[StockMarketFunding]

@PersistentPatriot can you message us the link? I couldn't find it but I saw and Oct 2011 crash video he put out, just starting to hear about this guy now. We always respect good calls.

[LondonCrusader]

Hi to all SMF.

*Mario, if I may ask (or if someone can pass along with curious question)...

re: the VIX.

As I said to another trader this evening, looking at the daily/weekly VIX charts, a simple projection looks like we'll see a vix of 55/60 in October. Thoughts?

--

Good wishes for the weekend.

[gozentus]

S&P 500 COME OOOOOOOOOON DOOOOOOOWN!!!

[StockMarketFunding]

@gozentus we agree, take the bull out, get wholesale bids on the calls!

[indignant99]

Ber-nocky? Can't you see those last 4 letters are "ANKE"?

[StockMarketFunding]

@indignant99 can't say it, he NOCKS makrets

[ragedmaximus]

last time you did video this was sept 2010 and the fed screwed the shorts

[StockMarketFunding]

@ragedmaximus you are 100% accurate on that and that's for noticing...that is why the title always had the "?" because you never know what the banks and big money is planning behind the scene and what news headlines the bull is thinking up. I'm just sad we weren't doing these videos in Jan 2008 when we called for 3 consecutive corrections of 15% down on the S&P 500! We got than and more but it didn't happen right away but they had YHOO buyout MSFT, 1% emergency rate cut ect, everything possible!

[AKONE650]

MMTEEEEEEEZZZZZZZZZ!!!!!

[guitarkrazzzy]

im bearish at the moment.. but what are some of the things that might trigger a hugr rally? QE1 for europe? anything else?

[StockMarketFunding]

@guitarkrazzzy we held the S&P 500 Oct 1150 into the close, we bought it at $44.40 which was not as wholesale as we like to be so we took profits after hours at $52.50 for $810 profit. Indices all closed at the low...huge plus for you! Bottom line, bulls are always working behind the scene to conjure up a a bullish news article and Europe resolution will more than likely be it. That said, another possibility would be the new quarter fund money hitting the tape as people search for value!

[DirectAccessTrading]

You guys rock, thanks for all the research!

[StockMarketFunding]

@DirectAccessTrading we appreciate the support, thanks!

[ITDUBB5]

Nice call SMF!! Great analysis and well said.

[StockMarketFunding]

@ITDUBB5 thanks for the great comment! We're really glad all our loyal viewers like yourself can learn this stuff...you won't see it on fast money :-)

[ITDUBB5]

@StockMarketFunding  Hahaha. Fast money?? That's funny shit right there. I appreciate all the work and dedication you guys do.. Keep it up..

[uzernam3]

The Bears dropped the hammer on the bulls today and will continue to do so in Octobah!. Go BEARS!

[StockMarketFunding]

@uzernam3 RED OCTOBER!